904 N Rosedale St · Baltimore, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.0/30.0
- DSCR +9.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.4/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$140,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this inviting 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home in Baltimore, where charm and modern updates blend seamlessly. Fresh paint, hardwood floors, and crown molding enhance the warm and welcoming atmosphere. The main floor features a spacious living room with abundant natural light, a dining area, and a thoughtfully updated kitchen with new appliances and stylish cabinetry, creating a functional and inviting space for daily living. Upstairs, three bedrooms provide comfortable retreats, while the full bathroom offers contemporary fixtures for convenience. The lower level is a versatile full basement, ready to meet your storage or workspace needs. Outside, the home boasts a charming front porch
Key facts
- New appliances
- Updated kitchen
- Crown molding
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $394 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $132k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 252 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,734/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($42k/yr) (locally 2264% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.1% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 12 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $66k; list at $140k implies a 112% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.06%
- DSCR
- 1.54
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $70,200
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3039 Harlem Ave | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 | 1,070 (-1%) | 1mo | $27,500 | $26 | 91 |
| 3224 Belmont Ave | 0.39mi | 3/1.5 | 1,178 (+9%) | 1mo | $77,000 | $65 | 64 |
| 222 N Hilton St | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 1,120 (+4%) | 1mo | $89,775 | $80 | 64 |
| 537 Longwood St | 0.30mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,176 (+9%) | 0mo | $60,000 | $51 | 62 |
| 2727 Baker St | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 1,116 (+3%) | 3mo | $125,000 | $112 | 61 |
| 3302 W Franklin St | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (-11%) | 2mo | $50,000 | $52 | 61 |
| 2952 Presstman St | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 980 (-9%) | 1mo | $60,000 | $61 | 60 |
| 1218 N Longwood St | 0.30mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,190 (+10%) | 2mo | $56,000 | $47 | 58 |
| 3306 W Franklin St | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 960 (-11%) | 1mo | $51,500 | $54 | 57 |
| 133 N Monastery Ave | 0.73mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,080 (0%) | 3mo | $142,000 | $131 | 54 |
| 3806 Rokeby Rd | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,160 (+7%) | 2mo | $120,000 | $103 | 54 |
| 119 Hilton St | 0.75mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,040 (-4%) | 0mo | $211,000 | $203 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.1% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.20×
- Total profit
- $8,012
- Equity at exit
- $20,874
- IRR
- 17.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.63×
- Total profit
- $63,798
- Equity at exit
- $12,105
Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Baltimore
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
ZIP-level market 21216
- Rents YoY
- 6.1%
- Active inventory
- 252
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,734 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$183 /mo · $2,199/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$364
- Net cashflow
- $394
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,000
- Closing costs
- $4,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3015 Rayner Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $1,350 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 1042 Ellicott Dr Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,450 | $1.61 | 43d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 3238 Westmont Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1280 | $1,600 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 2806 Riggs Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1412 | $1,900 | $1.35 | 3d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 2744 W Mosher St Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1412 | $2,100 | $1.49 | 23d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 709 Denison St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 840 | $1,630 | $1.94 | 23d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 780 Linnard St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1224 | $1,590 | $1.30 | 43d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 2728 Winchester St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1260 | $1,800 | $1.43 | 3d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 787 N Grantley St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1116 | $1,575 | $1.41 | 23d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 798 N Grantley St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1360 | $2,295 | $1.69 | 23d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 3003 Presstman St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,400 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 3003 Presstman St Unit 2 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1450 | $1,300 | $0.90 | 23d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 730 Linnard St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1360 | $1,750 | $1.29 | 23d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 3423 Edmondson Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $1,710 | $1.22 | 43d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 2815 W Mulberry St Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $2,050 | $1.97 | 43d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 2636 Lauretta Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1232 | $1,900 | $1.54 | 43d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 3507 Edmondson Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1428 | $2,300 | $1.61 | 43d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 2800 Presstman St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1460 | $1,799 | $1.23 | 23d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 623 N Grantley St Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $2,000 | $1.60 | 23d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 3309 Brighton St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1134 | $1,700 | $1.50 | 43d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 2609 Lauretta Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1286 | $1,675 | $1.30 | 23d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 3127 Baker St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 43d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 405 N Edgewood St Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1408 | $2,950 | $2.10 | 4d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 3712 Gelston Dr Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $2,500 | $2.00 | 23d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 3706 W Franklin St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 735 | $1,100 | $1.50 | 4d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 3607 W Lexington St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,895 | $1.80 | 4d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 41 N Kossuth St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1216 | $1,800 | $1.48 | 23d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 3003 W North Ave Baltimore, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 841 | $935 | $1.11 | 2d | 3 | 0.74mi |
| 2303 Calverton Heights Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1314 | $2,250 | $1.71 | 23d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2301 Riggs Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1072 | $1,600 | $1.49 | 23d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 918 N Bentalou St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1485 | $1,750 | $1.18 | 43d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 3310 Elbert St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,550 | $1.68 | 23d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 3935 Stokes Dr #1 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,400 | $1.22 | 43d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 4020 Gelston Dr Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1270 | $1,875 | $1.48 | 43d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1307 Wildwood Pkwy Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,295 | $1.79 | 43d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 3336 W Caton Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1236 | $1,625 | $1.31 | 23d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 4103 Mountwood Rd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1030 | $1,700 | $1.65 | 43d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 2636 W North Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 975 | $1,475 | $1.51 | 4d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1617 Moreland Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,450 | $1.61 | 23d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 4103 Stokes Dr Apt 1 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,095 | $1.51 | 43d | 1 | 0.93mi |
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-04-08status Pending
-
2026-01-21$140,000 Active
-
2025-12-31historical
-
2025-11-24status Active
-
2025-10-20status Pending
-
2025-10-01$140,000 Active
-
2025-10-01historical
-
2025-09-10$147,000 Active
-
2025-09-09historical
-
2025-08-13$150,000 Active
-
2025-08-13historical
-
2025-08-11status Active
-
2025-07-07status Pending
-
2025-05-29$150,000 Active
-
2025-05-29historical
-
2025-05-07$162,000 Active
-
2025-05-05historical
-
2025-01-08$170,000 Active
-
2025-01-08historical
-
2024-11-22$172,000 Active
-
2024-11-22historical
-
2005-06-03soldstatus $65,900
-
2005-05-11soldstatus $65,900
-
2005-04-16historical
-
2005-01-29$65,900
-
2000-12-30historical
-
2000-06-03
-
1998-11-16soldstatus $65,000
-
1998-11-16soldstatus $65,000
-
1990-07-17soldstatus $43,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,199 · $183/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,199 · $183/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,806
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,842
- − Property taxes
- −$2,199
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,664
- − Management
- −$1,664
- − Depreciation
- −$4,073
- Taxable income
- $2,663
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$639
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,088/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore City Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400090
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,108
- Composite
- 10.08/100
- National rank
- #9805
- State rank
- #24 of 24 in MD
Livability — Baltimore
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3396
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Baltimore, MD
- County
- Baltimore City · 558,601 people
- City population
- 588,727
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,426
- Household income
- $42,031
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2264.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 624,249 people
- By 2030
- 621,541 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 609,756 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 597,249 · -4.3%
- By 2075
- 552,236 · -11.5%
- By 2100
- 513,934 · -17.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 91% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3% White 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -107.42%
- Current HPI
- 164.3933
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.10%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
||
| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+225.6% since first listed30 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-08 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-01-21 Listed $140,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-12-31 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-11-24 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-10-20 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-10-01 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-10-01 Listed $140,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-09-10 Listed $147,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-09-09 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-08-13 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-08-13 Listed $150,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-08-11 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-07-07 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-05-29 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-05-29 Listed $150,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-05-07 Listed $162,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-05-05 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-01-08 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-01-08 Listed $170,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-11-22 Listed $172,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-11-22 Coming Soon — BRIGHT MLS
- 2005-06-03 Sold (Public Records) $65,900 Public Records
- 2005-05-11 Sold (MLS) $65,900 MRIS
- 2005-04-16 Delisted — MRIS
- 2005-01-29 Listed $65,900 MRIS
- 2000-12-30 Delisted — MRIS
- 2000-06-03 Listed — MRIS
- 1998-11-16 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 1998-11-16 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 1990-07-17 Sold (Public Records) $43,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2025): $2,199 · +11.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…