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2031 Rexford Rd
C- Composite 52.77
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.3/30.0
  • DSCR +8.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$120,000

2031 Rexford Rd · Montgomery, AL 36116
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,632 sqft · Townhouse public records · 13 Days on market
Built 1977 3,049 sqft lot Est $90k · 34% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

A cute 3 bedroom 2 bathroom home located in a convenient area. This home has a large master bedroom with a nice size closet. All of the bedrooms are located upstairs. Down stairs is where the kitchen is with lots of cabinet space, wet bar, a built in book shelves, and a separate dining room. This one that you don't want to pass up so stop by and take a look. Property is sold in "AS IS Condition" no warranties expressed or implied. Property was built prior to 1978 and lead based paint may potentially exist.

Key facts

  • Parking
  • Built 1977
  • Listed 13 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Cable available; Electricity available; Natural gas available; High-speed internet available; Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: 2 stories; Brick construction; Slab foundation; Year built per public records
  • Construction: Brick exterior; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Fully fenced yard; Patio; City lot

Interior

  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central electric cooling
  • Interior features: Carpet flooring; Tile flooring
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath townhouse listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $311 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
  • Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 6.0% in Montgomery — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#138 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D, crime F.
  • Montgomery County (urban): math 9% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #106 of 129 in AL (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 293 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 460 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (37 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Montgomery County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.7% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $90k; 33% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $120,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.11%
Cap rate
9.40%
Cash-on-cash
11.09%
DSCR
1.49
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$89,760
Comps found
10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2029 Rexford Rd 0.00mi 3/2.5 1,632 (0%) 5mo $90,000 $55 93
2014 Rexford Rd 0.05mi 3/2.0 1,596 (-2%) 2mo $105,000 $66 88
5703 Worchester Dr 0.07mi 3/2.5 1,608 (-2%) 5mo $77,000 $48 88
2061 Rexford Rd 0.08mi 3/2.5 1,611 (-1%) 8mo $72,000 $45 85
2059 Rexford Rd 0.07mi 3/2.5 1,584 (-3%) 22mo $69,000 $44 72
2021 Rexford Rd 0.02mi 3/2.5 1,536 (-6%) 23mo $88,000 $57 68
3048 Lynton Dr 0.43mi 3/2.5 1,541 (-6%) 3mo $128,000 $83 66
2116 Rexford Rd 0.21mi 3/2.5 1,584 (-3%) 22mo $73,000 $46 65
5303 Rexford Ct 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,514 (-7%) 14mo $95,000 $63 59
2164 Rexford Rd 0.29mi 3/2.0 1,397 (-14%) 1mo $49,000 $35 57

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.65% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.0%
Equity multiple
1.12×
Total profit
$3,956
Equity at exit
$17,892
10-year hold
IRR
14.8%
Equity multiple
2.33×
Total profit
$44,614
Equity at exit
$10,375

Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36116

Home prices YoY
-9.7%
Rents YoY
5.7%
Active inventory
293
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,335 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$65 /mo · $778/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$280
Net cashflow
$311

Break-even live

Break-even rent $942
Max offer price $120,000
Occupancy floor 72%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,000
Closing costs
$3,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 31 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2014 Rexford Rd Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 1596 $1,150 $0.72 43d 1 0.06mi
2060 Rexford Rd Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.5 1566 $925 $0.59 21d 1 0.08mi
2066 Rexford Rd Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.5 1632 $1,250 $0.77 21d 1 0.09mi
5720 Worchester Dr Montgomery, AL 2.0 2.0 1060 $895 $0.84 21d 1 0.12mi
2140 Rexford Rd Montgomery, AL 2.0 2.5 1428 $1,275 $0.89 43d 1 0.26mi
5635 Red Barn Rd Unit 1043848P Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 1496 $3,390 $2.27 13d 1 0.31mi
2495 Meadow Ridge Ln Montgomery, AL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1205 $1,199 $1.00 13d 14 0.64mi
5540 Ash Grove Cir Montgomery, AL 4.0 2.0 1904 $2,200 $1.16 21d 1 0.66mi
3364 Fountain Ln Montgomery, AL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1221 $1,099 $0.90 43d 1 0.82mi
1845 Young Farm Rd Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 1444 $1,750 $1.21 43d 1 0.87mi
2224 W Aberdeen Dr Montgomery, AL 4.0 2.0 1994 $1,600 $0.80 21d 1 0.95mi
1944 Woodrun Dr Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 1689 $1,595 $0.94 13d 1 0.97mi
2000 London Town Ln Montgomery, AL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 950 $1,159 $1.22 13d 11 1.00mi
2000 Central Pkwy Montgomery, AL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1133 $2,135 $1.88 13d 14 1.01mi
4409 McCampbell Dr Montgomery, AL 4.0 2.0 1786 $1,600 $0.90 13d 1 1.07mi
1610 Limestone Ct Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.5 1218 $1,300 $1.07 21d 1 1.08mi
1421 Stonehenge Rd Montgomery, AL 1.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 895 $1,199 $1.34 43d 1 1.09mi
2311 Cottingham Dr Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 1676 $1,595 $0.95 43d 1 1.10mi
1615 Woodmere Loop Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 1212 $1,250 $1.03 43d 1 1.11mi
1612 Woodmere Loop Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.5 1425 $1,775 $1.25 43d 1 1.11mi
6025 Oldcastle Pl Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 1350 $1,775 $1.31 43d 1 1.12mi
3638 Castle Ridge Rd Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 1100 $800 $0.73 13d 1 1.16mi
4008 Oak Shadow Ln Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.5 1741 $1,395 $0.80 21d 1 1.18mi
5600 Carmichael Rd Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0–2.0 722 $1,153 $1.60 43d 1 1.20mi
4243 Vaughn Rd Unit 1043807P Montgomery, AL 4.0 2.0 1496 $3,360 $2.25 43d 1 1.24mi
4707 Mitford Cir Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 1943 $1,800 $0.93 43d 1 1.28mi
5800 Eagle Cir Montgomery, AL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1000 $1,051 $1.05 43d 1 1.28mi
2420 Haddington Rd Unit 1519890P Montgomery, AL 4.0 1.0 1679 $4,483 $2.67 13d 1 1.31mi
3201 Watchman Dr Montgomery, AL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1054 $1,644 $1.56 13d 10 1.38mi
7104 Fair Oaks Ct Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 1656 $1,881 $1.14 43d 1 1.44mi
1857 Still Oaks Dr Montgomery, AL 4.0 2.0 1791 $1,850 $1.03 21d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $120,000 Active 13 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $120,000 Active 12 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $120,000 Active 11 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $120,000 Active 10 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    remarks 699-char remark
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $120,000 Active 8 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $120,000 Active 7 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $120,000 Active 5 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $120,000 Active 4 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $120,000 Active 3 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    remarks 654-char remark
  12. 2026-06-07
    listed $120,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$778 · $65/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$778 · $65/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,020
− Mortgage interest
−$6,722
− Property taxes
−$778
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,282
− Management
−$1,282
− Depreciation
−$3,491
Taxable income
$1,866
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$448
After-tax cash flow
$3,279/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Montgomery County
NCES district ID
0102430
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$43,902
Composite
17.24/100
National rank
#9093
State rank
#106 of 129 in AL

Livability — Montgomery

Score
65/100
State rank
#138
US rank
#13416

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Montgomery, AL
County
Montgomery County · 190,016 people
City population
175,913
Metro
Montgomery, AL
Population (ZIP)
45,250
Household income
$55,160
Rent vs Own
50.8% rent · 49.2% own
Severe rent burden
2786.0

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
224,008 people
By 2030
221,460 · -1.1%
By 2040
214,179 · -4.4%
By 2050
204,912 · -8.5%
By 2075
177,821 · -20.6%
By 2100
145,134 · -35.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (80%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 80% White 12% Two or more races 4% Asian 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Solid D (+30.7) · D 64.8% · R 34.1% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+11.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.2pp · 2024: 30.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+30.7 2020: D+31.5 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+24.3 2008: D+19.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -16.31%
Current HPI
151.8598
Rent YoY
▲ 5.65%
Metro
Montgomery, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+60.2% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $120,000 MAAR
  • 2023-05-31 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
  • 2023-05-19 Pending MAAR
  • 2023-05-19 Sold (MLS) $90,000 MAAR
  • 2023-04-25 Contingent MAAR
  • 2022-11-07 Listed $120,000 MAAR
  • 2016-02-29 Sold (MLS) $25,000 MAAR
  • 2015-12-22 Listed $29,500 MAAR
  • 2006-07-16 Listed $84,900 MAAR
  • 2002-07-29 Sold (MLS) $71,000 MAAR
  • 2002-01-07 Listed $74,900 MAAR

Property tax history

+4.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $778 · +0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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