2031 Rexford Rd · Montgomery, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.3/30.0
- DSCR +8.9/10.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
A cute 3 bedroom 2 bathroom home located in a convenient area. This home has a large master bedroom with a nice size closet. All of the bedrooms are located upstairs. Down stairs is where the kitchen is with lots of cabinet space, wet bar, a built in book shelves, and a separate dining room. This one that you don't want to pass up so stop by and take a look. Property is sold in "AS IS Condition" no warranties expressed or implied. Property was built prior to 1978 and lead based paint may potentially exist.
Key facts
- Parking
- Built 1977
- Listed 13 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Cable available; Electricity available; Natural gas available; High-speed internet available; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: 2 stories; Brick construction; Slab foundation; Year built per public records
- Construction: Brick exterior; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Fully fenced yard; Patio; City lot
Interior
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central electric cooling
- Interior features: Carpet flooring; Tile flooring
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath townhouse listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $311 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
- Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 6.0% in Montgomery — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#138 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D, crime F.
- Montgomery County (urban): math 9% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #106 of 129 in AL (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 293 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 460 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (37 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.7% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $90k; 33% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.09%
- DSCR
- 1.49
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $89,760
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2029 Rexford Rd | 0.00mi | 3/2.5 | 1,632 (0%) | 5mo | $90,000 | $55 | 93 |
| 2014 Rexford Rd | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 | 1,596 (-2%) | 2mo | $105,000 | $66 | 88 |
| 5703 Worchester Dr | 0.07mi | 3/2.5 | 1,608 (-2%) | 5mo | $77,000 | $48 | 88 |
| 2061 Rexford Rd | 0.08mi | 3/2.5 | 1,611 (-1%) | 8mo | $72,000 | $45 | 85 |
| 2059 Rexford Rd | 0.07mi | 3/2.5 | 1,584 (-3%) | 22mo | $69,000 | $44 | 72 |
| 2021 Rexford Rd | 0.02mi | 3/2.5 | 1,536 (-6%) | 23mo | $88,000 | $57 | 68 |
| 3048 Lynton Dr | 0.43mi | 3/2.5 | 1,541 (-6%) | 3mo | $128,000 | $83 | 66 |
| 2116 Rexford Rd | 0.21mi | 3/2.5 | 1,584 (-3%) | 22mo | $73,000 | $46 | 65 |
| 5303 Rexford Ct | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,514 (-7%) | 14mo | $95,000 | $63 | 59 |
| 2164 Rexford Rd | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,397 (-14%) | 1mo | $49,000 | $35 | 57 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.65% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.12×
- Total profit
- $3,956
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- 14.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.33×
- Total profit
- $44,614
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36116
- Home prices YoY
- -9.7%
- Rents YoY
- 5.7%
- Active inventory
- 293
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,335 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$65 /mo · $778/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$280
- Net cashflow
- $311
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 31 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 Rexford Rd Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1596 | $1,150 | $0.72 | 43d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 2060 Rexford Rd Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1566 | $925 | $0.59 | 21d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 2066 Rexford Rd Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1632 | $1,250 | $0.77 | 21d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 5720 Worchester Dr Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1060 | $895 | $0.84 | 21d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 2140 Rexford Rd Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1428 | $1,275 | $0.89 | 43d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 5635 Red Barn Rd Unit 1043848P Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1496 | $3,390 | $2.27 | 13d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 2495 Meadow Ridge Ln Montgomery, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1205 | $1,199 | $1.00 | 13d | 14 | 0.64mi |
| 5540 Ash Grove Cir Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1904 | $2,200 | $1.16 | 21d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 3364 Fountain Ln Montgomery, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1221 | $1,099 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1845 Young Farm Rd Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1444 | $1,750 | $1.21 | 43d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 2224 W Aberdeen Dr Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1994 | $1,600 | $0.80 | 21d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1944 Woodrun Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1689 | $1,595 | $0.94 | 13d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 2000 London Town Ln Montgomery, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 950 | $1,159 | $1.22 | 13d | 11 | 1.00mi |
| 2000 Central Pkwy Montgomery, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1133 | $2,135 | $1.88 | 13d | 14 | 1.01mi |
| 4409 McCampbell Dr Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1786 | $1,600 | $0.90 | 13d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1610 Limestone Ct Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1218 | $1,300 | $1.07 | 21d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1421 Stonehenge Rd Montgomery, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 895 | $1,199 | $1.34 | 43d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 2311 Cottingham Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1676 | $1,595 | $0.95 | 43d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1615 Woodmere Loop Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1212 | $1,250 | $1.03 | 43d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1612 Woodmere Loop Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1425 | $1,775 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 6025 Oldcastle Pl Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,775 | $1.31 | 43d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 3638 Castle Ridge Rd Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $800 | $0.73 | 13d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 4008 Oak Shadow Ln Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1741 | $1,395 | $0.80 | 21d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 5600 Carmichael Rd Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 722 | $1,153 | $1.60 | 43d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 4243 Vaughn Rd Unit 1043807P Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1496 | $3,360 | $2.25 | 43d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 4707 Mitford Cir Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1943 | $1,800 | $0.93 | 43d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 5800 Eagle Cir Montgomery, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1000 | $1,051 | $1.05 | 43d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 2420 Haddington Rd Unit 1519890P Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1679 | $4,483 | $2.67 | 13d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 3201 Watchman Dr Montgomery, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1054 | $1,644 | $1.56 | 13d | 10 | 1.38mi |
| 7104 Fair Oaks Ct Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1656 | $1,881 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 1857 Still Oaks Dr Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1791 | $1,850 | $1.03 | 21d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $120,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $120,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $120,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $120,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-14remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-14days on market $120,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $120,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $120,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $120,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $120,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 654-char remark
-
2026-06-07$120,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $778 · $65/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $778 · $65/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,020
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$778
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,282
- − Management
- −$1,282
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable income
- $1,866
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$448
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,279/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Montgomery County
- NCES district ID
- 0102430
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,902
- Composite
- 17.24/100
- National rank
- #9093
- State rank
- #106 of 129 in AL
Livability — Montgomery
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #138
- US rank
- #13416
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Montgomery, AL
- County
- Montgomery County · 190,016 people
- City population
- 175,913
- Metro
- Montgomery, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 45,250
- Household income
- $55,160
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2786.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 224,008 people
- By 2030
- 221,460 · -1.1%
- By 2040
- 214,179 · -4.4%
- By 2050
- 204,912 · -8.5%
- By 2075
- 177,821 · -20.6%
- By 2100
- 145,134 · -35.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 80% White 12% Two or more races 4% Asian 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+30.7) · D 64.8% · R 34.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +11.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.2pp · 2024: 30.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+30.7 2020: D+31.5 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+24.3 2008: D+19.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -16.31%
- Current HPI
- 151.8598
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.65%
- Metro
- Montgomery, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+60.2% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $120,000 MAAR
- 2023-05-31 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
- 2023-05-19 Pending — MAAR
- 2023-05-19 Sold (MLS) $90,000 MAAR
- 2023-04-25 Contingent — MAAR
- 2022-11-07 Listed $120,000 MAAR
- 2016-02-29 Sold (MLS) $25,000 MAAR
- 2015-12-22 Listed $29,500 MAAR
- 2006-07-16 Listed $84,900 MAAR
- 2002-07-29 Sold (MLS) $71,000 MAAR
- 2002-01-07 Listed $74,900 MAAR
Property tax history
+4.6%/yrLatest (2025): $778 · +0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…