180 W End Ave Unit 23G · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +7.5/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.8/10.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$660,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to #23G, a spacious and sun-drenched 1-bedroom apartment located in the sought-after Lincoln Towers at 180 West End Avenue on Manhattan’s Upper West Side. The apartment boasts a large, open living room with ample space for both living and dining, and a generously sized bedroom with great closet space. Large windows throughout provide spectacular city views and an abundance of natural light. The well-equipped kitchen is ready for your culinary endeavors, making it easy to prepare meals at home in comfort. Lincoln Towers offers an incredible array of amenities, including a rare five-acre private park, 24-hour doorman services, a concierge, private security, a live-in superintend
Key facts
- Large windows
- Great closet space
- Garage
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $660k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $288 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $614k (7.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $581k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 419 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 4,467 units permitted in New York County in 2024 (4,463 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $6,138/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($160k/yr) (locally 4887% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $38k of equity ($5k loan paydown + $33k appreciation (5.1% local appreciation)).
- New York County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (5.1% appreciation + 6.2% rent growth), your $185k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$61k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 191 days — a 12% lower offer ($581k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $68k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 191 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.87%
- DSCR
- 1.08
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.06% appreciation · 6.16% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.05×
- Total profit
- $193,121
- Equity at exit
- $376,588
- IRR
- 17.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.31×
- Total profit
- $611,955
- Equity at exit
- $652,078
Cash invested: $184,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 10023
- Home prices YoY
- 2.1%
- Rents YoY
- 6.2%
- Active inventory
- 419
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $6,138 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,461
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$825 /mo · $9,900/yr
- Insurance
- −$275
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,289
- Net cashflow
- $288
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $165,000
- Closing costs
- $19,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 210 W 70th St #2102 New York, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 897 | $6,770 | $7.54 | 1d | 2 | 0.13mi |
| 160 Riverside Blvd #832 New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 634 | $4,990 | $7.87 | 20d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 180 Riverside Blvd #846 New York, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 827 | $4,230 | $5.11 | 24d | 2 | 0.16mi |
| 155 W 68th St Unit 18-10 New York, NY | — | 1.0 | 545 | $4,550 | $8.35 | 24d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 101 W End Ave #950 New York, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 814 | $6,770 | $8.32 | 1d | 2 | 0.19mi |
| 244 W 72nd St #2066 New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $5,440 | $10.88 | 24d | 2 | 0.19mi |
| 230 W 72nd St Unit 1301 New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $6,850 | $8.56 | 22d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 230 W 72nd St #1300 New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $7,000 | $8.75 | 24d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 155 W 70th St New York, NY | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1112 | $7,995 | $7.19 | 22d | 4 | 0.23mi |
| 240 W 73rd St New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 660 | $6,430 | $9.73 | 24d | 4 | 0.26mi |
| 400 W 63rd St New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 874 | $7,477 | $8.55 | 1d | 11 | 0.29mi |
| 317 W 74th St Unit 1021986P New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 645 | $7,940 | $12.30 | 2d | 2 | 0.34mi |
| 112 W 72nd St Unit 3B New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $5,900 | $7.87 | 24d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 400 W 61st St New York, NY | 4.0 | 1.0–4.0 | 1567 | $15,016 | $9.58 | 1d | 48 | 0.37mi |
| 21 W End Ave New York, NY | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 750 | $8,995 | $11.99 | 24d | 2 | 0.37mi |
| 241 W 75th St #773 New York, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $7,120 | $9.49 | 3d | 2 | 0.38mi |
| 30 Riverside Blvd Unit 1105 New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 907 | $7,336 | $8.09 | 7d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 110 W 79th St #276 New York, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $7,230 | $7.23 | 20d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 147 W 79th St New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 927 | $6,400 | $6.90 | 24d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 500 W 56th St #116 New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 680 | $6,190 | $9.10 | 7d | 3 | 0.62mi |
| 550 W 54th St Unit 1243 New York, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 913 | $6,270 | $6.86 | 7d | 3 | 0.70mi |
| 160 Central Park S New York, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.5 | 1550 | $7,500 | $4.84 | 7d | 10 | 0.84mi |
| 160 Central Park S New York, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.5 | 1550 | $9,250 | $5.97 | 7d | 9 | 0.84mi |
| 160 Central Park S New York, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.5–3.5 | 1578 | $10,000 | $6.34 | 2d | 9 | 0.84mi |
| 254 W 54th St Unit 1026635P New York, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 860 | $8,040 | $9.34 | 7d | 2 | 0.88mi |
| 754 9th Ave Unit 1017471P New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 538 | $7,284 | $13.54 | 7d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 150 W 56th St New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.5 | 920 | $8,995 | $9.78 | 15d | 2 | 0.94mi |
| 43 W 85th St Unit 1470323P New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 699 | $6,466 | $9.25 | 5d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 311 W 50th St #228 New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 669 | $6,470 | $9.67 | 7d | 3 | 0.97mi |
| 4 Ave at Port Imperial West New York, NJ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1110 | $2,680 | $2.41 | 2d | 16 | 0.99mi |
| 247 W 87th St New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 822 | $6,275 | $7.63 | 18d | 2 | 1.01mi |
| 250 W 50th St New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 784 | $5,866 | $7.48 | 7d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 11 Ave At Port Imperial West New York, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1047 | $4,109 | $3.92 | 1d | 12 | 1.05mi |
| 77 W 55th St Unit 15H New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $4,900 | $6.53 | 22d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 210 W 89th St #165 New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $7,520 | $11.14 | 1d | 2 | 1.07mi |
| 9 Ave At Port Imperial West New York, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 794 | $2,570 | $3.24 | 7d | 4 | 1.09mi |
| 55 W 55th St Unit 9AA New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $6,000 | $6.00 | 20d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 20 Ave At Port Imperial #236 West New York, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 849 | $3,750 | $4.42 | 12d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 622 11th Ave Unit 201 New York, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 810 | $7,250 | $8.95 | 7d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 622 11th Ave Unit 1301 New York, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 810 | $7,525 | $9.29 | 7d | 1 | 1.10mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Likely covers
- doormansecurity
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-04-07status Pending
-
2026-02-11status Active
-
2025-07-24status Pending
-
2025-05-21price $660,000
-
2025-04-03price $699,000
-
2025-03-10$728,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $73,660
- − Mortgage interest
- −$36,970
- − Property taxes
- −$9,900
- − Insurance
- −$3,300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,893
- − Management
- −$5,893
- − Depreciation
- −$19,200
- Taxable loss
- −$7,496
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,799
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,257/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- New York County · 1,599,927 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 69,455
- Household income
- $159,874
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4887.0
Population outlook (New York County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,825,725 people
- By 2030
- 1,904,611 · +4.3%
- By 2040
- 2,052,719 · +12.4%
- By 2050
- 2,206,601 · +20.9%
- By 2075
- 2,509,427 · +37.4%
- By 2100
- 2,702,933 · +48.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Asian 16% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 6% Romanian 5% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 27% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 70% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 5% Chinese 5%
Political lean MEDSL · New York
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.8) · D 82.4% · R 17.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 72.2pp · 2024: 64.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.8 2020: D+74.5 2016: D+77.2 2012: D+69.6 2008: D+72.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.06%
- Current HPI
- 246.4186
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.16%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
-9.3% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-07 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-11 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-24 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-21 Price Changed $660,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-03 Price Changed $699,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-10 Listed $728,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…