4902 LA Barranca St · San Antonio, TX
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investors, this one is priced for the work and ready for your vision. Situated on a quiet cul-de-sac in a desirable neighborhood, this 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers strong bones and serious upside for the buyer willing to put in the effort. The oversized bedroom is a standout feature that will resonate with future tenants or buyers, and the large lot provides excellent outdoor potential. The pool will need to either be filled in or fully redone - a blank slate for whoever takes this on. Inside, some ceiling repairs are needed where sections have come down, making this a true renovation opportunity with room to build in solid equity. This is the kind of project that rewards the experienc
Key facts
- Great neighborhood
- Quiet cul-de-sac
- Oversized bedroom
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Voluntary HOA; Community includes pool, clubhouse, and park/playground
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water system
- Home design: Pre-owned single-family home; 3-sided masonry exterior
- Construction: Approximately 54 years old; Slab foundation; Composition roof
- Exterior features: In-ground pool; Subdivision amenities: pool, clubhouse, park/playground
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen approximately 16 x 11
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom (split floorplan), approximately 16 x 13; Bedroom 2, approximately 22 x 15; Bedroom 3, approximately 13 x 14
- Flooring: Carpeting; Saltillo tile flooring
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Master bath with shower only, approximately 10 x 8
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Washer and dryer connections; Two living areas
- Laundry & utility: Washer connection; Dryer connection
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $551 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
- North East ISD (urban): math 38% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #276 of 826 in TX (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: El Dorado El (math 22% / reading 30%, grade F, #2,954 of 4,322 statewide, top 69%, 552 students, 83% FRL); Madison H S (math 26% / reading 49%, grade F, #888 of 1,632 statewide, top 55%, 2,850 students, 53% FRL) — zoned schools average 68% FRL vs 41% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.1%/yr); 299 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.41% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.18%
- DSCR
- 1.81
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $280,670
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4902 LA Barranca St | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 2,210 (0%) | 0mo | $130,000 | $59 | 100 |
| 4911 El Gusto | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 2,197 (-1%) | 10mo | $270,000 | $123 | 82 |
| 13026 Los Espanada | 0.28mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,242 (+1%) | 4mo | $259,900 | $116 | 76 |
| 5003 Cozumel | 0.34mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,092 (-5%) | 9mo | $340,000 | $163 | 63 |
| 5026 LA Haya St | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,949 (-12%) | 1mo | $175,000 | $90 | 62 |
| 13318 Los Indios St | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 2,132 (-4%) | 1mo | $315,000 | $148 | 61 |
| 13207 De La Vis | 0.64mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,176 (-2%) | 1mo | $250,000 | $115 | 60 |
| 5043 Hacienda Dr | 0.58mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,241 (+1%) | 9mo | $284,900 | $127 | 58 |
| 5202 Linda Colonia | 0.48mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,023 (-8%) | 4mo | $345,000 | $171 | 56 |
| 5302 La Pradero | 0.52mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,034 (-8%) | 10mo | $330,000 | $162 | 49 |
| 5302 Las Campanas | 0.47mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,924 (-13%) | 8mo | $225,000 | $117 | 45 |
| 13115 La Ventana St | 0.45mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,924 (-13%) | 11mo | $255,000 | $133 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.24×
- Total profit
- $8,698
- Equity at exit
- $19,383
- IRR
- 12.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.88×
- Total profit
- $32,118
- Equity at exit
- $11,240
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78233
- Home prices YoY
- -31.0%
- Rents YoY
- -0.1%
- Active inventory
- 299
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,835 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$162 /mo · $1,950/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$385
- Net cashflow
- $551
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 25 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4910 El Presidio Dr San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,700 | $1.06 | 24d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 4915 Sierra Madre San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1596 | $1,495 | $0.94 | 11d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 12426 Magnifico St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1501 | $2,000 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 12714 La Quinta San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1626 | $1,950 | $1.20 | 24d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 4707 Pebble Gln San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2582 | $2,450 | $0.95 | 4d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 5106 Sierra Vis San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2111 | $1,825 | $0.86 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 4911 Buckwheat St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1640 | $1,759 | $1.07 | 24d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 4911 Buckwheat St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1640 | $1,579 | $0.96 | 2d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 4907 Dare Ln San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1614 | $1,899 | $1.18 | 22d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 4918 Dare Ln San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1620 | $1,795 | $1.11 | 11d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 12617 Thistle Down San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1621 | $1,875 | $1.16 | 15d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 4606 Crested Land San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1663 | $1,700 | $1.02 | 8d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 4278 Putting Grn San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1974 | $2,995 | $1.52 | 44d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 11252 Center Point Rd San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2613 | $1,050 | $0.40 | 24d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 11252 Center Point Rd San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2613 | $1,350 | $0.52 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 4322 Vespero San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1499 | $1,600 | $1.07 | 16d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 4318 Windswept San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1958 | $1,995 | $1.02 | 2d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 12619 Woodbrace St San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1843 | $2,100 | $1.14 | 18d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 12315 Constitution St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,675 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 4242 Bayliss St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1446 | $1,725 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 12923 Parton Ln San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1568 | $1,600 | $1.02 | 24d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 14423 Devout San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2042 | $2,300 | $1.13 | 8d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 4522 Sherwood Way San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1702 | $1,925 | $1.13 | 24d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 5050 Ayrshire San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1962 | $1,495 | $0.76 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 4507 Sherwood Way San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2301 | $1,995 | $0.87 | 3d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-22status Pending
-
2026-05-21$130,000 New
-
2004-04-27soldstatus
-
1980-07-01soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,021
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$1,950
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,762
- − Management
- −$1,762
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable income
- $4,834
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,160
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,456/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- North East ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4832940
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,715
- Composite
- 38.1/100
- National rank
- #4276
- State rank
- #276 of 826 in TX
Livability — San Antonio
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #31
- US rank
- #1616
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Antonio, TX
- County
- Bexar County · 1,990,555 people
- City population
- 1,806,925
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 48,911
- Household income
- $76,421
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1635.0
Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,336,851 people
- By 2030
- 2,560,728 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 3,020,569 · +29.3%
- By 2050
- 3,493,522 · +49.5%
- By 2075
- 4,668,459 · +99.8%
- By 2100
- 5,533,242 · +136.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 52% White 31% Two or more races 23% Black 11% Asian 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 42% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 69% English-only · Spanish 27% Korean 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bexar
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -123.27%
- Current HPI
- 274.943
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.06%
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Pending — LERA
- 2026-05-21 Listed $130,000 LERA
- 2004-04-27 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1980-07-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+5.7%/yrLatest (2025): $7,591 · +9.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…