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276 Ellison St 8-Plex
B- Composite 68.72
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.9/30.0
  • DSCR +9.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0

$1,248,800

276 Ellison St · Paterson, NJ 07501
None bd · None ba · — sqft · MultiFamily · 170 Days on market

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 8 units. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks MLS

Three Story Two family home in need of TLC. Bank Owned Property. There is one rent paying tenant on third floor. Buyer is responsible for obtaining all certificates and licenses needed for closing including CCO.

Key facts

  • Separate utilities
  • Near hospital
  • Highway access

Tags

INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITYFULLY OCCUPIEDSEPARATE UTILITIESVALUE-ADD PROPERTYHIGHWAY ACCESSNEAR HOSPITAL

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Home design: Residential income property; Mixed-use property
  • Exterior features: Asphalt roof

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 8 × 2-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $1.25M.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($42k/yr) — positive. Per door: $433/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($15k rent vs $1.25M).
  • Recommended offer: $1.10M (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 3.5% in Paterson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#293 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools D, employment D, crime F.
  • Paterson Public School District (suburban): math 6% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #458 of 472 in NJ (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.4%/yr); 52 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 860 units permitted in Passaic County in 2024 (614 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $15,310/mo this rent would consume 415% of the median local household income ($44k/yr) (locally 3954% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $21k of equity ($9k loan paydown + $13k appreciation (1.0% local appreciation)).
  • Passaic County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (1.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $350k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$77k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 170 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.10M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $95k; list at $1.25M implies a 1215% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $1,098,944 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 170 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.23%
Cap rate
9.62%
Cash-on-cash
11.89%
DSCR
1.53
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
51 Godwin Ave 0.28mi 4/3.0 2mo $620,000 72
23 Oak St 0.38mi 8/3.0 2mo $710,000 68
59-63 Broadway 0.40mi —/— 1mo $1,350,000 68
25 Oak St 0.38mi 9/4.0 2mo $780,000 68
213 16th Ave 0.40mi —/— 1mo $510,000 68
50 Oak St 0.40mi —/— 1mo $440,000 68
379 Straight St 0.41mi 6/2.0 2mo $490,000 67
474 Ellison St 0.47mi 5/3.0 1mo $612,000 65
12 Ward St 0.58mi 5/3.0 1mo $565,000 60
115-119 21st St 0.64mi 6/2.5 1mo $640,000 57
194 Mill St 0.68mi 4/3.0 1mo $475,000 55
776 22nd St 0.66mi 9/3.0 2mo $800,000 55

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.01% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.5%
Equity multiple
1.93×
Total profit
$325,605
Equity at exit
$426,789
10-year hold
IRR
23.9%
Equity multiple
4.35×
Total profit
$1,171,922
Equity at exit
$567,528

Cash invested: $349,664 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 07501

Home prices YoY
0.3%
Rents YoY
11.4%
Active inventory
52
Price-to-rent
54.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$15,310 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$6,549
Tax est. 1.5%
$1,561 /mo · $18,732/yr
Insurance
$520
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$3,215
Net cashflow
$3,465

Break-even live

Break-even rent $10,924
Max offer price $1,248,800
Occupancy floor 72%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $4,328 -5% $3,896 +0% $3,465 +5% $3,033 +10% $2,602
Rent -10% $2,255 -5% $2,860 +0% $3,465 +5% $4,069 +10% $4,674
Rate -1.0pp $4,094 -0.5pp $3,782 base $3,465 +0.5pp $3,141 +1.0pp $2,812

8-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (8 units) $15,310

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$312,200
Closing costs
$37,464
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
267 Ellison St Unit 1C Paterson, NJ 1.0 1.0 $1,400 24d 1 0.06mi
40 Park Ave Unit 5 Paterson, NJ 1.0 1.0 $1,550 6d 1 0.12mi
317 Market St Unit 1 Paterson, NJ 2.0 1.0 $1,950 15d 1 0.14mi
315 Market St Unit 4 Paterson, NJ 2.0 1.0 $1,725 15d 1 0.14mi
95 Park Ave Unit 2R Paterson, NJ 2.0 1.0 $1,850 15d 1 0.16mi
84-86 Auburn St Paterson, NJ 1.0 1.0 $1,750 16d 1 0.16mi
286 Broadway #2 Paterson, NJ 3.0 1.0 $1,900 26d 1 0.16mi
363-365 Summer St Unit 2 Paterson, NJ 3.0 2.0 $2,400 26d 1 0.18mi
367 Summer St Unit 6 Paterson, NJ 1.0 1.0 $1,400 15d 1 0.18mi
231 Market St Unit 401 Paterson, NJ 1.0 1.0 $1,650 26d 1 0.20mi
214 Hamilton Ave Unit 2 Paterson, NJ 2.0 1.0 $2,000 26d 1 0.23mi
120 Hamilton Ave Unit 2 Paterson, NJ 3.0 1.0 $2,300 26d 1 0.24mi
169 16th Ave Apt 303 Paterson, NJ 1.0 1.0 $1,863 1d 1 0.27mi
34 Auburn St Paterson, NJ 3.0 1.0 $2,300 26d 1 0.28mi
31-33 Essex St Paterson, NJ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 860 $2,375 $2.76 20d 7 0.28mi
48 Essex St Unit 1R Paterson, NJ 3.0 1.0 $1,895 20d 1 0.30mi
48 Essex St Unit 3R Paterson, NJ 3.0 1.0 $1,850 26d 1 0.30mi
40 12th Ave Unit 4 Paterson, NJ 2.0 1.0 1250 $2,100 $1.68 26d 1 0.31mi
288 Rosa Parks Blvd Unit 52 Paterson, NJ 2.0 1.0 800 $1,745 $2.18 22d 1 0.32mi
288 Rosa Parks Blvd Paterson, NJ 2.0 1.0 $1,695 9d 1 0.32mi
288 Rosa Parks Blvd Unit 30 Paterson, NJ 2.0 1.0 850 $1,725 $2.03 26d 1 0.32mi
288 Rosa Parks Blvd Unit 52 Paterson, NJ 2.0 1.0 $1,745 26d 1 0.32mi
441 Summer St Unit 3 Paterson, NJ 2.0 1.0 $1,800 15d 1 0.33mi
441 Summer St Unit 1 Paterson, NJ 3.0 1.0 $2,200 15d 1 0.33mi
21 Rose St Unit second floor Paterson, NJ 3.0 2.0 $2,500 8d 1 0.33mi
37 12th Ave #3 Paterson, NJ 2.0 1.0 $1,750 5d 1 0.33mi
37 12th Ave #3 Paterson, NJ 2.0 1.0 $1,750 12d 1 0.33mi
12 Seeley St Paterson, NJ 2.0 1.0 $2,000 26d 1 0.33mi
67 12th Ave Unit 201 Paterson, NJ 1.0 1.0 1000 $1,718 $1.72 1d 1 0.34mi
83 Carroll St Unit 2 Paterson, NJ 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,700 $1.55 26d 1 0.35mi
22 Seeley St Unit 202 Paterson, NJ 1.0 1.0 1000 $2,050 $2.05 1d 1 0.35mi
25 Oak St #3 Paterson, NJ 3.0 1.0 $2,500 26d 1 0.37mi
25 Oak St Unit BS Paterson, NJ 2.0 1.5 $1,800 26d 1 0.37mi
25 Oak St Unit 2 Paterson, NJ 3.0 1.5 $2,500 26d 1 0.37mi
242 Rosa Parks Blvd Paterson, NJ 3.0 2.0 $2,250 4d 1 0.38mi
451 Market St Unit 2nd Paterson, NJ 3.0 2.0 $2,600 26d 1 0.39mi
102 106 Beech St Paterson, NJ 2.0 1.0 800 $1,575 $1.97 16d 2 0.41mi
224 Rosa Parks Blvd Unit 202 Paterson, NJ 1.0 1.0 950 $1,650 $1.74 3d 1 0.41mi
189 Main St Unit 3B Paterson, NJ 2.0 1.0 1000 $2,200 $2.20 26d 1 0.41mi
189 Main St Unit 3B Paterson, NJ 2.0 1.0 1000 $2,200 $2.20 22d 1 0.41mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $1,248,800 Active 170 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $1,248,800 Active 167 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $1,248,800 Active 166 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $1,248,800 Active 165 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $1,248,800 Active 164 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $1,248,800 Active 162 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $1,248,800 Active 161 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $1,248,800 Active 158 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $1,248,800 Active 157 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $1,248,800 Active 156 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $1,248,800 Active 153 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $1,248,800 Active 152 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $1,248,800 Active 151 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $1,248,800 Active 150 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $1,248,800 Active 149 DOM
  16. 2026-02-14
    price $1,248,800
  17. 2025-12-15
    listed $1,288,800 Active
  18. 2016-06-10
    soldstatus Sold 211-char remark
    Show marketing remark (211 chars)

    Three Story Two family home in need of TLC. Bank Owned Property. There is one rent paying tenant on third floor. Buyer is responsible for obtaining all certificates and licenses needed for closing including CCO.

  19. 2016-06-10
    soldstatus $95,000 Sold
    Show marketing remark (211 chars)

    Three Story Two family home in need of TLC. Bank Owned Property. There is one rent paying tenant on third floor. Buyer is responsible for obtaining all certificates and licenses needed for closing including CCO.

  20. 2016-05-03
    historical
    Show marketing remark (211 chars)

    Three Story Two family home in need of TLC. Bank Owned Property. There is one rent paying tenant on third floor. Buyer is responsible for obtaining all certificates and licenses needed for closing including CCO.

  21. 2016-05-03
    historical Under Contract 211-char remark
    Show marketing remark (211 chars)

    Three Story Two family home in need of TLC. Bank Owned Property. There is one rent paying tenant on third floor. Buyer is responsible for obtaining all certificates and licenses needed for closing including CCO.

  22. 2016-04-11
    listed $95,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (211 chars)

    Three Story Two family home in need of TLC. Bank Owned Property. There is one rent paying tenant on third floor. Buyer is responsible for obtaining all certificates and licenses needed for closing including CCO.

  23. 2016-04-11
    listed $95,000 Active 211-char remark
    Show marketing remark (211 chars)

    Three Story Two family home in need of TLC. Bank Owned Property. There is one rent paying tenant on third floor. Buyer is responsible for obtaining all certificates and licenses needed for closing including CCO.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$183,720
− Mortgage interest
−$69,952
− Property taxes
−$18,732
− Insurance
−$6,244
− Repairs & maintenance
−$14,698
− Management
−$14,698
− Depreciation
−$36,329
Taxable income
$23,068
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$5,536
After-tax cash flow
$36,040/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Paterson Public School District
NCES district ID
3412690
Math proficiency
6% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$34,365
Composite
13.02/100
National rank
#9568
State rank
#458 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Paterson

Score
69/100
State rank
#293
US rank
#8763

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment D Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Paterson, NJ
County
Passaic County · 360,294 people
City population
85,452
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
35,481
Household income
$44,300
Rent vs Own
83.9% rent · 16.1% own
Severe rent burden
3954.0

Population outlook (Passaic County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
525,915 people
By 2030
532,160 · +1.2%
By 2040
543,670 · +3.4%
By 2050
554,326 · +5.4%
By 2075
584,728 · +11.2%
By 2100
598,978 · +13.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (68%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 68% Black 24% Two or more races 8% White 5% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 10% Dominican 34%
Foreign-born
42% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
34% English-only · Spanish 63% Other Indo-European 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Passaic

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 46.9% · R 49.8% · Other 3.3%
2008→2024 swing
-24.6pp toward R · 2008: 21.7pp · 2024: -2.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.9 2020: D+16.5 2016: D+21.8 2012: D+27.3 2008: D+21.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.01%
Current HPI
292.4223
Rent YoY
▲ 11.37%
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1214.5% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-14 Price Changed $1,248,800 NJMLS
  • 2025-12-15 Listed $1,288,800 NJMLS
  • 2016-06-10 Sold (MLS) NJMLS
  • 2016-06-10 Sold (MLS) $95,000 GSMLS
  • 2016-05-03 Delisted GSMLS
  • 2016-05-03 Contingent NJMLS
  • 2016-04-11 Listed $95,000 GSMLS
  • 2016-04-11 Listed $95,000 NJMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…