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10135 Whistling Pne Ct
D Composite 40.26
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +5.9/15.0
  • Condition / age +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • DSCR +3.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$245,000

10135 Whistling Pne Ct · Jacksonville, FL 32221
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,517 sqft · Townhouse public records · 45 Days on market
Built 2026 Excellent condition 3,049 sqft lot Est $237k · at est. $195/mo HOA · 10% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Contact Sales for Details

Key facts

  • Versatile loft space
  • Private patio
  • Large island

Tags

SCENIC WATER VIEWSPRIVATE PATIOVERSATILE LOFT SPACETHOUGHTFULLY DESIGNED KITCHENLARGE ISLANDWALK-IN PANTRY

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with a $195 monthly fee; Association fee includes water; Association reports no additional amenities; Not a senior community

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage with garage door opener; Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Underground electric; Public sewer; Water available; Sewer connected; Electricity connected; Cable available
  • Home design: Townhouse; Property attached
  • Construction: Fiber cement and frame construction; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Patio; Pond; Front and rear sprinklers; City street frontage; Asphalt road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven and range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric water heater; Other appliances
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Heat pump; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Two levels; 2 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath townhouse listed at $245k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-72 ($-864/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $232k (5.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $199k (18.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $199k (18.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.9% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
  • Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Crystal Springs Elementary School (math 51% / reading 41%, grade D-, #1,234 of 2,144 statewide, top 58%, 907 students, 66% FRL); Charger Academy (math 33% / reading 26%, grade F, #469 of 571 statewide, top 84%, 961 students, 71% FRL); Edward H. White High School (math 31% / reading 25%, grade F, #464 of 667 statewide, top 70%, 1,538 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 67% FRL vs 49% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.1%/yr); 219 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($238k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $199,355 (18.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.81%
Cap rate
5.94%
Cash-on-cash
-1.26%
DSCR
0.94
GRM
10.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$236,652
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
10130 Whistling Pne Ct 0.03mi 3/2.5 1,526 (+1%) 1mo $238,390 $156 95
1856 Normandy Pines Ln 0.03mi 3/2.5 1,526 (+1%) 1mo $238,390 $156 95
10126 Whistling Pne Ct 0.03mi 3/2.5 1,526 (+1%) 1mo $242,890 $159 94
1880 Normandy Pines Ln 0.05mi 3/2.5 1,526 (+1%) 1mo $239,390 $157 94
1860 Normandy Pines Ln 0.03mi 3/2.5 1,526 (+1%) 2mo $241,390 $158 94
10124 Whistling Pne Ct 0.03mi 3/2.5 1,536 (+1%) 1mo $257,000 $167 93
1872 Normandy Pines Ln 0.03mi 3/2.5 1,526 (+1%) 3mo $228,000 $149 93
1876 Normandy Pines Ln 0.04mi 3/2.5 1,526 (+1%) 3mo $231,000 $151 93
1874 Normandy Pines Ln 0.04mi 3/2.5 1,526 (+1%) 3mo $232,890 $153 92
1870 Normandy Pines Ln 0.03mi 3/2.5 1,526 (+1%) 5mo $236,000 $155 92
10129 Treasure Oaks Ct 0.05mi 3/2.5 1,526 (+1%) 4mo $227,890 $149 92
10113 Treasure Oaks Ct 0.06mi 3/2.5 1,526 (+1%) 5mo $227,000 $149 90

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.12% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-19.3%
Equity multiple
0.33×
Total profit
$-46,037
Equity at exit
$36,530
10-year hold
IRR
-13.9%
Equity multiple
0.23×
Total profit
$-53,043
Equity at exit
$21,183

Cash invested: $68,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32221

Home prices YoY
-19.2%
Rents YoY
2.1%
Active inventory
219
Price-to-rent
10.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,994 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,285
Tax from tax record
$65 /mo · $781/yr
Insurance
$102
HOA
$195
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$419
Net cashflow
$-72

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,085
Max offer price $232,274
Occupancy floor 99%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $67 -5% $-3 +0% $-72 +5% $-141 +10% $-211
Rent -10% $-230 -5% $-151 +0% $-72 +5% $7 +10% $85
Rate -1.0pp $51 -0.5pp $-10 base $-72 +0.5pp $-136 +1.0pp $-200

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$61,250
Closing costs
$7,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2120 Blair Rd Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1272 $1,675 $1.32 25d 1 0.37mi
2514 Paris Mill Rd Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1974 $2,096 $1.06 9d 1 0.69mi
9670 Freefall Rd Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.5 2109 $2,300 $1.09 16d 1 0.71mi
10355 Shelby Creek Rd S Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.0 1917 $2,100 $1.10 22d 1 0.72mi
2081 Chaffee Rd S #19 Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1152 $1,619 $1.41 25d 1 0.80mi
2081 Chaffee Rd S Unit 43 Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.0 1904 $1,829 $0.96 6d 1 0.81mi
2081 Chaffee Rd S #72 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 2.0 1216 $1,309 $1.08 25d 1 0.81mi
2625 Fox Creek Dr Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.0 2018 $2,040 $1.01 25d 1 0.94mi
10161 Meadow Pointe Dr Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1810 $2,035 $1.12 18d 1 1.05mi
2167 Kistlers Ridge Way Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.0 1456 $1,900 $1.30 16d 1 1.24mi
9183 Raptor Dr Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1091 $1,724 $1.58 6d 1 1.28mi
2210 Kistlers Ridge Way Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.0 1456 $1,846 $1.27 25d 1 1.30mi
9101 Normandy Blvd Jacksonville, FL 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 994 $1,629 $1.64 5d 1 1.38mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$195 · $2,340/yr

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    statusdays on market $245,000 Pending 45 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $245,000 Active 44 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $245,000 Active 43 DOM
  4. 2026-05-24
    status Active 25-char remark
    Show marketing remark (25 chars)

    Contact Sales for Details

  5. 2026-05-22
    status Active
  6. 2026-05-20
    historical 25-char remark
    Show marketing remark (25 chars)

    Contact Sales for Details

  7. 2026-05-19
    status Pending
  8. 2026-05-09
    price $245,000 25-char remark
    Show marketing remark (25 chars)

    Contact Sales for Details

  9. 2026-05-07
    price $245,000
  10. 2026-05-04
    price $249,290 25-char remark
    Show marketing remark (25 chars)

    Contact Sales for Details

  11. 2026-05-03
    price $247,290 25-char remark
    Show marketing remark (25 chars)

    Contact Sales for Details

  12. 2026-05-01
    status Active
  13. 2026-04-30
    status Pending
  14. 2026-04-29
    price $250,290 25-char remark
    Show marketing remark (25 chars)

    Contact Sales for Details

  15. 2026-04-27
    listed $247,290 Active 25-char remark
    Show marketing remark (25 chars)

    Contact Sales for Details

  16. 2026-04-14
    listed $247,290 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$781 · $65/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,034 · $169/mo
Expected delta
+$1,253/yr (+$104/mo · 160.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,923
− Mortgage interest
−$13,724
− Property taxes
−$781
− Insurance
−$1,225
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,914
− Management
−$1,914
− HOA
−$2,340
− Depreciation
−$7,127
Taxable loss
−$5,102
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,224
After-tax cash flow
$360/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Excellent 100/100 None rehab

This newly constructed townhome is move-in ready with excellent condition and modern finishes. It offers a spacious open-concept design, modern appliances, and a well-maintained exterior.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Painting — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Rental Landscaping — Well-maintained landscaping improves curb appeal and tenant satisfaction

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Painting — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Rental Landscaping — Well-maintained landscaping improves curb appeal and tenant satisfaction

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Duval
NCES district ID
1200480
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$48,987
Composite
38.97/100
National rank
#4076
State rank
#48 of 73 in FL

Livability — Jacksonville

Score
83/100
State rank
#50
US rank
#911

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime C Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jacksonville, FL
County
Duval County · 1,015,274 people
City population
979,034
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
Population (ZIP)
32,833
Household income
$82,969
Rent vs Own
21.4% rent · 78.6% own
Severe rent burden
516.0

Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,013,010 people
By 2030
1,059,228 · +4.6%
By 2040
1,141,439 · +12.7%
By 2050
1,205,258 · +19.0%
By 2075
1,324,282 · +30.7%
By 2100
1,319,620 · +30.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
White 48% Black 33% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Slovak 2% Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Vietnamese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Duval

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -62.74%
Current HPI
263.7591
Rent YoY
▲ 2.12%
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-0.9% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-24 Relisted Zillow
  • 2026-05-22 Relisted realMLS
  • 2026-05-20 Delisted Zillow
  • 2026-05-19 Pending realMLS
  • 2026-05-09 Price Changed $245,000 Zillow
  • 2026-05-07 Price Changed $245,000 realMLS
  • 2026-05-04 Price Changed $249,290 Zillow
  • 2026-05-03 Price Changed $247,290 Zillow
  • 2026-05-01 Relisted realMLS
  • 2026-04-30 Pending realMLS
  • 2026-04-29 Price Changed $250,290 Zillow
  • 2026-04-27 Listed $247,290 Zillow
  • 2026-04-14 Listed $247,290 realMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…