156 W Frick St · Macon, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.4/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
In the heart of Macon, IL - enjoy small-town living & Meridian School District. Enjoy the early 1900s charm, such as the molded trim throughout, the built-in bookcase, tall ceilings, and large rooms! Featuring two bedrooms, multiple living spaces, a large enclosed front porch, main floor laundry, and plenty of possibilities for your own personal touch. Newer HVAC. Priced to sell!
Key facts
- Macon il
- Molded trim
- Tall ceilings
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $234 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $85k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#421 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Meridian CUSD 15 (rural): math 21% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #353 of 620 in IL (top 57%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP; 63 units permitted in Macon County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Macon County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($85k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.18%
- DSCR
- 1.50
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $107,803
- List price
- $89,900
- Delta
- -16.61%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 115 E Glenn St | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,456 (-5%) | 11mo | $92,000 | $63 | 69 |
| 199 Shaw St | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,432 (-6%) | 23mo | $89,900 | $63 | 56 |
| 330 W Eckhardt St | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,670 (+9%) | 23mo | $93,900 | $56 | 50 |
| 265 Dunn St | 0.15mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,317 (-14%) | 22mo | $40,000 | $30 | 47 |
| 461 Woodcock St | 0.42mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,630 (+7%) | 18mo | $157,000 | $96 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.02×
- Total profit
- $396
- Equity at exit
- $13,404
- IRR
- 10.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.78×
- Total profit
- $19,700
- Equity at exit
- $7,773
Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62544
- Home prices YoY
- -13.5%
- Active inventory
- 31
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,113 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$471
- Tax from tax record
- −$136 /mo · $1,633/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$234
- Net cashflow
- $234
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $285 | -5% $260 | +0% $234 | +5% $209 | +10% $184 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $147 | -5% $190 | +0% $234 | +5% $278 | +10% $322 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $280 | -0.5pp $257 | base $234 | +0.5pp $211 | +1.0pp $187 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,475
- Closing costs
- $2,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-19statusdays on market $89,900 Pending 64 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,900 Active Under Contract 63 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,900 Active Under Contract 62 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,900 Active Under Contract 61 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,900 Active Under Contract 60 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $89,900 Active Under Contract 58 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,900 Active Under Contract 57 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $89,900 Active Under Contract 55 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,900 Active Under Contract 54 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,900 Active Under Contract 53 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,900 Active Under Contract 52 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $89,900 Active Under Contract 48 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,900 Active Under Contract 47 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,900 Active Under Contract 46 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,900 Active Under Contract 45 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $89,900 Active Under Contract 44 DOM
-
2026-04-16$89,900 Active 388-char remark
Show marketing remark (388 chars)
In the heart of Macon, IL - enjoy small-town living & Meridian School District. Enjoy the early 1900s charm, such as the molded trim throughout, the built-in bookcase, tall ceilings, and large rooms! Featuring two bedrooms, multiple living spaces, a large enclosed front porch, main floor laundry, and plenty of possibilities for your own personal touch. Newer HVAC. Priced to sell!
-
2025-05-07$89,900 Active
-
2022-04-20soldstatus $80,000
-
2022-04-19soldstatus $80,000
-
2022-04-19soldstatus $80,000
-
2022-02-25$76,897
-
2022-02-25$76,897
-
2010-11-05soldstatus $53,100
-
2010-11-05soldstatus $53,500
-
2010-08-25$54,897
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,633 · $136/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,837 · $153/mo
- Expected delta
- +$204/yr (+$17/mo · 12.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,359
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,036
- − Property taxes
- −$1,633
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,069
- − Management
- −$1,069
- − Depreciation
- −$2,615
- Taxable income
- $1,488
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$357
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,456/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Meridian CUSD 15
- NCES district ID
- 1700123
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,708
- Composite
- 21.13/100
- National rank
- #8434
- State rank
- #353 of 620 in IL
Livability — Macon
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #421
- US rank
- #8609
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Macon, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,719
Population outlook (Macon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 99,568 people
- By 2030
- 94,973 · -4.6%
- By 2040
- 85,250 · -14.4%
- By 2050
- 75,920 · -23.8%
- By 2075
- 55,962 · -43.8%
- By 2100
- 36,468 · -63.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 2% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 5% Serbian 4% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 0% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · Macon
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.9) · D 39.8% · R 58.7% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.0pp toward R · 2008: 1.1pp · 2024: -18.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.9 2020: R+17.7 2016: R+18.1 2012: R+5.2 2008: D+1.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -23.24%
- Current HPI
- 149.0724
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+63.8% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Listed $89,900 CIBR
- 2025-05-07 Listed $89,900 CIBR
- 2022-04-20 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
- 2022-04-19 Sold (MLS) $80,000 CIBR
- 2022-04-19 Sold (MLS) $80,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-02-25 Listed $76,897 CIBR
- 2022-02-25 Listed $76,897 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-11-05 Sold (Public Records) $53,500 Public Records
- 2010-11-05 Sold (MLS) $53,100 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-08-25 Listed $54,897 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+2.9%/yrLatest (2024): $1,633 · +33.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…