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4506 Lemoyne Ln
B- Composite 68.25
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,900

4506 Lemoyne Ln · Brent, FL 32505
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,469 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 30 Days on market
Built 1965 0.27 ac lot $95/sqft · 21% below area Est $176k · 21% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Great investment opportunity in Pensacola! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers 1,469 sqft of solid potential and is ready for its next owner to bring it back to life with cosmetic updates. Featuring a 2-year-old HVAC system and a 15-year-old roof that appears to be in good shape, some of the big-ticket items are already in place. The layout offers functional living space, good bedroom sizes, and plenty of upside for a quick cosmetic flip, long-term rental, or affordable primary residence. Conveniently located near shopping, schools, parks, and major roadways, this property is a strong opportunity in a growing rental market. With the right updates, this home has the potential to shine. Don't

Key facts

  • Roof
  • Hvac system
  • 0.27 acre lot

Tags

HVAC SYSTEMROOFFUNCTIONAL LIVING SPACEGROWING RENTAL MARKET

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Road maintenance not provided (no road maintenance responsibility)
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association

Exterior

  • Parking: Front entrance parking
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Electric service with circuit breakers
  • Home design: Single-story home; Not attached to another property; Resale property; Lot approximately 0.27 acres; Building area reported as 1,469 square feet; Slab foundation; Constructed with block and concrete
  • Construction: Block and concrete construction; Slab foundation; Shingle roof with gable design; One level
  • Exterior features: Shingle and gable roof; Paved road access; No horse privileges noted

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric water heater listed with appliances
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on the first floor (approx. 12' x 12'); Two additional first-floor bedrooms (each approx. 10' x 10')
  • Flooring: Tile
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air; Ceiling fan(s); Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Sun room; Tile flooring
  • Laundry & utility: Circuit breaker electrical panel

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $312 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
  • Recommended offer: $138k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 6.6% in Brent — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#484 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Escambia (suburban): math 40% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #56 of 73 in FL (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 203 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,479 units permitted in Escambia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Escambia County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($138k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $21k; list at $140k implies a 566% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $137,801 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.15%
Cap rate
8.97%
Cash-on-cash
9.56%
DSCR
1.43
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$176,342
List price
$139,900
Delta
-20.67%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4404 Ellysee Way 0.29mi 3/2.0 1,435 (-2%) 2mo $239,900 $167 81
812 Montclair Rd 0.27mi 3/2.0 1,433 (-2%) 6mo $192,000 $134 78
4517 Monpellier Dr 0.08mi 3/2.0 1,357 (-8%) 7mo $198,000 $146 78
4482 Rochelle Dr 0.34mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,524 (+4%) 2mo $89,000 $58 72
4511 St Nazaire Rd 0.38mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,508 (+3%) 4mo $130,000 $86 69
4505 Ellysee Way 0.19mi 3/2.0 1,279 (-13%) 4mo $182,500 $143 66
911 Medford Ave 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,279 (-13%) 2mo $206,000 $161 62
4514 Florelle Way 0.20mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,650 (+12%) 7mo $180,000 $109 60
702 Loire Way 0.39mi 3/1.0 1,297 (-12%) 3mo $100,000 $77 56
4260 Erress Blvd 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,325 (-10%) 6mo $140,000 $106 56
1231 Ft Smith Cir 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,274 (-13%) 3mo $219,000 $172 46
4607 Marseille Dr 0.47mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,638 (+12%) 8mo $245,000 $150 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.92% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.3%
Equity multiple
1.01×
Total profit
$402
Equity at exit
$20,860
10-year hold
IRR
11.8%
Equity multiple
2.01×
Total profit
$39,595
Equity at exit
$12,096

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32505

Home prices YoY
-26.5%
Rents YoY
4.9%
Active inventory
203
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,615 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$172 /mo · $2,061/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$339
Net cashflow
$312

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,220
Max offer price $139,900
Occupancy floor 76%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $391 -5% $352 +0% $312 +5% $272 +10% $233
Rent -10% $184 -5% $248 +0% $312 +5% $376 +10% $440
Rate -1.0pp $382 -0.5pp $348 base $312 +0.5pp $276 +1.0pp $239

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 18 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
918 Montclair Rd Pensacola, FL 3.0 1.0 1012 $1,500 $1.48 15d 1 0.20mi
918 Fremont Ave Pensacola, FL 3.0 1.0 1756 $1,450 $0.83 15d 1 0.28mi
902 Lucerne Ave Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1276 $1,600 $1.25 24d 1 0.38mi
5180 Burlington Ave Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1184 $1,650 $1.39 24d 1 0.51mi
2301 W Michigan Ave #21 Pensacola, FL 2.0 2.5 1164 $1,325 $1.14 24d 1 0.70mi
2303 W Michigan Ave Unit A6 Pensacola, FL 2.0 2.0 1014 $1,300 $1.28 24d 1 0.76mi
925 Twinbrook Ave Pensacola, FL 3.0 1.0 1105 $1,750 $1.58 24d 1 0.79mi
5602 W Shore Dr Unit B Pensacola, FL 2.0 2.0 920 $1,250 $1.36 24d 1 0.81mi
2300 W Michigan Ave #12 Pensacola, FL 2.0 2.0 1050 $1,300 $1.24 24d 1 1.03mi
2355 W Michigan Ave Pensacola, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 850 $1,450 $1.71 15d 9 1.13mi
2143 Yardley Cir Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1725 $2,300 $1.33 15d 1 1.15mi
3417 W Fisher St Unit C Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1106 $1,350 $1.22 24d 1 1.20mi
707 New York Dr Pensacola, FL 2.0 1.0 1266 $1,185 $0.94 24d 1 1.25mi
3418 Luke St Pensacola, FL 4.0 2.0 1620 $1,800 $1.11 24d 1 1.30mi
3296 Two Sisters Way Pensacola, FL 4.0 2.5 1856 $1,795 $0.97 24d 1 1.30mi
221 Edison Dr Pensacola, FL 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,598 $1.07 24d 1 1.36mi
3216 Two Sisters Way Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1117 $1,700 $1.52 24d 1 1.39mi
5877 Tryton Cir Pensacola, FL 4.0 2.0 1419 $1,825 $1.29 24d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-14
    statusdays on market $139,900 Pending 30 DOM
  2. 2026-06-10
    days on market $139,900 Active 28 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $139,900 Active 27 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $139,900 Active 26 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $139,900 Active 25 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    days on market $143,900 Active 21 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $143,900 Active 20 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $143,900 Active 19 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $143,900 Active 18 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $143,900 Active 17 DOM
  11. 2026-05-13
    listed $143,900 Active 768-char remark
  12. 1972-01-01
    soldstatus $21,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,061 · $172/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,061 · $172/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,377
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$2,061
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,550
− Management
−$1,550
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable income
$1,610
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$386
After-tax cash flow
$3,357/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Escambia
NCES district ID
1200510
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$44,649
Composite
36.04/100
National rank
#4773
State rank
#56 of 73 in FL

Livability — Brent

Score
69/100
State rank
#484
US rank
#8921

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Brent, FL
County
Escambia County · 301,722 people
City population
27,543
Metro
Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
Population (ZIP)
27,877
Household income
$44,783
Rent vs Own
47.7% rent · 52.3% own
Severe rent burden
1458.0

Population outlook (Escambia County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
334,637 people
By 2030
345,779 · +3.3%
By 2040
364,828 · +9.0%
By 2050
378,514 · +13.1%
By 2075
403,220 · +20.5%
By 2100
386,125 · +15.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
Black 48% White 32% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 9% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Escambia

2024 margin
R (+19.5) · D 39.7% · R 59.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-0.2pp no change · 2008: -19.3pp · 2024: -19.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.5 2020: R+15.1 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+20.6 2008: R+19.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -74.10%
Current HPI
205.45
Rent YoY
▲ 4.92%
Metro
Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+566.2% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Pending PARMLS
  • 2026-06-04 Price Changed $139,900 PARMLS
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $143,900 PARMLS
  • 1972-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $21,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+18.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,061 · +536.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…