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905 Kayak Ave
C+ Composite 63.34
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$260,000

905 Kayak Ave · Coral Hills, MD 20743
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,275 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 103 Days on market
Built 1962 4,000 sqft lot Est $316k · 18% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Renovated property, new roof shingles, renovated bathrooms, new ceramic title in kitchen, refinished hardwood floor and more, Master bedroom, master bathroom

Key facts

  • 4,000 sq ft lot
  • Parking
  • Built 1962

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $260k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $475 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $260k).
  • Recommended offer: $237k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 5.3% in Coral Hills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#223 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A, employment B; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Prince George'S County Public Schools (suburban): math 8% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #21 of 24 in MD (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: William W. Hall Academy (math 3% / reading 15%, grade F, #650 of 860 statewide, top 77%, 496 students, 83% FRL) — zoned schools average 83% FRL vs 53% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.9%/yr); 215 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,481 units permitted in Prince George's County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,893/mo this rent would consume 45% of the median local household income ($76k/yr) (locally 1418% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Prince George's County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.9% rent growth), your $73k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 103 days — a 9% lower offer ($237k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 10 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $65k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $225k; 16% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $236,600 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 103 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.11%
Cap rate
8.48%
Cash-on-cash
7.83%
DSCR
1.35
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$316,200
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1013 Kayak Ave 0.11mi 4/2.0 1,440 (+13%) 2mo $245,500 $170 72
504 Capitol Heights Blvd 0.64mi 4/2.0 1,339 (+5%) 1mo $350,000 $261 61
1011 Balboa 0.33mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,152 (-10%) 6mo $190,000 $165 59
1009 Quietview Dr 0.35mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,191 (-7%) 9mo $263,700 $221 56
1629 Quarter Ave 0.64mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,194 (-6%) 0mo $292,000 $245 54
4617 Heath St 0.36mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,408 (+10%) 9mo $320,000 $227 53
916 Highview Dr 0.41mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,371 (+8%) 8mo $290,000 $212 53
1528 Ruston Ave 0.61mi 4/2.0 1,144 (-10%) 5mo $350,000 $306 50
5231 Bass Pl SE 0.65mi 4/2.5 1,428 (+12%) 3mo $485,000 $340 45
1601 Nova Ave 0.63mi 4/3.0 1,406 (+10%) 8mo $430,000 $306 43
509 Abel Ave 0.52mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,107 (-13%) 9mo $275,000 $248 41
5109 Bass Pl SE 0.70mi 4/2.0 1,091 (-14%) 4mo $380,000 $348 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.9% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.1%
Equity multiple
0.96×
Total profit
$-3,153
Equity at exit
$38,767
10-year hold
IRR
11.5%
Equity multiple
2.02×
Total profit
$74,233
Equity at exit
$22,480

Cash invested: $72,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Failure-to-pay is dismissed if cured before judgment; Baltimore has just-cause; strict deposit rules.

ZIP-level market 20743

Rents YoY
5.9%
Active inventory
215
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,893 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,363
Tax from tax record
$339 /mo · $4,063/yr
Insurance
$108
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$607
Net cashflow
$475

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,292
Max offer price $260,000
Occupancy floor 79%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $622 -5% $548 +0% $475 +5% $401 +10% $328
Rent -10% $246 -5% $361 +0% $475 +5% $589 +10% $703
Rate -1.0pp $606 -0.5pp $541 base $475 +0.5pp $407 +1.0pp $339

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$65,000
Closing costs
$7,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
912 Elfin Ave Capitol Heights, MD 3.0 2.0 1028 $2,000 $1.95 44d 1 0.07mi
1205 Mentor Ave Capitol Heights, MD 3.0 1.0 1400 $3,000 $2.14 44d 1 0.22mi
5401 Riba Ct Capitol Heights, MD 4.0 3.0 1150 $3,300 $2.87 6d 1 0.46mi
5401 Call Pl SE Washington, DC 2.0–3.0 1.0 1094 $2,626 $2.40 3d 2 0.46mi
5119 E St SE Washington, DC 3.0 1.0 941 $4,000 $4.25 20d 1 0.48mi
1201 Benning Rd Capitol Heights, MD 1.0–3.0 1.0 854 $2,090 $2.45 0d 42 0.50mi
5404 Vergo Rd Capitol Heights, MD 4.0 2.5 1680 $3,500 $2.08 44d 1 0.51mi
5037 Benning Rd SE Washington, DC 3.0 2.0 1184 $3,100 $2.62 25d 1 0.52mi
4648 Hillside Rd SE Apt 1 Washington, DC 4.0 2.0 1389 $4,200 $3.02 25d 1 0.55mi
5344 C St SE Unit 302 Washington, DC 3.0 2.0 1000 $2,100 $2.10 25d 1 0.55mi
5344 C St SE Unit 102 Washington, DC 3.0 2.0 1000 $2,499 $2.50 25d 1 0.55mi
1193 46th Pl SE Washington, DC 3.0 1.0 1056 $3,200 $3.03 25d 1 0.56mi
4632 Hillside Rd SE Unit 1 Washington, DC 4.0 2.0 1222 $3,000 $2.45 25d 1 0.58mi
1513 Pacific Ave Capitol Heights, MD 3.0 1.0 1008 $2,450 $2.43 44d 1 0.60mi
5539 Central Ave SE Washington, DC 3.0 2.0 1140 $2,300 $2.02 23d 1 0.62mi
5005 Call Pl SE Unit 9 Washington, DC 5.0 2.0 1800 $6,000 $3.33 25d 1 0.68mi
5225 Marlboro Pike Capitol Heights, MD 2.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 1050 $2,400 $2.29 2d 3 0.70mi
1209 Brooke Rd Capitol Heights, MD 3.0 2.0 1000 $3,200 $3.20 19d 1 0.70mi
113 56th St SE Washington, DC 3.0 2.0 1764 $3,000 $1.70 13d 1 0.71mi
22 Chamber Ave Capitol Heights, MD 3.0 1.0 942 $3,000 $3.18 44d 1 0.73mi
5284 Marlboro Pike Capitol Heights, MD 1.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 812 $1,979 $2.44 0d 13 0.74mi
4601 Pistachio Ln Capitol Heights, MD 3.0 2.5 1376 $2,795 $2.03 18d 1 0.74mi
5237 Marlboro Pike Capitol Heights, MD 3.0 1.0 655 $1,817 $2.77 44d 1 0.75mi
17 Quire Ave Capitol Heights, MD 5.0 2.0 1300 $2,850 $2.19 44d 1 0.80mi
1935 Brooks Dr Capitol Heights, MD 1.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 865 $1,745 $2.02 0d 7 0.84mi
416 Topeka Ave Unit A Capitol Heights, MD 3.0 2.0 1170 $2,800 $2.39 44d 1 0.84mi
5074 Central Ave SE Washington, DC 4.0 2.0 1349 $5,200 $3.85 23d 1 0.85mi
5347 Ames St NE Washington, DC 3.0 2.0 1428 $3,000 $2.10 25d 1 0.94mi
1634 Brooksquare Dr Capitol Heights, MD 3.0 1.5 1317 $2,250 $1.71 6d 1 0.97mi
4308 Alton St Capitol Heights, MD 3.0 2.0 1100 $2,500 $2.27 44d 1 0.99mi
4686 A St SE Washington, DC 4.0 3.0 1181 $3,500 $2.96 8d 1 1.00mi
812 Burns St SE Washington, DC 3.0 2.5 1280 $3,300 $2.58 25d 1 1.00mi
813 Hilltop Ter SE Washington, DC 3.0 1.5 1660 $4,500 $2.71 8d 1 1.03mi
337 54th St NE Unit A Washington, DC 3.0 1.5 1184 $2,850 $2.41 25d 1 1.19mi
2217 Gaylord Dr Suitland, MD 3.0 1.0 1216 $2,450 $2.01 5d 1 1.20mi
2232 Houston St Suitland, MD 3.0 1.0 1216 $2,500 $2.06 44d 1 1.22mi
4724 Blaine St NE Washington, DC 3.0 2.0 1152 $3,085 $2.68 3d 1 1.23mi
2316 Brooks Dr Suitland, MD 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 908 $2,366 $2.60 4d 9 1.23mi
324 61st St NE Unit 7 Washington, DC 5.0 2.0 1250 $7,000 $5.60 25d 1 1.25mi
2301 Houston St Suitland, MD 3.0 1.0 1216 $2,200 $1.81 23d 1 1.25mi

Listing history 33 events

  1. 2026-03-27
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-16
    price $260,000
  3. 2026-02-26
    price $270,000
  4. 2026-02-12
    price $285,000
  5. 2026-01-02
    price $300,000
  6. 2025-12-14
    listed $325,000 Active
  7. 2018-06-05
    soldstatus $225,000
  8. 2018-04-27
    soldstatus $225,000 Closed 157-char remark
    Show marketing remark (157 chars)

    Renovated property, new roof shingles, renovated bathrooms, new ceramic title in kitchen, refinished hardwood floor and more, Master bedroom, master bathroom

  9. 2018-04-27
    soldstatus $225,000 Sold 157-char remark
    Show marketing remark (157 chars)

    Renovated property, new roof shingles, renovated bathrooms, new ceramic title in kitchen, refinished hardwood floor and more, Master bedroom, master bathroom

  10. 2018-04-12
    status Pending 157-char remark
    Show marketing remark (157 chars)

    Renovated property, new roof shingles, renovated bathrooms, new ceramic title in kitchen, refinished hardwood floor and more, Master bedroom, master bathroom

  11. 2018-03-28
    historical Active Under Contract 157-char remark
    Show marketing remark (157 chars)

    Renovated property, new roof shingles, renovated bathrooms, new ceramic title in kitchen, refinished hardwood floor and more, Master bedroom, master bathroom

  12. 2018-03-28
    status Contingent (No Kick Out) 157-char remark
    Show marketing remark (157 chars)

    Renovated property, new roof shingles, renovated bathrooms, new ceramic title in kitchen, refinished hardwood floor and more, Master bedroom, master bathroom

  13. 2018-03-24
    listed $225,000 Active 157-char remark
    Show marketing remark (157 chars)

    Renovated property, new roof shingles, renovated bathrooms, new ceramic title in kitchen, refinished hardwood floor and more, Master bedroom, master bathroom

  14. 2018-03-24
    listed $225,000 Active 157-char remark
    Show marketing remark (157 chars)

    Renovated property, new roof shingles, renovated bathrooms, new ceramic title in kitchen, refinished hardwood floor and more, Master bedroom, master bathroom

  15. 2018-01-04
    soldstatus $116,000 Closed
  16. 2018-01-04
    soldstatus $116,000 Sold
  17. 2017-12-08
    status Contract
  18. 2017-11-22
    status Active
  19. 2017-10-27
    status Contract
  20. 2017-10-23
    status Active
  21. 2017-10-16
    historical Temporarily Off-Market
  22. 2017-10-11
    status Active
  23. 2017-10-07
    historical Temporarily Off-Market
  24. 2017-10-03
    listed $124,800 Active
  25. 2017-10-03
    listed $124,800 Active
  26. 2006-06-15
    soldstatus $236,000
  27. 2004-05-26
    soldstatus $145,000
  28. 2004-03-31
    soldstatus $145,000
  29. 2004-02-16
    historical
  30. 2003-12-15
    listed $145,000
  31. 2003-12-15
    historical
  32. 2003-06-27
    listed
  33. 1985-07-26
    soldstatus $53,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,063 · $339/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,063 · $339/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 21% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$34,712
− Mortgage interest
−$14,564
− Property taxes
−$4,063
− Insurance
−$1,300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,777
− Management
−$2,777
− Depreciation
−$7,564
Taxable income
$1,667
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$400
After-tax cash flow
$5,298/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Prince George'S County Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400510
Math proficiency
8% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$73,967
Composite
16.82/100
National rank
#9151
State rank
#21 of 24 in MD

Livability — Coral Hills

Score
66/100
State rank
#223
US rank
#11223

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime D- Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Coral Hills, MD
County
Prince Georges County · 919,866 people
Metro
Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
Population (ZIP)
41,093
Household income
$76,466
Rent vs Own
33.9% rent · 66.1% own
Severe rent burden
1418.0

Population outlook (Prince George's County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,005,426 people
By 2030
1,048,416 · +4.3%
By 2040
1,123,425 · +11.7%
By 2050
1,183,220 · +17.7%
By 2075
1,306,202 · +29.9%
By 2100
1,408,179 · +40.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (78%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 78% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 4% White 3% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 13% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Prince George's

2024 margin
Solid D (+75.2) · D 86.3% · R 11.2% · Other 2.5%
2008→2024 swing
-3.3pp toward R · 2008: 78.5pp · 2024: 75.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+75.2 2020: D+80.5 2016: D+81.0 2012: D+80.9 2008: D+78.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -311.97%
Current HPI
335.5152
Rent YoY
▲ 5.90%
Metro
Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+390.6% since first listed
33 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-27 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-16 Price Changed $260,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-02-26 Price Changed $270,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-02-12 Price Changed $285,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-01-02 Price Changed $300,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-12-14 Listed $325,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2018-06-05 Sold (Public Records) $225,000 Public Records
  • 2018-04-27 Sold (MLS) $225,000 MRIS
  • 2018-04-27 Sold (MLS) $225,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2018-04-12 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2018-03-28 Contingent BRIGHT MLS
  • 2018-03-28 Pending MRIS
  • 2018-03-24 Listed $225,000 MRIS
  • 2018-03-24 Listed $225,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2018-01-04 Sold (MLS) $116,000 MRIS
  • 2018-01-04 Sold (MLS) $116,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2017-12-08 Pending MRIS
  • 2017-11-22 Relisted MRIS
  • 2017-10-27 Pending MRIS
  • 2017-10-23 Relisted MRIS
  • 2017-10-16 Delisted MRIS
  • 2017-10-11 Relisted MRIS
  • 2017-10-07 Delisted MRIS
  • 2017-10-03 Listed $124,800 MRIS
  • 2017-10-03 Listed $124,800 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2006-06-15 Sold (Public Records) $236,000 Public Records
  • 2004-05-26 Sold (Public Records) $145,000 Public Records
  • 2004-03-31 Sold (MLS) $145,000 MRIS
  • 2004-02-16 Delisted MRIS
  • 2003-12-15 Delisted MRIS
  • 2003-12-15 Listed $145,000 MRIS
  • 2003-06-27 Listed MRIS
  • 1985-07-26 Sold (Public Records) $53,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,063 · +4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…