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50 Potterville Ln 🔨 Auction
F Composite 25.69
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Cash flow +4.4/30.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +0.4/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$5,000

50 Potterville Ln · Palm Coast, FL 32164
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,009 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 2001 10,019 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Foreclosure Auction Ends June 26, 2026 at 11:00 AM EST. Explore this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath residence set in a peaceful and well-located Palm Coast community. The list price is the opening bid for the online auction. Sold As-is. Explore more details and submit your bid through Federa Home App.

Key facts

  • 0.23 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 2001

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size: 0.23 acres; Zoning: SFR

Exterior

  • Parking: Garage (2 spaces)
  • Utilities: Other water source; Other sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Residential property
  • Construction: Construction materials: see remarks
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Other roof

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 1 total room
  • Flooring: Other
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: No heating specified; No cooling specified
  • Interior features: Other flooring

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🔨 Auction listing. The $5,000 list price is a nominal opening bid, not a real ask — every metric below is computed on the estimated value $383,719 (ARV from comps), not the list price.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $5k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-12k/yr) — negative.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $5k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#478 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Flagler (rural): math 53% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #20 of 73 in FL (top 27%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 1367 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,588 units permitted in Flagler County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($76k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Flagler County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 115.1% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $5,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.54%
Cap rate
3.14%
Cash-on-cash
-11.25%
DSCR
0.50
GRM
15.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$383,719
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
10 Poinfield Pl 0.51mi 3/2.0 2,044 (+2%) 3mo $439,000 $215 71
48 Ponce Preserve Dr 0.39mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,070 (+3%) 1mo $391,650 $189 67
42 Ponce Preserve Dr 0.40mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,070 (+3%) 2mo $417,997 $202 65
38 Ponce Preserve Dr 0.42mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,070 (+3%) 2mo $421,832 $204 65
16 Powder Ln 0.25mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,752 (-13%) 0mo $335,000 $191 62
75 Pheasant Dr 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,934 (-4%) 2mo $432,000 $223 58
224 Thornberry Way 0.73mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,950 (-3%) 3mo $381,997 $196 54
66 Postwood Dr 0.73mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,134 (+6%) 1mo $344,990 $162 50
15 Postman Ln 0.47mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,728 (-14%) 0mo $290,000 $168 50
41 Post Tree Ln 0.73mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,134 (+6%) 2mo $349,990 $164 49
36 Raemoor Dr 0.75mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,117 (+5%) 1mo $356,000 $168 46
77 Pheasant Dr 0.72mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,801 (-10%) 0mo $334,990 $186 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.18% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-38.8%
Equity multiple
-0.21×
Total profit
$-130,068
Equity at exit
$57,214
10-year hold
IRR
-72.9%
Equity multiple
-0.96×
Total profit
$-210,580
Equity at exit
$33,177

Cash invested: $107,441 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32164

Home prices YoY
-6.3%
Rents YoY
1.2%
Active inventory
1367
Price-to-rent
0.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,081 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,012
Tax est. 1.5%
$480 /mo · $5,756/yr
Insurance
$160
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$437
Net cashflow
$-1,008

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,357
Max offer price $237,913
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$95,930
Closing costs
$11,512
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
65 Raintree Pl Palm Coast, FL 4.0 2.0 1706 $1,600 $0.94 23d 1 0.44mi
22 Pony Ln Unit B Palm Coast, FL 3.0 2.0 2168 $1,850 $0.85 14d 1 0.45mi
15 Postman Ln Palm Coast, FL 4.0 2.0 1728 $1,975 $1.14 2d 1 0.48mi
10 Pontiac Ln Unit B Palm Coast, FL 4.0 2.0 1524 $1,825 $1.20 2d 1 0.53mi
9 Pony Express Dr Palm Coast, FL 2.0 2.0 1400 $1,450 $1.04 23d 1 0.54mi
32 Emerson Dr Palm Coast, FL 3.0 2.0 1510 $2,150 $1.42 2d 1 0.54mi
35 Postman Ln Palm Coast, FL 3.0 2.0 1900 $1,950 $1.03 23d 1 0.61mi
131 Rae Dr Palm Coast, FL 4.0 2.0 1738 $2,150 $1.24 2d 1 0.66mi
15 Raeland Ln Palm Coast, FL 4.0 2.0 1891 $799 $0.42 23d 1 0.74mi
20 Empress Ln Palm Coast, FL 3.0 2.0 2256 $2,100 $0.93 23d 1 0.76mi
41 Raemoor Dr Palm Coast, FL 4.0 3.0 1836 $1,995 $1.09 2d 1 0.76mi
3 Port Ln Palm Coast, FL 3.0 2.0 1442 $1,750 $1.21 2d 1 0.78mi
33 Pinwheel Ln Palm Coast, FL 3.0 2.0 1500 $2,400 $1.60 23d 1 0.80mi
121 Raintree Cir Palm Coast, FL 3.0 2.0 1939 $1,900 $0.98 14d 1 0.84mi
16 Porpoise Ln Palm Coast, FL 4.0 3.0 2427 $2,650 $1.09 2d 1 0.88mi
64 Ramblewood Dr Palm Coast, FL 3.0 2.0 2014 $1,976 $0.98 21d 1 0.90mi
14 Pitt Ln Palm Coast, FL 3.0 2.0 1481 $1,750 $1.18 23d 1 0.92mi
4 Pin Oak Dr Palm Coast, FL 4.0 2.0 2236 $2,200 $0.98 23d 1 0.94mi
26 Pitt Ln Palm Coast, FL 3.0 2.0 1502 $1,995 $1.33 14d 1 0.94mi
5 Pine Haven Dr Palm Coast, FL 3.0 2.0 1635 $1,850 $1.13 14d 1 1.01mi
13 Elder Dr Palm Coast, FL 3.0 3.0 2012 $5,500 $2.73 23d 1 1.01mi
13 Elder Dr Unit 1261619P Palm Coast, FL 3.0 3.0 1991 $5,699 $2.86 11d 1 1.01mi
21 Spring St Palm Coast, FL 3.0 2.0 2122 $2,690 $1.27 23d 1 1.08mi
44 Pinetree Dr Palm Coast, FL 3.0 2.0 2357 $2,000 $0.85 23d 1 1.10mi
38 Pine Hill Ln Palm Coast, FL 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,750 $1.25 14d 1 1.11mi
56 Pine Brook Dr Palm Coast, FL 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,895 $1.26 14d 1 1.16mi
19 Rykill Way Palm Coast, FL 4.0 2.0 1806 $2,066 $1.14 2d 1 1.19mi
38 Pinelynn Dr Palm Coast, FL 4.0 2.0 1617 $1,985 $1.23 23d 1 1.19mi
33 Rybark Ln Palm Coast, FL 3.0 2.0 1980 $1,850 $0.93 23d 1 1.24mi
8 Oriole Rd Palm Coast, FL 3.0 2.0 1401 $2,400 $1.71 14d 1 1.25mi
38 E Diamond Dr Palm Coast, FL 3.0 2.0 1551 $2,800 $1.81 23d 1 1.25mi
176 Pine Grove Dr Palm Coast, FL 3.0 2.0 1989 $2,200 $1.11 23d 1 1.30mi
29 E Diamond Dr Palm Coast, FL 4.0 2.0 2217 $2,500 $1.13 23d 1 1.32mi
9 White Hawk Pl Palm Coast, FL 3.0 2.0 1608 $1,900 $1.18 2d 1 1.32mi
37 Pine Croft Ln Palm Coast, FL 3.0 2.0 1832 $2,100 $1.15 2d 1 1.36mi
57 Pilgrim Dr Palm Coast, FL 3.0 2.0 1680 $2,049 $1.22 2d 1 1.38mi
192 Pine Grove Dr Palm Coast, FL 3.0 2.0 1928 $2,300 $1.19 21d 1 1.40mi
17 Eastgate Ln Palm Coast, FL 3.0 2.0 1757 $1,800 $1.02 2d 1 1.43mi
13 Pilgrim Dr Palm Coast, FL 4.0 2.0 1617 $2,060 $1.27 21d 1 1.44mi
11 Ripcord Ln Palm Coast, FL 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,925 $1.28 2d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    remarks 298-char remark
  2. 2026-06-17
    listed $5,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,975
− Mortgage interest
−$21,494
− Property taxes
−$5,756
− Insurance
−$1,919
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,998
− Management
−$1,998
− Depreciation
−$11,163
Taxable loss
−$19,353
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$4,645
After-tax cash flow
$-7,447/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Flagler
NCES district ID
1200540
Math proficiency
53% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$48,354
Composite
46.35/100
National rank
#2464
State rank
#20 of 73 in FL

Livability — Palm Coast

Score
69/100
State rank
#478
US rank
#8721

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B+ Crime B Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Palm Coast, FL
County
Flagler County · 113,412 people
City population
105,049
Metro
Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach, FL
Population (ZIP)
56,658
Household income
$76,399
Rent vs Own
20.4% rent · 79.6% own
Severe rent burden
1291.0

Population outlook (Flagler County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
123,474 people
By 2030
131,864 · +6.8%
By 2040
146,176 · +18.4%
By 2050
157,398 · +27.5%
By 2075
177,990 · +44.2%
By 2100
183,381 · +48.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Hispanic / Latino 14% Black 13% Two or more races 8% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Russian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 9% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Other Indo-European 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Flagler

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.2) · D 35.6% · R 63.8%
2008→2024 swing
-29.8pp toward R · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: -28.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.2 2020: R+20.8 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+7.4 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -19.89%
Current HPI
297.4942
Rent YoY
▲ 1.18%
Metro
Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Listed $5,000 HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID

Property tax history

+5.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,536 · +50.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…