1526 June Dr · Denham Springs, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.2/30.0
- ARV discount +12.6/15.0
- DSCR +5.4/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$269,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Solidly built, all-brick home conveniently located just minutes from the Antique Village and local schools. This spacious home offers 4 bedrooms and 3 full baths, along with multiple living spaces including a den and a large living room. The oversized living room features a cozy wood-burning fireplace, built-in bookcases, and ample space to accommodate large furniture or host family gatherings. The large walk-in pantry providing excellent storage. The primary suite is located at the rear of the home and offers two closets and a private bath. The fourth bedroom is also located at the back of the home and includes its own private bath, making it ideal for a college student, guest suite, or home office. Additional features include a two-car rear carport, extra exterior storage, and the convenience of a whole-house generator.
Key facts
- Two-car rear carport
- All brick home
- Large walk-in pantry
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $270k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-234 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $228k (15.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $226k (16.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $226k (16.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 3.9% in Denham Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#29 in LA, #4,939 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Livingston Parish (suburban): math 40% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #13 of 98 in LA (top 13%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.8%/yr); 976 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 794 units permitted in Livingston Parish in 2024 (99 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($79k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Livingston County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 99 days — a 9% lower offer ($246k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 99 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.05%
- DSCR
- 1.14
- GRM
- 10.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $304,373
- List price
- $269,900
- Delta
- -11.33%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1138 Southern Living Ln | 0.19mi | 4/3.0 | 2,473 (-2%) | 1mo | $517,000 | $209 | 87 |
| 1170 Southern Living Ln | 0.19mi | 4/3.0 | 2,473 (-2%) | 8mo | $524,500 | $212 | 81 |
| 1178 Southern Living Ln | 0.20mi | 4/3.0 | 2,447 (-3%) | 20mo | $524,900 | $215 | 69 |
| 310 Matthew Dr | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,352 (-7%) | 12mo | $219,900 | $93 | 64 |
| 8223 Fairlane Dr | 0.31mi | 5/2.5 (+1) | 2,584 (+2%) | 13mo | $314,900 | $122 | 64 |
| 8236 Fairlane Dr | 0.28mi | 4/2.5 | 2,362 (-7%) | 14mo | $300,000 | $127 | 62 |
| 30606 Stephen Dr | 0.39mi | 4/2.5 | 2,505 (-1%) | 22mo | $299,900 | $120 | 60 |
| 1055 N River Rd | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,480 (-2%) | 1mo | $669,900 | $270 | 59 |
| 30639 John Dr | 0.21mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,694 (+7%) | 19mo | $322,500 | $120 | 56 |
| 451 Cockerham Rd | 0.25mi | 4/2.0 | 2,206 (-13%) | 14mo | $265,000 | $120 | 51 |
| 1107 Camellia Way | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,245 (-11%) | 2mo | $529,800 | $236 | 38 |
| 322 Janmar St | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,158 (-15%) | 16mo | $275,000 | $127 | 24 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.83% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.25×
- Total profit
- $-56,635
- Equity at exit
- $40,243
- IRR
- -13.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.20×
- Total profit
- $-60,082
- Equity at exit
- $23,336
Cash invested: $75,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70726
- Rents YoY
- 3.8%
- Active inventory
- 976
- Price-to-rent
- 10.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,259 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,415
- Tax from tax record
- −$64 /mo · $772/yr
- Insurance
- −$112
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$474
- Net cashflow
- $-234
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-82 | -5% $-158 | +0% $-234 | +5% $-311 | +10% $-387 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-413 | -5% $-324 | +0% $-234 | +5% $-145 | +10% $-56 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-98 | -0.5pp $-166 | base $-234 | +0.5pp $-304 | +1.0pp $-375 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $67,475
- Closing costs
- $8,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9240 Lockhart Rd Denham Springs, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2638 | $3,750 | $1.42 | 45d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $269,900 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $269,900 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $269,900 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $269,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $269,900 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $269,900 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $269,900 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $269,900 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $269,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $269,900 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $269,900 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $269,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $269,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $269,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $269,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-04-21price $269,900 833-char remark
Show marketing remark (833 chars)
Solidly built, all-brick home conveniently located just minutes from the Antique Village and local schools. This spacious home offers 4 bedrooms and 3 full baths, along with multiple living spaces including a den and a large living room. The oversized living room features a cozy wood-burning fireplace, built-in bookcases, and ample space to accommodate large furniture or host family gatherings. The large walk-in pantry providing excellent storage. The primary suite is located at the rear of the home and offers two closets and a private bath. The fourth bedroom is also located at the back of the home and includes its own private bath, making it ideal for a college student, guest suite, or home office. Additional features include a two-car rear carport, extra exterior storage, and the convenience of a whole-house generator.
-
2026-04-21price $269,900 833-char remark
Show marketing remark (833 chars)
Solidly built, all-brick home conveniently located just minutes from the Antique Village and local schools. This spacious home offers 4 bedrooms and 3 full baths, along with multiple living spaces including a den and a large living room. The oversized living room features a cozy wood-burning fireplace, built-in bookcases, and ample space to accommodate large furniture or host family gatherings. The large walk-in pantry providing excellent storage. The primary suite is located at the rear of the home and offers two closets and a private bath. The fourth bedroom is also located at the back of the home and includes its own private bath, making it ideal for a college student, guest suite, or home office. Additional features include a two-car rear carport, extra exterior storage, and the convenience of a whole-house generator.
-
2026-03-11$279,000 Active 833-char remark
Show marketing remark (833 chars)
Solidly built, all-brick home conveniently located just minutes from the Antique Village and local schools. This spacious home offers 4 bedrooms and 3 full baths, along with multiple living spaces including a den and a large living room. The oversized living room features a cozy wood-burning fireplace, built-in bookcases, and ample space to accommodate large furniture or host family gatherings. The large walk-in pantry providing excellent storage. The primary suite is located at the rear of the home and offers two closets and a private bath. The fourth bedroom is also located at the back of the home and includes its own private bath, making it ideal for a college student, guest suite, or home office. Additional features include a two-car rear carport, extra exterior storage, and the convenience of a whole-house generator.
-
2026-03-11$279,000 Active 833-char remark
Show marketing remark (833 chars)
Solidly built, all-brick home conveniently located just minutes from the Antique Village and local schools. This spacious home offers 4 bedrooms and 3 full baths, along with multiple living spaces including a den and a large living room. The oversized living room features a cozy wood-burning fireplace, built-in bookcases, and ample space to accommodate large furniture or host family gatherings. The large walk-in pantry providing excellent storage. The primary suite is located at the rear of the home and offers two closets and a private bath. The fourth bedroom is also located at the back of the home and includes its own private bath, making it ideal for a college student, guest suite, or home office. Additional features include a two-car rear carport, extra exterior storage, and the convenience of a whole-house generator.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $772 · $64/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,484 · $124/mo
- Expected delta
- +$713/yr (+$59/mo · 92.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone AE · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,103
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,119
- − Property taxes
- −$772
- − Insurance
- −$6,468
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,168
- − Management
- −$2,168
- − Depreciation
- −$7,852
- Taxable loss
- −$7,443
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,786
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,026/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Livingston Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201020
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -38.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -32.00%
- Median HH income
- $56,755
- Composite
- 40.07/100
- National rank
- #3811
- State rank
- #13 of 98 in LA
Livability — Denham Springs
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #29
- US rank
- #4939
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Denham Springs, LA
- County
- Livingston Parish · 87,496 people
- City population
- 63,575
- Metro
- Baton Rouge, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 63,575
- Household income
- $78,621
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1211.0
Population outlook (Livingston County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 158,511 people
- By 2030
- 168,241 · +6.1%
- By 2040
- 186,252 · +17.5%
- By 2050
- 201,516 · +27.1%
- By 2075
- 231,217 · +45.9%
- By 2100
- 241,697 · +52.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Black 13% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 9% Serbian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Livingston
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+68.5) · D 15.1% · R 83.6% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.4pp toward D · 2008: -71.9pp · 2024: -68.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+68.5 2020: R+70.0 2016: R+72.5 2012: R+70.4 2008: R+71.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -104.37%
- Current HPI
- 170.2207
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.83%
- Metro
- Baton Rouge, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
-3.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-21 Price Changed $269,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-04-21 Price Changed $269,900 GBRMLS
- 2026-03-11 Listed $279,000 GBRMLS
- 2026-03-11 Listed $279,000 AcadianaMLS
Property tax history
-2.6%/yrLatest (2024): $772 · -11.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…