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C Composite 55.14
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.5/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +4.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$660,000

180 W End Ave Unit 23G · New York, NY 10023
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 800 sqft · Condo · 191 Days on market
Built 1965 ↓ 9% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to #23G, a spacious and sun-drenched 1-bedroom apartment located in the sought-after Lincoln Towers at 180 West End Avenue on Manhattan’s Upper West Side. The apartment boasts a large, open living room with ample space for both living and dining, and a generously sized bedroom with great closet space. Large windows throughout provide spectacular city views and an abundance of natural light. The well-equipped kitchen is ready for your culinary endeavors, making it easy to prepare meals at home in comfort. Lincoln Towers offers an incredible array of amenities, including a rare five-acre private park, 24-hour doorman services, a concierge, private security, a live-in superintend

Key facts

  • Large windows
  • Great closet space
  • Garage

Tags

LARGE OPEN LIVING ROOMGENEROUSLY SIZED BEDROOMGREAT CLOSET SPACELARGE WINDOWSSPECTACULAR CITY VIEWSABUNDANCE OF NATURAL LIGHT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $660k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $288 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $614k (7.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $581k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 419 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 4,467 units permitted in New York County in 2024 (4,463 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $6,138/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($160k/yr) (locally 4887% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $38k of equity ($5k loan paydown + $33k appreciation (5.1% local appreciation)).
  • New York County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (5.1% appreciation + 6.2% rent growth), your $185k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$61k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 191 days — a 12% lower offer ($581k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $68k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $580,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 191 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
6.82%
Cash-on-cash
1.87%
DSCR
1.08
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.06% appreciation · 6.16% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.1%
Equity multiple
2.05×
Total profit
$193,121
Equity at exit
$376,588
10-year hold
IRR
17.8%
Equity multiple
4.31×
Total profit
$611,955
Equity at exit
$652,078

Cash invested: $184,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City New York
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

ZIP-level market 10023

Home prices YoY
2.1%
Rents YoY
6.2%
Active inventory
419
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$6,138 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,461
Tax est. 1.5%
$825 /mo · $9,900/yr
Insurance
$275
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,289
Net cashflow
$288

Break-even live

Break-even rent $5,774
Max offer price $660,000
Occupancy floor 90%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$165,000
Closing costs
$19,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
210 W 70th St #2102 New York, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.5 897 $6,770 $7.54 1d 2 0.13mi
160 Riverside Blvd #832 New York, NY 1.0 1.0 634 $4,990 $7.87 20d 1 0.14mi
180 Riverside Blvd #846 New York, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 827 $4,230 $5.11 24d 2 0.16mi
155 W 68th St Unit 18-10 New York, NY 1.0 545 $4,550 $8.35 24d 1 0.18mi
101 W End Ave #950 New York, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 814 $6,770 $8.32 1d 2 0.19mi
244 W 72nd St #2066 New York, NY 1.0 1.0 500 $5,440 $10.88 24d 2 0.19mi
230 W 72nd St Unit 1301 New York, NY 2.0 1.0 800 $6,850 $8.56 22d 1 0.20mi
230 W 72nd St #1300 New York, NY 2.0 1.0 800 $7,000 $8.75 24d 1 0.20mi
155 W 70th St New York, NY 2.0–3.0 2.0–2.5 1112 $7,995 $7.19 22d 4 0.23mi
240 W 73rd St New York, NY 2.0 1.0–2.0 660 $6,430 $9.73 24d 4 0.26mi
400 W 63rd St New York, NY 2.0 1.0–2.0 874 $7,477 $8.55 1d 11 0.29mi
317 W 74th St Unit 1021986P New York, NY 2.0 1.0–2.0 645 $7,940 $12.30 2d 2 0.34mi
112 W 72nd St Unit 3B New York, NY 2.0 1.0 750 $5,900 $7.87 24d 1 0.35mi
400 W 61st St New York, NY 4.0 1.0–4.0 1567 $15,016 $9.58 1d 48 0.37mi
21 W End Ave New York, NY 2.0–3.0 2.0 750 $8,995 $11.99 24d 2 0.37mi
241 W 75th St #773 New York, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0 750 $7,120 $9.49 3d 2 0.38mi
30 Riverside Blvd Unit 1105 New York, NY 1.0 1.0 907 $7,336 $8.09 7d 1 0.38mi
110 W 79th St #276 New York, NY 2.0 2.0 1000 $7,230 $7.23 20d 1 0.58mi
147 W 79th St New York, NY 1.0 1.0 927 $6,400 $6.90 24d 1 0.62mi
500 W 56th St #116 New York, NY 2.0 1.0–2.0 680 $6,190 $9.10 7d 3 0.62mi
550 W 54th St Unit 1243 New York, NY 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 913 $6,270 $6.86 7d 3 0.70mi
160 Central Park S New York, NY 1.0–3.0 1.0–3.5 1550 $7,500 $4.84 7d 10 0.84mi
160 Central Park S New York, NY 1.0–3.0 1.0–3.5 1550 $9,250 $5.97 7d 9 0.84mi
160 Central Park S New York, NY 1.0–3.0 1.5–3.5 1578 $10,000 $6.34 2d 9 0.84mi
254 W 54th St Unit 1026635P New York, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 860 $8,040 $9.34 7d 2 0.88mi
754 9th Ave Unit 1017471P New York, NY 1.0 1.0 538 $7,284 $13.54 7d 1 0.92mi
150 W 56th St New York, NY 1.0 1.5 920 $8,995 $9.78 15d 2 0.94mi
43 W 85th St Unit 1470323P New York, NY 1.0 1.0 699 $6,466 $9.25 5d 1 0.97mi
311 W 50th St #228 New York, NY 2.0 1.0–2.0 669 $6,470 $9.67 7d 3 0.97mi
4 Ave at Port Imperial West New York, NJ 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1110 $2,680 $2.41 2d 16 0.99mi
247 W 87th St New York, NY 1.0 1.0–2.0 822 $6,275 $7.63 18d 2 1.01mi
250 W 50th St New York, NY 2.0 1.0–2.0 784 $5,866 $7.48 7d 1 1.04mi
11 Ave At Port Imperial West New York, NJ 3.0 1.0–2.0 1047 $4,109 $3.92 1d 12 1.05mi
77 W 55th St Unit 15H New York, NY 1.0 1.0 750 $4,900 $6.53 22d 1 1.05mi
210 W 89th St #165 New York, NY 1.0 1.0 675 $7,520 $11.14 1d 2 1.07mi
9 Ave At Port Imperial West New York, NJ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 794 $2,570 $3.24 7d 4 1.09mi
55 W 55th St Unit 9AA New York, NY 2.0 1.5 1000 $6,000 $6.00 20d 1 1.10mi
20 Ave At Port Imperial #236 West New York, NJ 1.0 1.0 849 $3,750 $4.42 12d 1 1.10mi
622 11th Ave Unit 201 New York, NY 2.0 2.0 810 $7,250 $8.95 7d 1 1.10mi
622 11th Ave Unit 1301 New York, NY 2.0 2.0 810 $7,525 $9.29 7d 1 1.10mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$0 · $0/yr
Likely covers
doormansecurity
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-04-07
    status Pending
  2. 2026-02-11
    status Active
  3. 2025-07-24
    status Pending
  4. 2025-05-21
    price $660,000
  5. 2025-04-03
    price $699,000
  6. 2025-03-10
    listed $728,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$73,660
− Mortgage interest
−$36,970
− Property taxes
−$9,900
− Insurance
−$3,300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$5,893
− Management
−$5,893
− Depreciation
−$19,200
Taxable loss
−$7,496
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,799
After-tax cash flow
$5,257/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

Score
75/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New York, NY
County
New York County · 1,599,927 people
City population
7,731,280
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
69,455
Household income
$159,874
Rent vs Own
61.9% rent · 38.1% own
Severe rent burden
4887.0

Population outlook (New York County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,825,725 people
By 2030
1,904,611 · +4.3%
By 2040
2,052,719 · +12.4%
By 2050
2,206,601 · +20.9%
By 2075
2,509,427 · +37.4%
By 2100
2,702,933 · +48.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Asian 16% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Scotch-Irish 6% Romanian 5% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
27% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
70% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 5% Chinese 5%

Political lean MEDSL · New York

2024 margin
Solid D (+64.8) · D 82.4% · R 17.6%
2008→2024 swing
-7.4pp toward R · 2008: 72.2pp · 2024: 64.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+64.8 2020: D+74.5 2016: D+77.2 2012: D+69.6 2008: D+72.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.06%
Current HPI
246.4186
Rent YoY
▲ 6.16%
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-9.3% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-07 Pending OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-11 Relisted OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-24 Pending OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-21 Price Changed $660,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-04-03 Price Changed $699,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-03-10 Listed $728,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…