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1821 Pine St
C+ Composite 61.06
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.6/10.0
  • DSCR +6.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$95,000

1821 Pine St · Port Huron, MI 48060
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,023 sqft · SingleFamily · 1 Days on market
Built 1908 0.27 ac lot Est $141k · 33% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This unique property is conveniently located near local amenities, schools, and parks, and provides easy access to the heart of Port Huron. Whether you are an investor looking to flip or a homeowner with a vision for your next project, 1821 Pine St. presents an outstanding opportunity to build equity and create a space that fits your needs and tastes. Do not miss your chance to capitalize on the potential of this home and make it your own! Schedule a showing today and explore the possibilities.

Key facts

  • 0.27 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1908

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $122 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
  • Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 4.6% in Port Huron — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#445 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, health & safety D, schools F.
  • Port Huron Area School District (suburban): math 23% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #368 of 540 in MI (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 220 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 54% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 232 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Clair County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $75k; 27% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.6% of price; built in 1908 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $95,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1908 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.26%
Cap rate
7.84%
Cash-on-cash
5.52%
DSCR
1.25
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$141,174
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1821 Pine St 0.00mi 2/1.0 1,023 (0%) 0mo $60,000 $59 100
741 17th St 0.16mi 2/1.0 924 (-10%) 0mo $135,000 $146 76
1503 Wall St 0.25mi 3/1.5 (+1) 930 (-9%) 0mo $128,000 $138 66
1312 11th St 0.65mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,008 (-2%) 3mo $72,500 $72 60
1424 14th St 0.50mi 2/1.0 1,124 (+10%) 1mo $155,000 $138 60
1504 18th St 0.40mi 2/1.0 900 (-12%) 3mo $118,000 $131 59
2213 Bancroft St 0.72mi 2/1.0 984 (-4%) 2mo $152,500 $155 58
1517 Gordon St 0.55mi 2/1.0 906 (-11%) 2mo $135,000 $149 54
2210 Griswold St 0.51mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,136 (+11%) 1mo $184,000 $162 52
2506 Division St 0.71mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,085 (+6%) 1mo $140,000 $129 51
113 Runnels St 0.72mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,138 (+11%) 2mo $65,000 $57 41
1909 Minnie St 0.62mi 3/1.0 (+1) 875 (-14%) 2mo $150,000 $171 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.61% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.8%
Equity multiple
0.75×
Total profit
$-6,747
Equity at exit
$14,165
10-year hold
IRR
3.8%
Equity multiple
1.29×
Total profit
$7,706
Equity at exit
$8,214

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48060

Rents YoY
3.6%
Active inventory
220
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,194 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$284 /mo · $3,402/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$251
Net cashflow
$122

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,040
Max offer price $95,000
Occupancy floor 85%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1613 Lapeer Ave Unit 2 Port Huron, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $875 $1.09 44d 1 0.32mi
937 Howard St Port Huron, MI 3.0 1.0 1080 $1,500 $1.39 18d 1 0.69mi
1820 Kern St Port Huron, MI 2.0 1.0 950 $1,000 $1.05 24d 1 0.74mi
145 Rural St Unit 145 Port Huron, MI 2.0 1.5 950 $1,190 $1.25 24d 1 0.77mi
619 Taylor St Port Huron, MI 2.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 716 $780 $1.09 2d 1 0.83mi
909 Stone St Unit 1 Port Huron, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,250 $1.14 44d 1 1.05mi
512 Quay St Port Huron, MI 1.0 1.0 1054 $1,700 $1.61 44d 1 1.10mi
508 Quay St Unit 3 Port Huron, MI 1.0 1.0 840 $2,500 $2.98 44d 1 1.10mi
218 Huron Ave Unit 303 Port Huron, MI 2.0 2.0 1239 $1,600 $1.29 44d 1 1.15mi
218 Huron Ave Apt 204 Port Huron, MI 2.0 2.0 1086 $1,700 $1.57 44d 1 1.15mi
208 Huron Ave Unit 202-2B Port Huron, MI 2.0 2.0 1096 $1,600 $1.46 44d 1 1.15mi
415 Griswold St Unit 3 Port Huron, MI 1.0 1.0 700 $875 $1.25 17d 1 1.17mi
2008 Military St #18 Port Huron, MI 2.0 1.0 750 $1,250 $1.67 18d 1 1.28mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2025-01-21
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (499 chars)

    This unique property is conveniently located near local amenities, schools, and parks, and provides easy access to the heart of Port Huron. Whether you are an investor looking to flip or a homeowner with a vision for your next project, 1821 Pine St. presents an outstanding opportunity to build equity and create a space that fits your needs and tastes. Do not miss your chance to capitalize on the potential of this home and make it your own! Schedule a showing today and explore the possibilities.

  2. 2025-01-21
    status Pending 499-char remark
    Show marketing remark (499 chars)

    This unique property is conveniently located near local amenities, schools, and parks, and provides easy access to the heart of Port Huron. Whether you are an investor looking to flip or a homeowner with a vision for your next project, 1821 Pine St. presents an outstanding opportunity to build equity and create a space that fits your needs and tastes. Do not miss your chance to capitalize on the potential of this home and make it your own! Schedule a showing today and explore the possibilities.

  3. 2025-01-21
    listed $95,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (499 chars)

    This unique property is conveniently located near local amenities, schools, and parks, and provides easy access to the heart of Port Huron. Whether you are an investor looking to flip or a homeowner with a vision for your next project, 1821 Pine St. presents an outstanding opportunity to build equity and create a space that fits your needs and tastes. Do not miss your chance to capitalize on the potential of this home and make it your own! Schedule a showing today and explore the possibilities.

  4. 2025-01-20
    listed $95,000 Active 499-char remark
    Show marketing remark (499 chars)

    This unique property is conveniently located near local amenities, schools, and parks, and provides easy access to the heart of Port Huron. Whether you are an investor looking to flip or a homeowner with a vision for your next project, 1821 Pine St. presents an outstanding opportunity to build equity and create a space that fits your needs and tastes. Do not miss your chance to capitalize on the potential of this home and make it your own! Schedule a showing today and explore the possibilities.

  5. 2003-03-25
    soldstatus $75,000
  6. 2002-11-16
    listed $84,900
  7. 2002-07-30
    historical
  8. 2002-01-25
    listed $92,500
  9. 1999-06-30
    soldstatus $86,000
  10. 1999-02-27
    listed $85,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,402 · $284/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,402 · $284/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,334
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$3,402
− Insurance
−$475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,147
− Management
−$1,147
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable income
$78
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$19
After-tax cash flow
$1,449/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Port Huron Area School District
NCES district ID
2628830
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$42,093
Composite
25.4/100
National rank
#7462
State rank
#368 of 540 in MI

Livability — Port Huron

Score
65/100
State rank
#445
US rank
#12478

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Port Huron, MI
County
Saint Clair County · 44,760 people
City population
39,342
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
39,342
Household income
$53,018
Rent vs Own
37.0% rent · 63.0% own
Severe rent burden
1808.0

Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
154,587 people
By 2030
150,031 · -2.9%
By 2040
138,177 · -10.6%
By 2050
124,390 · -19.5%
By 2075
95,825 · -38.0%
By 2100
68,672 · -55.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Black 7% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair

2024 margin
Solid R (+34.6) · D 32.0% · R 66.6% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-37.3pp toward R · 2008: 2.6pp · 2024: -34.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+34.6 2020: R+30.2 2016: R+31.4 2012: R+7.1 2008: D+2.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -134.75%
Current HPI
177.2401
Rent YoY
▲ 3.61%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+10.6% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2025-01-21 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2025-01-21 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-01-21 Listed $95,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-01-20 Listed $95,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2003-03-25 Sold (MLS) $75,000 REALCOMP
  • 2002-11-16 Listed $84,900 REALCOMP
  • 2002-07-30 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2002-01-25 Listed $92,500 REALCOMP
  • 1999-06-30 Sold (MLS) $86,000 REALCOMP
  • 1999-02-27 Listed $85,900 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+14.9%/yr

Latest (2023): $3,402 · +59.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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