1418 Third St St N · Morgan City, LA
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.77%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.3/30.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this cute 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering 1,286 sq ft of comfortable living space, perfectly situated in Morgan City. This property features a functional layout with an interior laundry room and a garage for added convenience. Recent updates provide peace of mind, including a roof just 2 years old, a 1-year-old water heater, and a 6-year-old HVAC system. A newly poured driveway adds to the home's curb appeal and everyday functionality. Inside, you'll find a home that has been kept in good condition, making it move-in ready while still offering the opportunity to add your own personal touch. The layout offers flexibility for families, first-time buyers, or those looking to downsize without sacrificing space. Don't miss your chance to own a solid, well-cared-for home in a convenient location. Schedule your private showing today! All measurements and flood zones to be verified by the buyer.
Key facts
- Recent updates
- Functional layout
- Move in ready
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $182 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $135k).
- Recommended offer: $123k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 4.6% in Morgan City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#111 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- St. Mary Parish (town): math 28% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #37 of 98 in LA (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Julia B. Maitland School (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #448 of 646 statewide, top 71%, 220 students, 82% FRL); Morgan City Junior High School (math 22% / reading 34%, grade F, #125 of 218 statewide, top 58%, 488 students, 56% FRL); Morgan City High School (math 27% / reading 42%, grade F, #106 of 265 statewide, top 43%, 732 students, 55% FRL) — zoned schools at 64% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 83 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 37 units permitted in St. Mary Parish in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Mary County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 95 days — a 9% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $52k; list at $135k implies a 160% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 95 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.50%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.88%
- DSCR
- 1.35
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $81,529
- List price
- $135,000
- Delta
- 65.59%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1618 Federal Ave | 0.14mi | 3/1.5 | 1,300 (+1%) | 5mo | $78,000 | $60 | 85 |
| 512 Marshall St | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 | 1,181 (-8%) | 3mo | $41,500 | $35 | 73 |
| 601 Marshall St | 0.17mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,241 (-4%) | 9mo | $135,000 | $109 | 70 |
| 1708 Federal Ave | 0.21mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,225 (-5%) | 9mo | $85,000 | $69 | 65 |
| 910 Belanger St | 0.49mi | 3/1.5 | 1,341 (+4%) | 5mo | $160,000 | $119 | 63 |
| 1703 Federal Ave | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 | 1,143 (-11%) | 8mo | $45,000 | $39 | 62 |
| 203 Aucoin St | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,424 (+11%) | 12mo | $34,500 | $24 | 61 |
| 905 Poplar St | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,229 (-4%) | 17mo | $199,900 | $163 | 54 |
| 1025 Second St | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 1,400 (+9%) | 10mo | $129,900 | $93 | 53 |
| 1914 Maple St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,208 (-6%) | 14mo | $129,000 | $107 | 43 |
| 1116 Front St | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,122 (-13%) | 16mo | $125,000 | $111 | 40 |
| 812 Clothilde St | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,094 (-15%) | 12mo | $88,000 | $80 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.73×
- Total profit
- $-10,305
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- 2.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.16×
- Total profit
- $5,936
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70380
- Home prices YoY
- -34.8%
- Active inventory
- 83
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,375 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$74 /mo · $888/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$289
- Net cashflow
- $182
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $258 | -5% $220 | +0% $182 | +5% $143 | +10% $105 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $73 | -5% $127 | +0% $182 | +5% $236 | +10% $290 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $250 | -0.5pp $216 | base $182 | +0.5pp $147 | +1.0pp $111 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1009 Poplar St Morgan City, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,375 | $0.86 | 45d | 1 | 0.68mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $135,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $135,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $135,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $135,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $135,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $135,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-16price $135,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $145,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $145,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $145,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $145,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $145,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $145,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $145,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $145,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $145,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $145,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $145,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $145,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-04-15price $145,000 911-char remark
Show marketing remark (929 chars)
Welcome to this cute 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering 1,286 sq ft of comfortable living space, perfectly situated in Morgan City. This property features a functional layout with an interior laundry room and a garage for added convenience. Recent updates provide peace of mind, including a roof just 2 years old, a 1-year-old water heater, and a 6-year-old HVAC system. A newly poured driveway adds to the home’s curb appeal and everyday functionality. Inside, you’ll find a home that has been kept in good condition, making it move-in ready while still offering the opportunity to add your own personal touch. The layout offers flexibility for families, first-time buyers, or those looking to downsize without sacrificing space. Don’t miss your chance to own a solid, well-cared-for home in a convenient location. Schedule your private showing today! All measurements and flood zones to be verified by the buyer.
-
2026-04-15price $145,000 929-char remark
Show marketing remark (929 chars)
Welcome to this cute 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering 1,286 sq ft of comfortable living space, perfectly situated in Morgan City. This property features a functional layout with an interior laundry room and a garage for added convenience. Recent updates provide peace of mind, including a roof just 2 years old, a 1-year-old water heater, and a 6-year-old HVAC system. A newly poured driveway adds to the home’s curb appeal and everyday functionality. Inside, you’ll find a home that has been kept in good condition, making it move-in ready while still offering the opportunity to add your own personal touch. The layout offers flexibility for families, first-time buyers, or those looking to downsize without sacrificing space. Don’t miss your chance to own a solid, well-cared-for home in a convenient location. Schedule your private showing today! All measurements and flood zones to be verified by the buyer.
-
2026-03-19$155,000 Active 911-char remark
Show marketing remark (929 chars)
Welcome to this cute 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering 1,286 sq ft of comfortable living space, perfectly situated in Morgan City. This property features a functional layout with an interior laundry room and a garage for added convenience. Recent updates provide peace of mind, including a roof just 2 years old, a 1-year-old water heater, and a 6-year-old HVAC system. A newly poured driveway adds to the home’s curb appeal and everyday functionality. Inside, you’ll find a home that has been kept in good condition, making it move-in ready while still offering the opportunity to add your own personal touch. The layout offers flexibility for families, first-time buyers, or those looking to downsize without sacrificing space. Don’t miss your chance to own a solid, well-cared-for home in a convenient location. Schedule your private showing today! All measurements and flood zones to be verified by the buyer.
-
2026-03-19$155,000 Active 929-char remark
Show marketing remark (929 chars)
Welcome to this cute 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering 1,286 sq ft of comfortable living space, perfectly situated in Morgan City. This property features a functional layout with an interior laundry room and a garage for added convenience. Recent updates provide peace of mind, including a roof just 2 years old, a 1-year-old water heater, and a 6-year-old HVAC system. A newly poured driveway adds to the home’s curb appeal and everyday functionality. Inside, you’ll find a home that has been kept in good condition, making it move-in ready while still offering the opportunity to add your own personal touch. The layout offers flexibility for families, first-time buyers, or those looking to downsize without sacrificing space. Don’t miss your chance to own a solid, well-cared-for home in a convenient location. Schedule your private showing today! All measurements and flood zones to be verified by the buyer.
-
2002-03-28soldstatus $52,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $888 · $74/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $888 · $74/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 77% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,500
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$888
- − Insurance
- −$1,472
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,320
- − Management
- −$1,320
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable income
- $11
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,177/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Mary Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201620
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -40.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -33.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,843
- Composite
- 28.1/100
- National rank
- #6828
- State rank
- #37 of 98 in LA
Livability — Morgan City
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #111
- US rank
- #11015
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Morgan City, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,043
Population outlook (St. Mary County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 49,510 people
- By 2030
- 47,570 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 43,880 · -11.4%
- By 2050
- 40,655 · -17.9%
- By 2075
- 37,190 · -24.9%
- By 2100
- 38,101 · -23.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Hispanic / Latino 15% Black 12% Two or more races 9% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 14%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 11% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Vietnamese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Mary
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.9) · D 33.5% · R 65.4% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.1pp toward R · 2008: -16.8pp · 2024: -31.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.9 2020: R+29.1 2016: R+27.6 2012: R+18.8 2008: R+16.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -53.21%
- Current HPI
- 99.8137
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
||
| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
||
Price history
+178.8% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-15 Price Changed $145,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-04-15 Price Changed $145,000 GBRMLS
- 2026-03-19 Listed $155,000 GBRMLS
- 2026-03-19 Listed $155,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2002-03-28 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.6%/yrLatest (2025): $888 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…