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15 Wilson St
B+ Composite 79.42
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$45,900

15 Wilson St · Gloversville, NY 12078
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 791 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 35 Days on market
Built 1910 6,534 sqft lot $58/sqft · 61% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

LOTS OF POTENTIAL FOR THE RIGHT PERSON. USE CAUTION WHEN VIEWING THIS PROPERTY.

Key facts

  • Updated heating
  • Newer windows
  • 5 yr old roof

Tags

VINYL SIDINGNEWER WINDOWS5 YR OLD ROOFUPDATED HEATINGCONVENIENTLY LOCATED

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking for 2 vehicles
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric with circuit breakers (other)
  • Home design: Single family residence; Fixer condition
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Other foundation
  • Exterior features: Porch; Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on the first level; Includes appliances (unspecified/other)
  • Bedrooms: One bedroom on the first level; One bedroom on the second level
  • Flooring: Wood flooring
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (located on the second level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Has heating
  • Interior features: Five total rooms; Basement with Bilco doors and exterior entry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $46k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $486 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($995 rent vs $46k).
  • Recommended offer: $45k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#70 in NY, #1,048 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment F.
  • Gloversville City School District (town): math 26% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #565 of 590 in NY (top 96%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Gloversville High School (math 82% / reading 77%, grade A-, #518 of 1,100 statewide, top 51%, 697 students, 71% FRL) — zoned schools average 71% FRL vs 54% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 80% at this address vs 34% district-wide (+46 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Gloversville City School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 165 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 112 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($317 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Fulton County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($45k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $16k; list at $46k implies a 178% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $44,523 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.17%
Cap rate
19.00%
Cash-on-cash
45.37%
DSCR
3.02
GRM
3.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$118,110
List price
$45,900
Delta
-61.14%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
36 Wooster St 0.56mi 2/1.0 (+1) 708 (-10%) 6mo $89,000 $126 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
59.7%
Equity multiple
5.35×
Total profit
$55,950
Equity at exit
$41,350
10-year hold
IRR
53.2%
Equity multiple
11.93×
Total profit
$140,436
Equity at exit
$89,174

Cash invested: $12,852 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12078

Home prices YoY
12.2%
Active inventory
165
Price-to-rent
3.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$995 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$241
Tax from tax record
$40 /mo · $484/yr
Insurance
$19
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$209
Net cashflow
$486

Break-even live

Break-even rent $380
Max offer price $45,900
Occupancy floor 46%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,475
Closing costs
$1,377
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4 Fruit St Unit 2 Gloversville, NY 2.0 1.0 850 $995 $1.17 43d 1 0.25mi
130 Spring St Gloversville, NY 1.0 1.0 950 $995 $1.05 43d 1 0.43mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $45,900 Active 35 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $45,900 Active 34 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $45,900 Active 33 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $45,900 Active 32 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $45,900 Active 30 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $45,900 Active 29 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $45,900 Active 26 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $45,900 Active 25 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $45,900 Active 24 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $45,900 Active 23 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $45,900 Active 20 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $45,900 Active 19 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $45,900 Active 18 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $45,900 Active 17 DOM
  15. 2026-05-13
    listed $45,900 Active 423-char remark
  16. 2022-01-07
    soldstatus $16,500
  17. 2021-12-18
    soldstatus $16,500 Closed 79-char remark
    Show marketing remark (79 chars)

    LOTS OF POTENTIAL FOR THE RIGHT PERSON. USE CAUTION WHEN VIEWING THIS PROPERTY.

  18. 2021-12-14
    historical Contingent 79-char remark
    Show marketing remark (79 chars)

    LOTS OF POTENTIAL FOR THE RIGHT PERSON. USE CAUTION WHEN VIEWING THIS PROPERTY.

  19. 2021-09-13
    listed $20,000 New 79-char remark
    Show marketing remark (79 chars)

    LOTS OF POTENTIAL FOR THE RIGHT PERSON. USE CAUTION WHEN VIEWING THIS PROPERTY.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$484 · $40/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$630 · $52/mo
Expected delta
+$146/yr (+$12/mo · 30.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,940
− Mortgage interest
−$2,571
− Property taxes
−$484
− Insurance
−$230
− Repairs & maintenance
−$955
− Management
−$955
− Depreciation
−$1,335
Taxable income
$5,410
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,298
After-tax cash flow
$4,532/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gloversville City School District
NCES district ID
3612270
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$36,775
Composite
28.2/100
National rank
#6806
State rank
#565 of 590 in NY

Livability — Gloversville

Score
82/100
State rank
#70
US rank
#1048

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Gloversville, NY
Population (ZIP)
23,087

Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
51,132 people
By 2030
49,114 · -3.9%
By 2040
44,373 · -13.2%
By 2050
39,321 · -23.1%
By 2075
28,503 · -44.3%
By 2100
19,268 · -62.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 2% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 5% Romanian 4% Iranian 4%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, China
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Fulton

2024 margin
Solid R (+35.9) · D 32.1% · R 67.9%
2008→2024 swing
-26.6pp toward R · 2008: -9.2pp · 2024: -35.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+35.9 2020: R+31.4 2016: R+35.5 2012: R+10.5 2008: R+9.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 34.22%
Current HPI
315.1368
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+129.5% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $45,900 Global MLS
  • 2022-01-07 Sold (Public Records) $16,500 Public Records
  • 2021-12-18 Sold (MLS) $16,500 Global MLS
  • 2021-12-14 Contingent Global MLS
  • 2021-09-13 Listed $20,000 Global MLS

Property tax history

-8.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $484 · +5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…