1123 Bergenfield Ln · Lake Murray of Richland, SC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $783 – $1,453
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 56.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.2/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$249,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Beautiful home and ready to move-in! This home is bright and inviting with an open layout and thoughtful touches throughout. The main living areas feature abundant natural light and a seamless flow, perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen opens nicely to the living space, creating a functional and welcoming environment. Bedrooms are spacious and well-appointed, with a comfortable and private primary suite designed for relaxation. Don’t miss your chance to own this low maintenance home in a great neighborhood zoned for fantastic schools! Summer is heating up and the kids are sure to love the neighborhood pool! Schedule your showing today! Pictures virtually stage
Key facts
- Functional kitchen
- Low maintenance home
- Open layout
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $250k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $271 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $250k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#102 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Lexington 05 (suburban): math 47% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #5 of 80 in SC (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Chapin Elementary (math 53% / reading 51%, grade C-, #145 of 597 statewide, top 26%, 790 students, 34% FRL); Chapin High (math 82% / reading 91%, grade A, #7 of 196 statewide, top 4%, 1,615 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 67% FRL vs 27% district-wide (40 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 69% at this address vs 51% district-wide (+18 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Lexington 05 average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 434 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 1,712 units permitted in Lexington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lexington County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $137k; list at $250k implies a 83% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 56% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.64%
- DSCR
- 1.21
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.67×
- Total profit
- $-23,181
- Equity at exit
- $37,261
- IRR
- 0.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.03×
- Total profit
- $2,344
- Equity at exit
- $21,607
Cash invested: $69,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Carolina
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 29036
- Active inventory
- 434
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,622 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax from tax record
- −$348 /mo · $4,176/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$38
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$551
- Net cashflow
- $271
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $412 | -5% $341 | +0% $271 | +5% $200 | +10% $129 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $63 | -5% $167 | +0% $271 | +5% $374 | +10% $478 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $396 | -0.5pp $334 | base $271 | +0.5pp $206 | +1.0pp $140 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,475
- Closing costs
- $7,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 217 Whispering Oak Ln Chapin, SC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1375 | $3,200 | $2.33 | 11d | 1 | 0.29mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $38 · $456/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-04-28status Pending
-
2026-04-17$249,900 Active
-
2019-03-27soldstatus $136,740
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,176 · $348/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,176 · $348/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 56% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,461
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,998
- − Property taxes
- −$4,176
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,517
- − Management
- −$2,517
- − HOA
- −$456
- − Depreciation
- −$7,270
- Taxable loss
- −$723
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$174
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,420/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 3 photos
This move-in ready home features an open layout with modern amenities and a well-maintained exterior. A fresh coat of paint and updated lighting would significantly enhance its curb appeal and value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Replace light fixtures — Improves aesthetics and energy efficiency
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Replace light fixtures — Improves aesthetics and energy efficiency ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lexington 05
- NCES district ID
- 4502820
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $67,732
- Composite
- 45.28/100
- National rank
- #2656
- State rank
- #5 of 80 in SC
Livability — Lake Murray of Richland
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #102
- US rank
- #10903
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Lexington County · 232,571 people
- City population
- 179
- Metro
- Columbia, SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,620
- Household income
- $113,986
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 212.0
Population outlook (Lexington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 322,999 people
- By 2030
- 342,356 · +6.0%
- By 2040
- 377,715 · +16.9%
- By 2050
- 406,984 · +26.0%
- By 2075
- 465,447 · +44.1%
- By 2100
- 485,674 · +50.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Asian 5% Two or more races 4% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Slovak 4% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, South Korea, China
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lexington
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.5) · D 32.5% · R 66.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.6pp toward D · 2008: -38.0pp · 2024: -33.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.5 2020: R+30.1 2016: R+36.7 2012: R+37.8 2008: R+38.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -134.76%
- Current HPI
- 248.3807
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Columbia, SC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Packaging | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+82.8% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Pending — Consolidated MLS
- 2026-04-17 Listed $249,900 Consolidated MLS
- 2019-03-27 Sold (Public Records) $136,740 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2024): $4,176 · +0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…