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17 167th Pl
B- Composite 68.62
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$49,990

17 167th Pl · Calumet City, IL 60409
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 972 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 159 Days on market
Built 1952 ↓ 17% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Brick and frame ranch features 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, living room, kitchen, family room, Bring your ideas and toolbelt to bring back this homes beauty.

Key facts

  • Built 1952
  • Listed 159 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Utilities: Water source: Lake Michigan; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story; Fee simple ownership; Property is in a flood zone; Built before 1978 (71–80 years old)
  • Construction: Aluminum siding and brick exterior
  • Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 50 x 80 x 58 x 110

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (approximately 10 x 18)
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level (approximately 12 x 11); Second bedroom on main level (approximately 10 x 11); Additional bedrooms (two listed)
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Five total rooms; Flood zone
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $381 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $50k).
  • Recommended offer: $44k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 26.5% vs local median 8.2% in Calumet City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#330 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, crime D-.
  • Thornton Fractional Twp Hsd 215 (suburban): math 9% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #563 of 620 in IL (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 198 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.2% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 159 days — a 12% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (22%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo; built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $43,991 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 159 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.00%
Cap rate
26.48%
Cash-on-cash
72.11%
DSCR
4.21
GRM
2.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$154,548
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1647 Shirley Dr 0.04mi 2/1.0 972 (0%) 4mo $53,500 $55 94
7115 Harrison Ave 0.54mi 2/1.0 973 (+0%) 2mo $155,000 $159 73
17222 Roy St 0.61mi 2/1.0 945 (-3%) 1mo $149,900 $159 66
1636 State Line Rd 0.03mi 3/3.0 (+1) 1,084 (+12%) 2mo $241,000 $222 65
513 173rd St 0.62mi 2/1.0 982 (+1%) 7mo $180,000 $183 64
1554 Burnham Ave 0.73mi 2/1.0 945 (-3%) 2mo $125,000 $132 60
7124 Van Buren Ave 0.58mi 2/1.0 912 (-6%) 4mo $203,000 $223 59
7113 Harrison Ave 0.54mi 2/1.5 890 (-8%) 2mo $180,000 $202 57
1531 Lincoln Ave 0.38mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,109 (+14%) 1mo $170,000 $153 53
1481 Lincoln Pl 0.50mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,047 (+8%) 6mo $85,000 $81 52
19 Schrum Rd 0.66mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,062 (+9%) 3mo $109,000 $103 45
1374 Kenilworth Dr 0.65mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,111 (+14%) 0mo $138,000 $124 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.17% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
33.7%
Equity multiple
2.53×
Total profit
$21,396
Equity at exit
$7,454
10-year hold
IRR
43.3%
Equity multiple
6.20×
Total profit
$72,746
Equity at exit
$4,322

Cash invested: $13,997 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60409

Home prices YoY
-27.6%
Rents YoY
6.2%
Active inventory
198
Price-to-rent
2.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,502 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax est. 1.5%
$62 /mo · $750/yr
Insurance
$21
Flood insurance flood zone
−$460 /mo · $5,525/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$315
Net cashflow
$381

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,020
Max offer price $49,990
Occupancy floor 70%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $415 -5% $398 +0% $381 +5% $363 +10% $346
Rent -10% $262 -5% $321 +0% $381 +5% $440 +10% $499
Rate -1.0pp $406 -0.5pp $393 base $381 +0.5pp $368 +1.0pp $355

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,498
Closing costs
$1,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1539 Wentworth Ave Unit 3W Calumet City, IL 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,700 $1.55 13d 1 0.32mi
3649 173rd Ct Lansing, IL 2.0 2.0 972 $1,357 $1.40 25d 1 0.38mi
1338 Wentworth Ave Unit 1338 Calumet City, IL 2.0 1.0 800 $1,430 $1.79 25d 1 0.78mi
3069 Bernice Rd Apt 2N Lansing, IL 3.0 1.0 950 $1,535 $1.62 21d 1 0.94mi
3069 Bernice Rd Apt 2S Lansing, IL 3.0 1.0 950 $1,535 $1.62 3d 1 0.94mi
3023 Bernice Rd Apt 2S Lansing, IL 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,600 $1.60 2d 1 0.99mi
407 Kenwood St Hammond, IN 2.0 1.0 920 $1,495 $1.62 17d 1 1.08mi
407 Kenwood St Hammond, IN 2.0 1.0 920 $1,495 $1.62 25d 1 1.08mi
230 Wildwood Rd Unit 103 Hammond, IN 1.0 1.0 750 $1,295 $1.73 25d 1 1.08mi
3020 178th St Unit C1 Lansing, IL 2.0 1.0 900 $1,550 $1.72 2d 1 1.27mi
3020 178th St Apt C7 Lansing, IL 2.0 1.0 900 $1,550 $1.72 25d 1 1.27mi
7234 Columbia Ave Hammond, IN 2.0 1.0 960 $1,300 $1.35 25d 1 1.34mi
7129 Columbia Ave Unit 1E Hammond, IN 2.0 1.0 900 $1,195 $1.33 11d 1 1.36mi
5950 Hohman Ave Unit 416 Hammond, IN 1.0 1.0 550 $1,095 $1.99 7d 1 1.41mi
5945 Hyslop Pl Unit 204 Hammond, IN 1.0 1.0 700 $1,195 $1.71 25d 1 1.43mi
5940 Hyslop Pl #226 Hammond, IN 1.0 1.0 800 $950 $1.19 2d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-04
    status $49,990 Pending 159 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $49,990 Active 159 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $49,990 Active 158 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $49,990 Active 157 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $49,990 Active 156 DOM
  6. 2026-05-13
    status Active
  7. 2026-05-02
    historical Contingent - Continue to Show
  8. 2026-04-13
    price $49,990
  9. 2026-03-01
    status Active
  10. 2025-11-14
    status Pending
  11. 2025-09-09
    listed $64,500 Active
  12. 1999-06-14
    soldstatus $60,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone AE · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,024
− Mortgage interest
−$2,800
− Property taxes
−$750
− Insurance
−$5,775
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,442
− Management
−$1,442
− Depreciation
−$1,454
Taxable income
$4,361
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,047
After-tax cash flow
$3,522/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Thornton Fractional Twp Hsd 215
NCES district ID
1738940
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
13% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$48,207
Composite
10.27/100
National rank
#9793
State rank
#563 of 620 in IL

Livability — Calumet City

Score
71/100
State rank
#330
US rank
#6552

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Calumet City, IL
County
Cook County · 4,486,803 people
City population
35,100
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
35,100
Household income
$55,369
Rent vs Own
44.3% rent · 55.7% own
Severe rent burden
2415.0

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (74%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 74% Hispanic / Latino 15% White 7% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 14%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
83% English-only · Spanish 14%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -75.01%
Current HPI
197.2137
Rent YoY
▲ 6.17%
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-16.7% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-02 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-13 Price Changed $49,990 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-01 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-14 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-09 Listed $64,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1999-06-14 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+10.5%/yr

Latest (2023): $5,589 · -1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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