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11000 N 91st Ave #49
C+ Composite 63.67
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$64,900

11000 N 91st Ave #49 · Peoria, AZ 85345
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 896 sqft · Manufactured · 18 Days on market
Built 1988 Good condition Est $48k · 34% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Wow! Affordable living in the heart of Peoria! This beautifully updated 2-bedroom, 2-bath home is located in a family-friendly community and priced under $65,000, with one of the lowest monthly land lease fees in the Valley at just $550 per month. Step inside and enjoy a bright, open floor plan featuring fresh interior paint, brand-new luxury vinyl plank (LVP) flooring throughout the main living areas, and new carpet in both bedrooms. The updated kitchen showcases white shaker cabinetry with upgraded brushed nickel hardware and a full suite of new stainless-steel appliances. Enjoy added peace of mind with a newer A/C unit and a seller-provided home warranty that includes A/C coverage for on

Key facts

  • Home warranty
  • Newer a/c unit
  • Updated kitchen

Tags

BRIGHT OPEN FLOOR PLANUPDATED KITCHENWHITE SHAKER CABINETRYNEW STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESNEWER A/C UNITHOME WARRANTY

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Land lease (monthly fee); Land lease amount $550 per month; Association covers water, sewer and trash; Community pool; Near bus stop

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 covered parking spaces; Tandem garage with separate storage area; 2 carport spaces
  • Utilities: City water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Manufactured/Mobile home; Leasehold property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Wood frame construction; Painted exterior; Built-up roof
  • Exterior features: Screened-in patio(s); Shed(s); Gravel/stone front yard; Gravel/stone backyard; Partial block fencing

Interior

  • Kitchen: Built-in microwave; Refrigerator; Kitchen island; Pantry; Eat-in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: 2 possible bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air; Ceiling fans; Electric heating; Floor furnace; Wall furnace
  • Interior features: High-speed internet; Eat-in kitchen; Vaulted ceilings; Kitchen island; Pantry; Master bedroom with 3/4 bath; Dual-pane windows
  • Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookup (washer/dryer not included)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $65k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $810 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $64k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 21.3% vs local median 3.3% in Peoria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#14 in AZ, #3,603 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, commute A, employment A; Watch: cost of living C-, amenities D, health & safety F.
  • Peoria Unified School District (4237) (suburban): math 36% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #64 of 249 in AZ (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Cheyenne Elementary School (math 26% / reading 31%, grade F, #580 of 1,109 statewide, top 53%, 598 students, 72% FRL); Peoria High School (math 18% / reading 22%, grade F, #225 of 381 statewide, top 60%, 1,566 students, 54% FRL) — zoned schools average 63% FRL vs 35% district-wide (28 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 24% at this address vs 39% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Peoria Unified School District (4237) average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 333 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.6% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $63,926 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.45%
Cap rate
21.27%
Cash-on-cash
53.48%
DSCR
3.38
GRM
3.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$48,384
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
10810 N 91st Ave #45 0.12mi 3/2.0 (+1) 896 (0%) 3mo $80,000 $89 87
11411 N 91st Ave #215 0.30mi 2/2.0 966 (+8%) 4mo $12,000 $12 70
11000 N 91st Ave #84 0.05mi 3/1.0 (+1) 980 (+9%) 4mo $60,000 $61 69
10951 N 91st Ave #177 0.40mi 2/1.5 924 (+3%) 6mo $37,500 $41 69
10951 N 91st Ave #223 0.16mi 2/2.0 1,024 (+14%) 0mo $69,900 $68 68
11411 N 91st Ave #131 0.30mi 2/2.0 980 (+9%) 4mo $46,000 $47 67
11411 N 91st Ave #48 0.30mi 2/2.0 980 (+9%) 8mo $14,000 $14 64
11411 N 91st Ave #28 0.30mi 2/1.0 812 (-9%) 4mo $27,750 $34 63
10951 N 91st Ave #216 0.40mi 2/2.0 980 (+9%) 6mo $82,000 $84 61
11411 N 91st Ave #235 0.30mi 2/2.0 1,024 (+14%) 6mo $85,000 $83 58
10701 N 99th Ave #178 0.70mi 2/1.0 840 (-6%) 0mo $15,000 $18 53
10701 N 99th Ave #136 0.70mi 2/2.0 1,020 (+14%) 6mo $55,000 $54 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.62% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
48.9%
Equity multiple
3.06×
Total profit
$37,362
Equity at exit
$9,677
10-year hold
IRR
53.4%
Equity multiple
5.65×
Total profit
$84,473
Equity at exit
$5,611

Cash invested: $18,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 85345

Home prices YoY
-19.8%
Rents YoY
0.6%
Active inventory
333
Price-to-rent
3.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,593 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$340
Tax est. 1.5%
$81 /mo · $974/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$335
Net cashflow
$810

Break-even live

Break-even rent $568
Max offer price $64,900
Occupancy floor 44%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,225
Closing costs
$1,947
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 21 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
11411 N 91st Ave Unit 213 Peoria, AZ 2.0 2.0 858 $1,399 $1.63 24d 1 0.27mi
8821 W Sahuaro Dr Peoria, AZ 3.0 2.0 1074 $1,595 $1.49 3d 1 0.49mi
8821 W Sahuaro Dr Peoria, AZ 3.0 2.0 1074 $1,595 $1.49 24d 1 0.49mi
8757 W Peoria Ave Peoria, AZ 2.0 1.0 564 $1,539 $2.73 3d 14 0.61mi
10701 N 99th Ave Unit 230 Peoria, AZ 2.0 2.0 784 $1,099 $1.40 20d 1 0.70mi
8650 W Peoria Ave Peoria, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 836 $1,492 $1.78 2d 19 0.72mi
8560 W Peoria Ave Peoria, AZ 2.0 1.0 888 $1,450 $1.63 1d 8 0.79mi
10860 N 85th Ave Peoria, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0 630 $1,350 $2.14 3d 1 0.81mi
10860 N 85th Ave Peoria, AZ 2.0 1.0 780 $1,225 $1.57 44d 1 0.81mi
10860 N 85th Ave Unit 87 Peoria, AZ 2.0 1.0 780 $1,149 $1.47 5d 1 0.81mi
10104 N 96th Dr Unit A Peoria, AZ 2.0 2.0 1072 $1,750 $1.63 24d 1 0.85mi
10110 N 97th Dr Unit A Peoria, AZ 2.0 1.5 1025 $1,500 $1.46 24d 1 0.93mi
10822 N Balboa Dr Sun City, AZ 2.0 1.0 942 $3,000 $3.18 24d 1 1.02mi
12751 N Plaza Del Rio Blvd Peoria, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1007 $1,890 $1.88 1d 10 1.06mi
11429 N 83rd Ave #2 Peoria, AZ 1.0 1.0 750 $1,100 $1.47 24d 1 1.16mi
8280 W Madison St Peoria, AZ 2.0 2.0 800 $1,400 $1.75 44d 1 1.23mi
8940 W Olive Ave Peoria, AZ 2.0 2.0 897 $1,400 $1.56 17d 1 1.26mi
9680 W Olive Ave Peoria, AZ 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 850 $1,540 $1.81 2d 9 1.31mi
8165 W Whitney Dr Peoria, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 911 $2,223 $2.44 1d 229 1.42mi
13310 N Plaza del Rio Blvd Peoria, AZ 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 981 $1,556 $1.59 2d 13 1.47mi
9625 W Olive Ave Peoria, AZ 1.0–3.0 1.0–3.0 1485 $2,136 $1.44 5d 7 1.49mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $64,900 Active 18 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $64,900 Active 17 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $64,900 Active 16 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $64,900 Active 15 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $64,900 Active 13 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $64,900 Active 12 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $64,900 Active 9 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $64,900 Active 8 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $64,900 Active 7 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $64,900 Active 4 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $64,900 Active 3 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $64,900 Active 2 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    remarks 699-char remark
  14. 2026-06-01
    listed $64,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥113°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,115
− Mortgage interest
−$3,635
− Property taxes
−$974
− Insurance
−$324
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,529
− Management
−$1,529
− Depreciation
−$1,888
Taxable income
$9,235
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,216
After-tax cash flow
$7,502/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This well-maintained, updated 2-bedroom, 2-bath home in Peoria offers a bright, open floor plan with new flooring and appliances, making it a great investment opportunity.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value
  • Both Replace carpet in bedrooms — Improves comfort and adds value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value
  • Both Replace carpet in bedrooms — Improves comfort and adds value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Peoria Unified School District (4237)
NCES district ID
0406250
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$60,171
Composite
34.62/100
National rank
#5152
State rank
#64 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Peoria

Score
76/100
State rank
#14
US rank
#3603

Category grades

Amenities D Commute A Cost of living C- Crime B Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Peoria, AZ
County
Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
City population
206,687
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
Population (ZIP)
60,918
Household income
$67,380
Rent vs Own
33.5% rent · 66.5% own
Severe rent burden
1879.0

Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
4,979,203 people
By 2030
5,378,229 · +8.0%
By 2040
6,156,598 · +23.6%
By 2050
6,872,376 · +38.0%
By 2075
8,401,270 · +68.7%
By 2100
9,247,439 · +85.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 51% Hispanic / Latino 34% Two or more races 14% Black 5% Asian 4% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 29%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
76% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -80.77%
Current HPI
328.1069
Rent YoY
▲ 0.62%
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-30 Listed $64,900 ARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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