11512 CR 675w · Bushnell, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- DSCR +3.7/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- 1% rule +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$189,950
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Under contract-accepting backup offers. Move-in ready and fully updated, this concrete block 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom home features a brand-new 30-year dimensional shingle roof, brand-new HVAC system with warranty, updated kitchen with quartz countertops and shaker cabinetry, brand-new stainless steel appliances, and durable luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout. The updated bathroom and modern finishes make this home feel fresh and stylish from top to bottom. Outside, enjoy a peaceful country atmosphere with a fully fenced yard, privacy, and a unique Florida limestone entrance wall that adds charm and curb appeal, all while being conveniently located near I-75 for easy access while still enj
Key facts
- Quartz countertops
- Shaker cabinetry
- Updated kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoning: R4M; Lot approximately 0.26 acres (75 x 150); Unfurnished; Residential property subtype: Single Family Residence
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank sewer; Electricity connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Faces southeast
- Construction: Block construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built on one level
- Exterior features: Other exterior features; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Open floorplan
- Laundry & utility: Laundry inside
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-28 ($-333/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $185k (2.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $144k (24.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $144k (24.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.2% in Bushnell — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#835 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, amenities F.
- Sumter (rural): math 61% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #11 of 73 in FL (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 302 active listings in the ZIP; 3,961 units permitted in Sumter County in 2024 (248 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sumter County population projected at +45% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $6k; list at $190k implies a 2915% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.76% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.63%
- DSCR
- 0.97
- GRM
- 11.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.39×
- Total profit
- $-32,614
- Equity at exit
- $28,322
- IRR
- -9.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.42×
- Total profit
- $-30,949
- Equity at exit
- $16,423
Cash invested: $53,186 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33597
- Home prices YoY
- -5.2%
- Active inventory
- 302
- Price-to-rent
- 11.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,442 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$92 /mo · $1,100/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$303
- Net cashflow
- $-28
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,488
- Closing costs
- $5,698
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-03remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-03status $189,950 Pending 6 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $189,950 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $189,950 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $189,950 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $189,950 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-26$189,950 Active
-
1999-03-19soldstatus $6,300
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,100 · $92/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,577 · $131/mo
- Expected delta
- +$476/yr (+$40/mo · 43.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,305
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,640
- − Property taxes
- −$1,100
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,384
- − Management
- −$1,384
- − Depreciation
- −$5,526
- Taxable loss
- −$3,680
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$883
- After-tax cash flow
- $550/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sumter
- NCES district ID
- 1201800
- Math proficiency
- 61% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,240
- Composite
- 51.74/100
- National rank
- #1682
- State rank
- #11 of 73 in FL
Livability — Bushnell
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #835
- US rank
- #20676
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,424
Population outlook (Sumter County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 161,172 people
- By 2030
- 180,083 · +11.7%
- By 2040
- 209,892 · +30.2%
- By 2050
- 234,186 · +45.3%
- By 2075
- 284,602 · +76.6%
- By 2100
- 317,039 · +96.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 8% Black 4% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 3% Italian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 9%
Political lean MEDSL · Sumter
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.6) · D 30.9% · R 68.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.6pp toward R · 2008: -27.0pp · 2024: -37.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.6 2020: R+36.1 2016: R+39.2 2012: R+34.9 2008: R+27.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -15.59%
- Current HPI
- 282.5139
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+2915.1% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $189,950 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1999-03-19 Sold (Public Records) $6,300 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,100 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…