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141 Mckay Ln
D Composite 41.63
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +3.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0

$123,000

141 Mckay Ln · Center Point, LA 71331
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,148 sqft · Manufactured · 273 Days on market
Built 2006 4.00 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Enjoy peaceful country living with this 1,148 sq ft, 3-bedroom, 2-bath home set on 4 fully fenced acres in a quiet, private location. Relax and watch the wildlife from the large front porch, while enjoying your morning coffee or evening sunsets. Inside, the home features an efficient open layout with a cozy living area, functional kitchen, and comfortable bedrooms. Outside, there's plenty of space for animals, gardens, or recreation -- plus a handy storage shed for tools and equipment. Contact me today to see this property in person, This home won't last long!

Key facts

  • Fully fenced acres
  • Large front porch
  • Handy storage shed

Tags

FULLY FENCED ACRESLARGE FRONT PORCHEFFICIENT OPEN LAYOUTHANDY STORAGE SHED

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Acreage community feature

Exterior

  • Parking: No designated parking
  • Home design: Manufactured home
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Metal roof; Workshop on the property
  • Exterior features: Barbed wire and other fencing; Metal roof; Vinyl siding; On acreage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom 1; Bedroom 2
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Includes two bedrooms, kitchen, and living room
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $123k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-26 ($-316/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $119k (3.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $104k (15.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $104k (15.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#344 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime B+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Avoyelles Parish (rural): math 22% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #56 of 98 in LA (top 57%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Lafargue Elementary School (math 34% / reading 47%, grade F, #218 of 646 statewide, top 34%, 556 students, 54% FRL); Marksville High School (math 16% / reading 20%, grade F, #196 of 265 statewide, top 74%, 675 students, 59% FRL) — zoned schools average 57% FRL vs 75% district-wide (19 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 15 units permitted in Avoyelles Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($850 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Avoyelles County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 273 days — a 12% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $64k; list at $123k implies a 92% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $104,259 (15.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 273 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
6.04%
Cash-on-cash
-0.92%
DSCR
0.96
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.7%
Equity multiple
1.38×
Total profit
$13,153
Equity at exit
$55,306
10-year hold
IRR
9.5%
Equity multiple
2.43×
Total profit
$49,219
Equity at exit
$85,233

Cash invested: $34,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 71331

Active inventory
3
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,043 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$645
Tax est. 1.5%
$154 /mo · $1,845/yr
Insurance
$51
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$219
Net cashflow
$-26

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,076
Max offer price $119,184
Occupancy floor 98%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $59 -5% $16 +0% $-26 +5% $-69 +10% $-111
Rent -10% $-109 -5% $-68 +0% $-26 +5% $15 +10% $56
Rate -1.0pp $36 -0.5pp $5 base $-26 +0.5pp $-58 +1.0pp $-91

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,750
Closing costs
$3,690
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-06
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-11
    price $123,000
  3. 2025-09-15
    price $125,500
  4. 2025-08-05
    listed $130,500 Active
  5. 2025-08-05
    listed $125,500 Active
  6. 2007-11-26
    soldstatus $64,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,511
− Mortgage interest
−$6,890
− Property taxes
−$1,845
− Insurance
−$615
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,001
− Management
−$1,001
− Depreciation
−$3,578
Taxable loss
−$2,419
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$580
After-tax cash flow
$264/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Avoyelles Parish
NCES district ID
2200150
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -32.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -29.00%
Median HH income
$33,891
Composite
21.32/100
National rank
#8378
State rank
#56 of 98 in LA

Livability — Center Point

Score
56/100
State rank
#344
US rank
#22930

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing C Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
1,103
Population (ZIP)
765

Population outlook (Avoyelles County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
39,084 people
By 2030
37,784 · -3.3%
By 2040
35,049 · -10.3%
By 2050
32,225 · -17.5%
By 2075
25,695 · -34.3%
By 2100
18,985 · -51.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Two or more races 16% Hispanic / Latino 10% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 11% Scottish 3%
Languages at home
99% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Avoyelles

2024 margin
Solid R (+43.1) · D 27.8% · R 71.0% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-20.1pp toward R · 2008: -23.1pp · 2024: -43.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+43.1 2020: R+40.8 2016: R+37.0 2012: R+27.0 2008: R+23.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+92.2% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Pending AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-03-11 Price Changed $123,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2025-09-15 Price Changed $125,500 AcadianaMLS
  • 2025-08-05 Listed $125,500 AcadianaMLS
  • 2025-08-05 Listed $130,500 AcadianaMLS
  • 2007-11-26 Sold (Public Records) $64,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $204 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…