Duplex
5217 Hickory Woods Ln · Chattanooga, TN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $949 – $1,763
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 10.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.0/30.0
- ARV discount +14.4/15.0
- DSCR +7.7/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$262,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Well-maintained duplex located in the desirable Hixson submarket, offering a strong combination of in-place income and future upside. Each side features a 2-bedroom, 1-bath layout with functional floor plans that appeal to long-term tenants. The property was updated approximately 8 years ago, providing a solid foundation for continued performance with the opportunity for additional value-add improvements over time. Unit 1 is currently leased at $716/month on a month-to-month basis, while Unit 2 is leased at $1,072/month, also month-to-month--providing flexibility for an investor to adjust rents toward market levels or occupy one side if desired. The variance in rents presents a clear path t
Key facts
- Proven rental market
- 0.41 acre lot
- Built 1970
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No community features
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Duplex residential income property; One level
- Construction: Shingle roof; Construction: Other
- Exterior features: Level lot; Lot dimensions approximately 152.88 x 118.4 (0.41 acres)
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central electric cooling (central air)
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Crawl space basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $263k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $513 ($6k/yr) — positive. Per door: $257/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $263k).
- Recommended offer: $255k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 3.4% in Chattanooga — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#3 in TN, #2,582 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
- Hamilton County (urban): math 31% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #42 of 139 in TN (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Hixson Elementary (math 24% / reading 20%, grade F, #601 of 952 statewide, top 66%, 402 students, 0% FRL); Hixson Middle School (math 27% / reading 20%, grade F, #162 of 333 statewide, top 50%, 607 students, 0% FRL); Hixson High School (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #104 of 332 statewide, top 33%, 935 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 52% district-wide (52 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 459 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 2,133 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (405 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($82k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hamilton County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($255k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.37%
- DSCR
- 1.37
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $310,708
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4714 Metro Park Ln | 0.65mi | 4/2.0 | 1,704 (-5%) | 3mo | $295,000 | $173 | 58 |
| 1202 Gadd Rd | 0.51mi | 4/2.0 | 1,562 (-13%) | 11mo | $253,000 | $162 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.41% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.84×
- Total profit
- $-11,588
- Equity at exit
- $39,199
- IRR
- 4.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.34×
- Total profit
- $25,210
- Equity at exit
- $22,731
Cash invested: $73,612 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Tennessee
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 37343
- Rents YoY
- 2.4%
- Active inventory
- 459
- Price-to-rent
- 16.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,710 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,379
- Tax from tax record
- −$139 /mo · $1,673/yr
- Insurance
- −$110
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$569
- Net cashflow
- $513
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $662 | -5% $588 | +0% $513 | +5% $439 | +10% $364 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $299 | -5% $406 | +0% $513 | +5% $620 | +10% $727 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $646 | -0.5pp $580 | base $513 | +0.5pp $445 | +1.0pp $376 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,710 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,355 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,355 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,710 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $65,725
- Closing costs
- $7,887
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1300 Highcrest Dr Hixson, TN | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2183 | $2,100 | $0.96 | 15d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1438 Ely Rd Hixson, TN | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1600 | $2,500 | $1.56 | 24d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-02days on market $262,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $262,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $262,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $262,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-04-29status Active
-
2026-04-22status Pending
-
2026-04-17$262,900 Active
-
2022-07-15soldstatus $240,000
-
2022-04-02price $990
-
2021-02-22soldstatus $614,484
-
2019-06-07$134,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,673 · $139/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,867 · $156/mo
- Expected delta
- +$193/yr (+$16/mo · 11.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,520
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,726
- − Property taxes
- −$1,673
- − Insurance
- −$1,314
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,602
- − Management
- −$2,602
- − Depreciation
- −$7,648
- Taxable income
- $1,954
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$469
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,690/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hamilton County
- NCES district ID
- 4701590
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,456
- Composite
- 26.8/100
- National rank
- #7122
- State rank
- #42 of 139 in TN
Livability — Chattanooga
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #2582
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Chattanooga, TN
- County
- Hamilton County · 312,777 people
- City population
- 131,999
- Metro
- Chattanooga, TN-GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 45,101
- Household income
- $82,227
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1152.0
Population outlook (Hamilton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 393,784 people
- By 2030
- 412,983 · +4.9%
- By 2040
- 449,502 · +14.1%
- By 2050
- 484,341 · +23.0%
- By 2075
- 565,746 · +43.7%
- By 2100
- 618,394 · +57.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Black 5% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hamilton
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.1) · D 42.7% · R 55.7% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.2pp toward R · 2008: -11.8pp · 2024: -13.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.1 2020: R+9.7 2016: R+16.6 2012: R+14.8 2008: R+11.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -324.61%
- Current HPI
- 260.3778
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- Metro
- Chattanooga, TN-GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 3 | $91B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $72B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $88B |
|
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| Paper / Packaging | 1 | $19B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $13B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+95.5% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Relisted — GCAR
- 2026-04-22 Pending — GCAR
- 2026-04-17 Listed $262,900 GCAR
- 2022-07-15 Sold (Public Records) $240,000 Public Records
- 2022-04-02 Price Changed $990 RENT.
- 2021-02-22 Sold (Public Records) $614,484 Public Records
- 2019-06-07 Listed $134,500 RCAOR
Property tax history
+5.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,673 · +30.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…