Multi-family
4421 W Jackson St · West Pensacola, FL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.2/10.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +1.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks MLS
Great property located in a commercial zone according to the property assessors office. Marked as residential. Do a total rehab, or demo it and build what you want! Large lot, partially fenced- front and sides, this property can go so many different ways. Appliances stay. Current survey in hand .
Key facts
- Total rehab
- Partially fenced
- Large lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $115k. Condition is rated poor.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $311 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $101k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 7.7% in West Pensacola — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#629 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime D, schools F, amenities F.
- Escambia (suburban): math 40% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #56 of 73 in FL (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 270 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,479 units permitted in Escambia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Escambia County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.9% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 469 days — a 12% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1943 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 469 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1943 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.59%
- DSCR
- 1.52
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $148,316
- List price
- $115,000
- Delta
- -22.46%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.85% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.07×
- Total profit
- $2,402
- Equity at exit
- $17,147
- IRR
- 12.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.02×
- Total profit
- $32,723
- Equity at exit
- $9,943
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32506
- Home prices YoY
- -22.5%
- Rents YoY
- 3.9%
- Active inventory
- 270
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,400 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$144 /mo · $1,725/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$294
- Net cashflow
- $311
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4519 Martha Ave Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $1,600 | $1.45 | 23d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 190 N Old Corry Field Rd Pensacola, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 915 | $1,174 | $1.28 | 14d | 3 | 0.55mi |
| 4600 Twin Oaks Dr Pensacola, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 838 | $1,499 | $1.79 | 14d | 29 | 0.61mi |
| 3740 Frontera Cir Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $1,295 | $1.26 | 23d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 316 Teakwood Cir Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1024 | $1,350 | $1.32 | 14d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 5501 Mayfair Dr Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,295 | $1.42 | 23d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 852 Garnet St Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1150 | $1,150 | $1.00 | 14d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 101 Vanderbilt Rd Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1104 | $1,850 | $1.68 | 21d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1218 N Kirk St Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,150 | $1.35 | 23d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 908 N 57th Ave Pensacola, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $1,195 | $1.61 | 23d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 419 N Wentworth St Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,195 | $1.09 | 23d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 3206 W Lee St Unit A Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,550 | $1.94 | 14d | 1 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 18 events
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2026-06-18days on market $115,000 Active 469 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $115,000 Active 468 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $115,000 Active 467 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $115,000 Active 466 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $115,000 Active 464 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $115,000 Active 461 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $115,000 Active 460 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $115,000 Active 459 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $115,000 Active 458 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $115,000 Active 454 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $115,000 Active 453 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $115,000 Active 452 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $115,000 Active 451 DOM
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2026-01-16price $115,000 299-char remark
Show marketing remark (299 chars)
Great property located in a commercial zone according to the property assessors office. Marked as residential. Do a total rehab, or demo it and build what you want! Large lot, partially fenced- front and sides, this property can go so many different ways. Appliances stay. Current survey in hand .
-
2025-03-06$125,000 Active 299-char remark
Show marketing remark (299 chars)
Great property located in a commercial zone according to the property assessors office. Marked as residential. Do a total rehab, or demo it and build what you want! Large lot, partially fenced- front and sides, this property can go so many different ways. Appliances stay. Current survey in hand .
-
2023-06-29historical
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2023-06-16price $109,000
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2023-06-05$120,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,796
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$1,725
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,344
- − Management
- −$1,344
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable income
- $2,022
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$485
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,247/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This property requires extensive renovations, including a new roof and siding, kitchen and bathroom updates, HVAC system replacement, and landscaping improvements. The current condition is poor, and the property has significant potential for increased value with these updates.
Repairs flagged
- Major roof — visible missing shingles
- Major exterior siding — weathered and peeling
- Major kitchen cabinets — dated and worn-out
- Major bathroom fixtures — dated and small
- Major HVAC system — old and possibly inefficient
- Major landscaping — overgrown and unkempt yard
Value-add opportunities
- Both new roof and siding — improves both resale and rental value
- Both kitchen and bathroom updates — modernizes the home and improves both resale and rental value
- Both HVAC system replacement — increases comfort and energy efficiency, improving both resale and rental value
- Both landscaping and curb appeal — enhances the home's appearance and increases its appeal to potential buyers and renters
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| roof · visible missing shingles | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| exterior siding · weathered and peeling | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| kitchen cabinets · dated and worn-out | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · dated and small | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| HVAC system · old and possibly inefficient | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| landscaping · overgrown and unkempt yard | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 6 items | $90,000–300,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both new roof and siding — improves both resale and rental value ↑
- Both kitchen and bathroom updates — modernizes the home and improves both resale and rental value ↑
- Both HVAC system replacement — increases comfort and energy efficiency, improving both resale and rental value ↑
- Both landscaping and curb appeal — enhances the home's appearance and increases its appeal to potential buyers and renters ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Escambia
- NCES district ID
- 1200510
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,649
- Composite
- 36.04/100
- National rank
- #4773
- State rank
- #56 of 73 in FL
Livability — West Pensacola
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #629
- US rank
- #12275
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- West Pensacola, FL
- County
- Escambia County · 301,722 people
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,549
- Household income
- $62,486
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1359.0
Population outlook (Escambia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 334,637 people
- By 2030
- 345,779 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 364,828 · +9.0%
- By 2050
- 378,514 · +13.1%
- By 2075
- 403,220 · +20.5%
- By 2100
- 386,125 · +15.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Black 18% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 4% Tagalog/Filipino 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Escambia
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.5) · D 39.7% · R 59.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.2pp no change · 2008: -19.3pp · 2024: -19.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.5 2020: R+15.1 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+20.6 2008: R+19.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -71.86%
- Current HPI
- 247.6085
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.85%
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-4.2% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-16 Price Changed $115,000 PARMLS
- 2025-03-06 Listed $125,000 PARMLS
- 2023-06-29 Listing Removed — PARMLS
- 2023-06-16 Price Changed $109,000 PARMLS
- 2023-06-05 Listed $120,000 PARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…