607 Mount Vernon Ave · Huntingdon, PA
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.77%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Well-maintained 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in the borough of Huntingdon. This property features a remodeled full bathroom and convenient first-floor laundry. The main level offers a spacious living area, separate dining room, and an efficient kitchen layout. Upstairs you'll find three comfortably sized bedrooms with ample natural light. Enjoy a covered front porch and a manageable backyard perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Close to schools, parks, and local amenities. Move-in ready and ideal for owner-occupants or investors alike
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Spacious living area
- Separate dining room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $186 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $113k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 3.6% in Huntingdon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#1,050 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D+, amenities F.
- Huntingdon Area SD (town): math 32% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #366 of 539 in PA (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 73 active listings in the ZIP; 70 units permitted in Huntingdon County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Huntingdon County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 68 days — a 6% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 8→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 68 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.61%
- DSCR
- 1.38
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $185,976
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 200 Pine St | 0.10mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,466 (+11%) | 4mo | $115,000 | $47 | 62 |
| 1210 Mount Vernon Ave | 0.47mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,020 (-9%) | 2mo | $170,000 | $84 | 53 |
| 431 Moore St | 0.65mi | 3/1.5 | 2,090 (-6%) | 12mo | $60,000 | $29 | 48 |
| 1020 Mifflin St | 0.44mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 2,314 (+4%) | 22mo | $64,000 | $28 | 47 |
| 1504 Mifflin St | 0.72mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,058 (-7%) | 2mo | $232,000 | $113 | 44 |
| 105 William Smith St | 0.74mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 2,320 (+5%) | 24mo | $200,000 | $86 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.77×
- Total profit
- $-7,603
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- 3.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.26×
- Total profit
- $8,692
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 16652
- Home prices YoY
- -21.5%
- Active inventory
- 73
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,292 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$100 /mo · $1,204/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$271
- Net cashflow
- $186
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2025-10-29soldstatus $117,000
-
2025-09-08status Pending
-
2025-08-19price $120,000
-
2025-07-31price $124,900
-
2025-07-09price $128,000
-
2025-07-01$135,000 Active
-
1995-07-24soldstatus $31,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,204 · $100/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,550 · $129/mo
- Expected delta
- +$346/yr (+$29/mo · 28.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X · 77% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥98°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,504
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$1,204
- − Insurance
- −$1,266
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,240
- − Management
- −$1,240
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable income
- $341
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$82
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,145/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Huntingdon Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4212090
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,534
- Composite
- 33.4/100
- National rank
- #5478
- State rank
- #366 of 539 in PA
Livability — Huntingdon
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #1050
- US rank
- #11779
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,858
Population outlook (Huntingdon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 44,212 people
- By 2030
- 43,057 · -2.6%
- By 2040
- 40,537 · -8.3%
- By 2050
- 37,844 · -14.4%
- By 2075
- 31,411 · -29.0%
- By 2100
- 23,907 · -45.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Two or more races 6% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Slovak 3% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Huntingdon
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+52.9) · D 23.2% · R 76.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.4pp toward R · 2008: -27.5pp · 2024: -52.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+52.9 2020: R+51.0 2016: R+50.7 2012: R+37.4 2008: R+27.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -54.10%
- Current HPI
- 197.6958
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+271.4% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2025-10-29 Sold (Public Records) $117,000 Public Records
- 2025-09-08 Pending — AHARMLS
- 2025-08-19 Price Changed $120,000 AHARMLS
- 2025-07-31 Price Changed $124,900 AHARMLS
- 2025-07-09 Price Changed $128,000 AHARMLS
- 2025-07-01 Listed $135,000 AHARMLS
- 1995-07-24 Sold (Public Records) $31,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2026): $1,204 · +5.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…