1809 Virginia Pl · Cleburne, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.8/30.0
- 1% rule +8.8/10.0
- DSCR +8.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Discover an exceptional value-add opportunity in Cleburne. This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a fantastic foundation for buyers seeking a property with incredible potential for transformation. Whether you are looking to revitalize a classic space to suit your personal style or aiming to execute a strategic renovation for an investment portfolio, this home provides the perfect blank canvas. Priced to reflect the work desired, this property invites you to bring your creative vision and contractor to unlock the true value of this residence. Don't miss this unique opportunity to build instant equity in a prime location—schedule your showing today and explore the possibilities. Investors,
Key facts
- 0.29 acre lot
- Built 1965
- Listed 7 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property type: Single family residence; Property is not attached; Parcel number available
- Financial info: Second mortgage: none; Loan type: Treat As Clear
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Parking: Other parking (no covered or carport spaces listed)
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; Not in a municipal utility district
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; Built in 1965; One story
- Construction: Year built 1965
- Exterior features: Wood fencing; Fenced yard; Lot under 0.5 acre (approximately 0.289 acres); Subdivision: Meadow Lawn
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric cooktop; Electric oven
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (primary bedroom on main level)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Other interior features; One-level layout; One living area
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $244 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 3.6% in Cleburne — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#460 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Cleburne ISD (town): math 34% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #537 of 826 in TX (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Adams El (math 37% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,995 of 4,322 statewide, top 50%, 431 students, 76% FRL) — zoned schools average 76% FRL vs 56% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.8%/yr); 660 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 2,152 units permitted in Johnson County in 2024 (76 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Johnson County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.4% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.38% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.44%
- DSCR
- 1.46
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $209,300
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 805 Phillips St | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,240 (+4%) | 0mo | $239,000 | $193 | 75 |
| 809 Euclid St | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,243 (+4%) | 3mo | $222,500 | $179 | 73 |
| 1301 Rose Ave | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,242 (+4%) | 4mo | $205,000 | $165 | 67 |
| 808 Marengo St | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,291 (+8%) | 4mo | $225,000 | $174 | 64 |
| 508 Bales St | 0.49mi | 2/2.0 | 1,230 (+3%) | 7mo | $215,000 | $175 | 63 |
| 603 Lilly St | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,371 (+15%) | 0mo | $155,000 | $113 | 61 |
| 212 Preston Dr | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,220 (+2%) | 1mo | $235,500 | $193 | 57 |
| 418 Marengo St | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,096 (-8%) | 4mo | $167,500 | $153 | 56 |
| 701 Poindexter Ave | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 | 1,090 (-9%) | 3mo | $170,000 | $156 | 55 |
| 1301 N Douglas Ave | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 | 1,344 (+12%) | 3mo | $230,000 | $171 | 49 |
| 1715 Raylene Dr | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,120 (-6%) | 8mo | $209,000 | $187 | 48 |
| 308 Poindexter Ave | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,048 (-12%) | 3mo | $197,000 | $188 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.84×
- Total profit
- $-4,620
- Equity at exit
- $14,910
- IRR
- 0.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.03×
- Total profit
- $803
- Equity at exit
- $8,646
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76033
- Rents YoY
- -0.8%
- Active inventory
- 660
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,379 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$280 /mo · $3,356/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$290
- Net cashflow
- $244
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1904 Starling Ct Cleburne, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1007 | $1,150 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 1904 Starling Ct Unit 1 Cleburne, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1007 | $1,150 | $1.14 | 21d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 1606 Granbury St Unit A Cleburne, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1289 | $1,650 | $1.28 | 13d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 1507 Granbury St Cleburne, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1140 | $1,811 | $1.59 | 25d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1405 Granbury St Cleburne, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1278 | $1,545 | $1.21 | 25d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 400 Phillips St Cleburne, TX | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1000 | $1,255 | $1.25 | 1d | 5 | 0.36mi |
| 1311 Manor Dr Cleburne, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1492 | $1,825 | $1.22 | 25d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 514 Euclid St Cleburne, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $1,595 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1108 Poindexter Ave Cleburne, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,550 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 1424 Phillips St Cleburne, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1360 | $1,795 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1315 Joslin St Cleburne, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1294 | $1,595 | $1.23 | 7d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 226 Seclusion Dr Cleburne, TX | 3.0–4.0 | 2.0 | 1641 | $2,205 | $1.34 | 1d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1005 Granbury St Unit A Cleburne, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1362 | $2,050 | $1.51 | 25d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1401 Courtney Pl Unit C Cleburne, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1150 | $1,300 | $1.13 | 15d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 521 Woodard Ave Unit One Cleburne, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1350 | $1,000 | $0.74 | 44d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1407 Courtney Pl Cleburne, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $1,195 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1607 N Nolan River Rd Unit C Cleburne, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,250 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1607 N Nolan River Rd Unit A Cleburne, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,250 | $1.25 | 25d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1608 Sun Valley Dr Unit C Cleburne, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 25d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1409 Courtney Pl Unit A Cleburne, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,150 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1409 Courtney Pl Unit C Cleburne, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $1,300 | $0.93 | 25d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1409 Courtney Pl Cleburne, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,400 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1005 N Buffalo Ave Cleburne, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1146 | $1,500 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1005 N Buffalo Ave Cleburne, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1146 | $1,500 | $1.31 | 3d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1005 N Buffalo Ave Cleburne, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1146 | $1,500 | $1.31 | 25d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 805 N Douglas Ave Cleburne, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1460 | $1,999 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 115 Cleburne Station Pkwy Cleburne, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 977 | $1,994 | $2.04 | 1d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1108 Williams Ave Unit H Cleburne, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $900 | $1.00 | 25d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 1110 Williams Ave Unit C Cleburne, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $900 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1106 Williams Ave Unit D Cleburne, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $900 | $1.00 | 25d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 122 Ramsey St #124 Cleburne, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,050 | $1.19 | 22d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1610 N Anglin St Cleburne, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,500 | $1.67 | 19d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1705 N Robinson St Cleburne, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1076 | $1,450 | $1.35 | 25d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 815 Woodard Ave Cleburne, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 793 | $1,335 | $1.68 | 1d | 8 | 1.05mi |
| 1605 Morningside Dr Cleburne, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1496 | $1,900 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1118 N Nolan River Rd Unit A Cleburne, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1052 | $1,200 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1116 N Nolan River Rd Unit A Cleburne, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,200 | $1.00 | 15d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1116 N Nolan River Rd Unit B Cleburne, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1312 Ridge Run St Unit A Cleburne, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 992 | $1,250 | $1.26 | 25d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1108 N Nolan River Rd Cleburne, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1057 | $1,350 | $1.28 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-18status $100,000 Pending 7 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $100,000 Active Option Contract 7 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $100,000 Active Option Contract 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $100,000 Active Option Contract 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $100,000 Active Option Contract 4 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 693-char remark
-
2026-06-13$100,000 Active Option Contract 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,356 · $280/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,356 · $280/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,546
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$3,356
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,324
- − Management
- −$1,324
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $1,532
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$368
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,555/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cleburne ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4814310
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,788
- Composite
- 29.0/100
- National rank
- #6618
- State rank
- #537 of 826 in TX
Livability — Cleburne
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #460
- US rank
- #9292
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cleburne, TX
- County
- Johnson County · 147,987 people
- City population
- 29,538
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,538
- Household income
- $76,292
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 927.0
Population outlook (Johnson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 179,678 people
- By 2030
- 189,208 · +5.3%
- By 2040
- 207,261 · +15.4%
- By 2050
- 223,064 · +24.1%
- By 2075
- 259,979 · +44.7%
- By 2100
- 275,395 · +53.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Hispanic / Latino 26% Two or more races 15% Black 4% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 23%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 2% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Guatemala, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Johnson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.4) · D 23.9% · R 75.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.9pp toward R · 2008: -47.5pp · 2024: -51.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.4 2020: R+53.0 2016: R+58.3 2012: R+55.6 2008: R+47.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -202.75%
- Current HPI
- 246.0029
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.83%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-13 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2026-06-11 Listed $100,000 NTREIS
- 1999-01-28 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+6.0%/yrLatest (2025): $3,356 · +11.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…