7333 Pine Forest Rd · Bellview, FL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$37,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
RENOVATED- SELLING AS IS, LAND LOT FEE $655 PLUS UTILITIES, METAL ROOF. PET FRIENDLY PARK. PARKING FOR 2 CARS. REFRIGERATOR AND STOVE INCLUDED. NEW OWNER CAN LIVE IN OR RENT IT OUT. SHED AND PORCH STAIRS INCLUDED. HAS A BRAND NEW ELECTRIC METER.
Key facts
- Pet friendly park
- Metal roof
- Parking for 2 cars
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Home design: Single-family property built in 1995
- Construction: Built in 1995
- Exterior features: Located in the Northwest Pensacola subdivision
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $38k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $38k).
- Recommended offer: $37k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 46.2% vs local median 5.2% in Bellview — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#561 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Escambia (suburban): math 40% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #56 of 73 in FL (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 423 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,479 units permitted in Escambia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $262 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Escambia County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.4% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($37k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 5.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 46.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- 142.46%
- DSCR
- 7.34
- GRM
- 1.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.42% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 8.25×
- Total profit
- $76,917
- Equity at exit
- $5,651
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 18.17×
- Total profit
- $182,204
- Equity at exit
- $3,277
Cash invested: $10,612 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32526
- Home prices YoY
- -28.3%
- Rents YoY
- 4.4%
- Active inventory
- 423
- Price-to-rent
- 1.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,926 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$199
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$47 /mo · $568/yr
- Insurance
- −$16
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$405
- Net cashflow
- $1,260
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,286 | -5% $1,273 | +0% $1,260 | +5% $1,247 | +10% $1,234 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,108 | -5% $1,184 | +0% $1,260 | +5% $1,336 | +10% $1,412 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,279 | -0.5pp $1,269 | base $1,260 | +0.5pp $1,250 | +1.0pp $1,240 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,475
- Closing costs
- $1,137
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6787 Rickwood Dr Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1931 | $2,100 | $1.09 | 15d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 7095 N Blue Angel Pkwy Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 2168 | $1,875 | $0.86 | 24d | 2 | 0.87mi |
Listing history 17 events
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2026-06-21days on market $37,900 Active 32 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $37,900 Active 29 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $37,900 Active 28 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $37,900 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $37,900 Active 26 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $37,900 Active 24 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $37,900 Active 21 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $37,900 Active 20 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $37,900 Active 19 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $37,900 Active 18 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $37,900 Active 14 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $37,900 Active 13 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $37,900 Active 12 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $37,900 Active 11 DOM
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2026-05-21$37,900 Active
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1998-09-04soldstatus $1,025,000
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1993-10-29soldstatus $565,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,115
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,123
- − Property taxes
- −$568
- − Insurance
- −$190
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,849
- − Management
- −$1,849
- − Depreciation
- −$1,103
- Taxable income
- $15,433
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,704
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,414/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Escambia
- NCES district ID
- 1200510
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,649
- Composite
- 36.04/100
- National rank
- #4773
- State rank
- #56 of 73 in FL
Livability — Bellview
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #561
- US rank
- #10731
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Escambia County · 301,722 people
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 44,680
- Household income
- $75,098
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1166.0
Population outlook (Escambia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 334,637 people
- By 2030
- 345,779 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 364,828 · +9.0%
- By 2050
- 378,514 · +13.1%
- By 2075
- 403,220 · +20.5%
- By 2100
- 386,125 · +15.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Black 19% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Escambia
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.5) · D 39.7% · R 59.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.2pp no change · 2008: -19.3pp · 2024: -19.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.5 2020: R+15.1 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+20.6 2008: R+19.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -99.68%
- Current HPI
- 252.6406
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.42%
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-93.3% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Listed $37,900 FSBO.com
- 1998-09-04 Sold (Public Records) $1,025,000 Public Records
- 1993-10-29 Sold (Public Records) $565,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.7%/yrLatest (2025): $66,647 · +39.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…