141 Mckay Ln · Center Point, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +3.6/10.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
$123,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Enjoy peaceful country living with this 1,148 sq ft, 3-bedroom, 2-bath home set on 4 fully fenced acres in a quiet, private location. Relax and watch the wildlife from the large front porch, while enjoying your morning coffee or evening sunsets. Inside, the home features an efficient open layout with a cozy living area, functional kitchen, and comfortable bedrooms. Outside, there's plenty of space for animals, gardens, or recreation -- plus a handy storage shed for tools and equipment. Contact me today to see this property in person, This home won't last long!
Key facts
- Fully fenced acres
- Large front porch
- Handy storage shed
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Acreage community feature
Exterior
- Parking: No designated parking
- Home design: Manufactured home
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Metal roof; Workshop on the property
- Exterior features: Barbed wire and other fencing; Metal roof; Vinyl siding; On acreage
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Bedroom 1; Bedroom 2
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Includes two bedrooms, kitchen, and living room
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $123k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-26 ($-316/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $119k (3.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $104k (15.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $104k (15.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#344 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime B+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Avoyelles Parish (rural): math 22% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #56 of 98 in LA (top 57%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Lafargue Elementary School (math 34% / reading 47%, grade F, #218 of 646 statewide, top 34%, 556 students, 54% FRL); Marksville High School (math 16% / reading 20%, grade F, #196 of 265 statewide, top 74%, 675 students, 59% FRL) — zoned schools average 57% FRL vs 75% district-wide (19 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 15 units permitted in Avoyelles Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($850 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Avoyelles County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 273 days — a 12% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $64k; list at $123k implies a 92% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 273 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.92%
- DSCR
- 0.96
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.38×
- Total profit
- $13,153
- Equity at exit
- $55,306
- IRR
- 9.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.43×
- Total profit
- $49,219
- Equity at exit
- $85,233
Cash invested: $34,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71331
- Active inventory
- 3
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,043 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$645
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$154 /mo · $1,845/yr
- Insurance
- −$51
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$219
- Net cashflow
- $-26
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $59 | -5% $16 | +0% $-26 | +5% $-69 | +10% $-111 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-109 | -5% $-68 | +0% $-26 | +5% $15 | +10% $56 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $36 | -0.5pp $5 | base $-26 | +0.5pp $-58 | +1.0pp $-91 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,750
- Closing costs
- $3,690
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-06status Pending
-
2026-03-11price $123,000
-
2025-09-15price $125,500
-
2025-08-05$130,500 Active
-
2025-08-05$125,500 Active
-
2007-11-26soldstatus $64,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,511
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,890
- − Property taxes
- −$1,845
- − Insurance
- −$615
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,001
- − Management
- −$1,001
- − Depreciation
- −$3,578
- Taxable loss
- −$2,419
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$580
- After-tax cash flow
- $264/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Avoyelles Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200150
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -29.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,891
- Composite
- 21.32/100
- National rank
- #8378
- State rank
- #56 of 98 in LA
Livability — Center Point
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #344
- US rank
- #22930
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 1,103
- Population (ZIP)
- 765
Population outlook (Avoyelles County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 39,084 people
- By 2030
- 37,784 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 35,049 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 32,225 · -17.5%
- By 2075
- 25,695 · -34.3%
- By 2100
- 18,985 · -51.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Two or more races 16% Hispanic / Latino 10% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 11% Scottish 3%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Avoyelles
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.1) · D 27.8% · R 71.0% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.1pp toward R · 2008: -23.1pp · 2024: -43.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.1 2020: R+40.8 2016: R+37.0 2012: R+27.0 2008: R+23.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+92.2% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Pending — AcadianaMLS
- 2026-03-11 Price Changed $123,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-09-15 Price Changed $125,500 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-08-05 Listed $125,500 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-08-05 Listed $130,500 AcadianaMLS
- 2007-11-26 Sold (Public Records) $64,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.3%/yrLatest (2025): $204 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…