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147 Virginia Ave
C- Composite 53.36
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +5.8/15.0
  • Schools +5.8/10.0
  • DSCR +5.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$125,000

147 Virginia Ave · Gate City, VA 24251
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 960 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 45 Days on market
Built 1970 4,560 sqft lot $130/sqft · at area comps Est $120k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This immaculate one-level home has been exceptionally well maintained and offers comfort, convenience, and beautiful mountain views. Featuring a desirable split-bedroom floor plan, one bedroom includes a private half bath while the second offers a full bath with an ADA-accessible shower. The home boasts drywall throughout, abundant storage space, and a spacious covered front porch--the perfect place to relax and enjoy the scenery. Conveniently located just 10 minutes from Kingsport, this move-in ready property combines peaceful living with easy access to town. Public water and sewer. All information herein is deemed reliable but subject to buyer verification.

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Private half bath
  • Easy access to town

Tags

MOUNTAIN VIEWSSPLIT-BEDROOM FLOOR PLANPRIVATE HALF BATHABUNDANT STORAGE SPACECOVERED FRONT PORCHEASY ACCESS TO TOWN

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Landscaping (association amenity)

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway; Concrete parking surface
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Cable available; Phone available; Water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single-family house; One level
  • Construction: Block foundation; Block and vinyl siding construction; Built with a partial basement
  • Exterior features: Covered front porch; Storm door(s); Shingle roof; Level to sloped topography; Has view; Accessible entrance

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Heat pump cooling
  • Interior features: Entrance foyer; Open floor plan; Storm windows
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Partial concrete basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $109 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $123k (1.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $121k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 4.4% in Gate City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#400 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Scott County Public School District (rural): math 66% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #33 of 131 in VA (top 25%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Shoemaker Elementary (math 64% / reading 72%, grade B+, #366 of 1,108 statewide, top 33%, 450 students, 81% FRL); Gate City Middle (math 74% / reading 71%, grade A, #61 of 342 statewide, top 18%, 333 students, 78% FRL); Gate City High (math 77% / reading 82%, grade A-, #63 of 319 statewide, top 22%, 619 students, 77% FRL) — zoned schools average 79% FRL vs 48% district-wide (31 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 50 active listings in the ZIP; 22 units permitted in Scott County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $1k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $280 appreciation (0.2% local appreciation)).
  • Scott County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (0.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 8→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $121,250 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.98%
Cap rate
7.34%
Cash-on-cash
3.73%
DSCR
1.17
GRM
8.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$120,484
List price
$125,000
Delta
3.75%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
274 Highland St 0.04mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,008 (+5%) 9mo $145,000 $144 78
553 Highland St 0.26mi 2/1.0 896 (-7%) 7mo $150,000 $167 71
455 Highland St 0.16mi 2/1.5 840 (-12%) 23mo $185,000 $220 50
316 Manville Rd 0.67mi 2/1.5 1,028 (+7%) 11mo $132,500 $129 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.22% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.7%
Equity multiple
1.13×
Total profit
$4,617
Equity at exit
$37,704
10-year hold
IRR
7.9%
Equity multiple
1.88×
Total profit
$30,929
Equity at exit
$46,461

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 24251

Home prices YoY
0.1%
Active inventory
50
Price-to-rent
8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,231 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax est. 1.5%
$156 /mo · $1,875/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$259
Net cashflow
$109

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,093
Max offer price $125,000
Occupancy floor 86%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $195 -5% $152 +0% $109 +5% $66 +10% $22
Rent -10% $12 -5% $60 +0% $109 +5% $157 +10% $206
Rate -1.0pp $172 -0.5pp $141 base $109 +0.5pp $76 +1.0pp $43

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $125,000 Active 45 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $125,000 Active 44 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $125,000 Active 42 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $125,000 Active 41 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $125,000 Active 40 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $125,000 Active 39 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $125,000 Active 38 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $125,000 Active 37 DOM
  9. 2026-06-12
    days on market $125,000 Active 36 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $125,000 Active 33 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $125,000 Active 32 DOM
  12. 2026-06-08
    days on market $125,000 Active 31 DOM
  13. 2026-06-07
    days on market $125,000 Active 30 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $125,000 Active 27 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $125,000 Active 26 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $125,000 Active 25 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $125,000 Active 24 DOM
  18. 2026-05-07
    listed $125,000 Active 667-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥100°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,775
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$1,875
− Insurance
−$625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,182
− Management
−$1,182
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable loss
−$727
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$175
After-tax cash flow
$1,481/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Scott County Public School District
NCES district ID
5103480
Math proficiency
66% ▼ -26.00%
Reading proficiency
73% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$36,567
Composite
57.65/100
National rank
#1061
State rank
#33 of 131 in VA

Livability — Gate City

Score
62/100
State rank
#400
US rank
#16427

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Gate City, VA
Population (ZIP)
7,976

Population outlook (Scott County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
20,405 people
By 2030
19,379 · -5.0%
By 2040
17,325 · -15.1%
By 2050
15,464 · -24.2%
By 2075
11,845 · -42.0%
By 2100
8,516 · -58.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 4% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
1%

Political lean MEDSL · Scott

2024 margin
Solid R (+70.4) · D 14.5% · R 84.9%
2008→2024 swing
-27.3pp toward R · 2008: -43.1pp · 2024: -70.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+70.4 2020: R+67.8 2016: R+66.3 2012: R+50.6 2008: R+43.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.22%
Current HPI
211.6519
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $125,000 TVRMLS

Property tax history

+3.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $153 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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