17 167th Pl · Calumet City, IL
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $2,026 – $9,024
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$49,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Brick and frame ranch features 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, living room, kitchen, family room, Bring your ideas and toolbelt to bring back this homes beauty.
Key facts
- Built 1952
- Listed 159 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Utilities: Water source: Lake Michigan; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story; Fee simple ownership; Property is in a flood zone; Built before 1978 (71–80 years old)
- Construction: Aluminum siding and brick exterior
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 50 x 80 x 58 x 110
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (approximately 10 x 18)
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level (approximately 12 x 11); Second bedroom on main level (approximately 10 x 11); Additional bedrooms (two listed)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Five total rooms; Flood zone
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $381 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $44k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 26.5% vs local median 8.2% in Calumet City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#330 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, crime D-.
- Thornton Fractional Twp Hsd 215 (suburban): math 9% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #563 of 620 in IL (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 198 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.2% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 159 days — a 12% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (22%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo; built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 159 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 26.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 72.11%
- DSCR
- 4.21
- GRM
- 2.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $154,548
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1647 Shirley Dr | 0.04mi | 2/1.0 | 972 (0%) | 4mo | $53,500 | $55 | 94 |
| 7115 Harrison Ave | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 | 973 (+0%) | 2mo | $155,000 | $159 | 73 |
| 17222 Roy St | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 | 945 (-3%) | 1mo | $149,900 | $159 | 66 |
| 1636 State Line Rd | 0.03mi | 3/3.0 (+1) | 1,084 (+12%) | 2mo | $241,000 | $222 | 65 |
| 513 173rd St | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 | 982 (+1%) | 7mo | $180,000 | $183 | 64 |
| 1554 Burnham Ave | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 | 945 (-3%) | 2mo | $125,000 | $132 | 60 |
| 7124 Van Buren Ave | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 | 912 (-6%) | 4mo | $203,000 | $223 | 59 |
| 7113 Harrison Ave | 0.54mi | 2/1.5 | 890 (-8%) | 2mo | $180,000 | $202 | 57 |
| 1531 Lincoln Ave | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,109 (+14%) | 1mo | $170,000 | $153 | 53 |
| 1481 Lincoln Pl | 0.50mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,047 (+8%) | 6mo | $85,000 | $81 | 52 |
| 19 Schrum Rd | 0.66mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,062 (+9%) | 3mo | $109,000 | $103 | 45 |
| 1374 Kenilworth Dr | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,111 (+14%) | 0mo | $138,000 | $124 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.17% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 33.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.53×
- Total profit
- $21,396
- Equity at exit
- $7,454
- IRR
- 43.3%
- Equity multiple
- 6.20×
- Total profit
- $72,746
- Equity at exit
- $4,322
Cash invested: $13,997 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60409
- Home prices YoY
- -27.6%
- Rents YoY
- 6.2%
- Active inventory
- 198
- Price-to-rent
- 2.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,502 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$62 /mo · $750/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$460 /mo · $5,525/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$315
- Net cashflow
- $381
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $415 | -5% $398 | +0% $381 | +5% $363 | +10% $346 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $262 | -5% $321 | +0% $381 | +5% $440 | +10% $499 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $406 | -0.5pp $393 | base $381 | +0.5pp $368 | +1.0pp $355 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,498
- Closing costs
- $1,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1539 Wentworth Ave Unit 3W Calumet City, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,700 | $1.55 | 13d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 3649 173rd Ct Lansing, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 972 | $1,357 | $1.40 | 25d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 1338 Wentworth Ave Unit 1338 Calumet City, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,430 | $1.79 | 25d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 3069 Bernice Rd Apt 2N Lansing, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,535 | $1.62 | 21d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 3069 Bernice Rd Apt 2S Lansing, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,535 | $1.62 | 3d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 3023 Bernice Rd Apt 2S Lansing, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 2d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 407 Kenwood St Hammond, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,495 | $1.62 | 17d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 407 Kenwood St Hammond, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,495 | $1.62 | 25d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 230 Wildwood Rd Unit 103 Hammond, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,295 | $1.73 | 25d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 3020 178th St Unit C1 Lansing, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,550 | $1.72 | 2d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 3020 178th St Apt C7 Lansing, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,550 | $1.72 | 25d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 7234 Columbia Ave Hammond, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,300 | $1.35 | 25d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 7129 Columbia Ave Unit 1E Hammond, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,195 | $1.33 | 11d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 5950 Hohman Ave Unit 416 Hammond, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,095 | $1.99 | 7d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 5945 Hyslop Pl Unit 204 Hammond, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,195 | $1.71 | 25d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 5940 Hyslop Pl #226 Hammond, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $950 | $1.19 | 2d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-04status $49,990 Pending 159 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $49,990 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $49,990 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $49,990 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $49,990 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-05-13status Active
-
2026-05-02historical Contingent - Continue to Show
-
2026-04-13price $49,990
-
2026-03-01status Active
-
2025-11-14status Pending
-
2025-09-09$64,500 Active
-
1999-06-14soldstatus $60,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone AE · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,024
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,800
- − Property taxes
- −$750
- − Insurance
- −$5,775
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,442
- − Management
- −$1,442
- − Depreciation
- −$1,454
- Taxable income
- $4,361
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,047
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,522/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Thornton Fractional Twp Hsd 215
- NCES district ID
- 1738940
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,207
- Composite
- 10.27/100
- National rank
- #9793
- State rank
- #563 of 620 in IL
Livability — Calumet City
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #330
- US rank
- #6552
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Calumet City, IL
- County
- Cook County · 4,486,803 people
- City population
- 35,100
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,100
- Household income
- $55,369
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2415.0
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 74% Hispanic / Latino 15% White 7% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 14%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -75.01%
- Current HPI
- 197.2137
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.17%
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
-16.7% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-02 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-13 Price Changed $49,990 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-01 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-14 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-09 Listed $64,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1999-06-14 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.5%/yrLatest (2023): $5,589 · -1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…