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1418 Third St St N
C- Composite 54.69
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.3/30.0
  • DSCR +7.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$135,000

1418 Third St St N · Morgan City, LA 70380
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,286 sqft · SingleFamily · 95 Days on market
Built 1950 4,225 sqft lot $105/sqft · 66% above area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this cute 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering 1,286 sq ft of comfortable living space, perfectly situated in Morgan City. This property features a functional layout with an interior laundry room and a garage for added convenience. Recent updates provide peace of mind, including a roof just 2 years old, a 1-year-old water heater, and a 6-year-old HVAC system. A newly poured driveway adds to the home's curb appeal and everyday functionality. Inside, you'll find a home that has been kept in good condition, making it move-in ready while still offering the opportunity to add your own personal touch. The layout offers flexibility for families, first-time buyers, or those looking to downsize without sacrificing space. Don't miss your chance to own a solid, well-cared-for home in a convenient location. Schedule your private showing today! All measurements and flood zones to be verified by the buyer.

Key facts

  • Recent updates
  • Functional layout
  • Move in ready

Tags

INTERIOR LAUNDRY ROOMNEWLY POURED DRIVEWAYRECENT UPDATESFUNCTIONAL LAYOUTMOVE IN READY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $182 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $135k).
  • Recommended offer: $123k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 4.6% in Morgan City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#111 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • St. Mary Parish (town): math 28% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #37 of 98 in LA (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Julia B. Maitland School (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #448 of 646 statewide, top 71%, 220 students, 82% FRL); Morgan City Junior High School (math 22% / reading 34%, grade F, #125 of 218 statewide, top 58%, 488 students, 56% FRL); Morgan City High School (math 27% / reading 42%, grade F, #106 of 265 statewide, top 43%, 732 students, 55% FRL) — zoned schools at 64% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 83 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 37 units permitted in St. Mary Parish in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Mary County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 95 days — a 9% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $52k; list at $135k implies a 160% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $122,850 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 95 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.02%
Cap rate
8.50%
Cash-on-cash
7.88%
DSCR
1.35
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$81,529
List price
$135,000
Delta
65.59%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1618 Federal Ave 0.14mi 3/1.5 1,300 (+1%) 5mo $78,000 $60 85
512 Marshall St 0.15mi 3/1.0 1,181 (-8%) 3mo $41,500 $35 73
601 Marshall St 0.17mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,241 (-4%) 9mo $135,000 $109 70
1708 Federal Ave 0.21mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,225 (-5%) 9mo $85,000 $69 65
910 Belanger St 0.49mi 3/1.5 1,341 (+4%) 5mo $160,000 $119 63
1703 Federal Ave 0.18mi 3/1.0 1,143 (-11%) 8mo $45,000 $39 62
203 Aucoin St 0.24mi 3/2.0 1,424 (+11%) 12mo $34,500 $24 61
905 Poplar St 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,229 (-4%) 17mo $199,900 $163 54
1025 Second St 0.44mi 3/1.0 1,400 (+9%) 10mo $129,900 $93 53
1914 Maple St 0.66mi 3/1.0 1,208 (-6%) 14mo $129,000 $107 43
1116 Front St 0.37mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,122 (-13%) 16mo $125,000 $111 40
812 Clothilde St 0.60mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,094 (-15%) 12mo $88,000 $80 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.4%
Equity multiple
0.73×
Total profit
$-10,305
Equity at exit
$20,129
10-year hold
IRR
2.2%
Equity multiple
1.16×
Total profit
$5,936
Equity at exit
$11,672

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70380

Home prices YoY
-34.8%
Active inventory
83
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,375 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax from tax record
$74 /mo · $888/yr
Insurance
$56
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$289
Net cashflow
$182

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,145
Max offer price $135,000
Occupancy floor 82%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $258 -5% $220 +0% $182 +5% $143 +10% $105
Rent -10% $73 -5% $127 +0% $182 +5% $236 +10% $290
Rate -1.0pp $250 -0.5pp $216 base $182 +0.5pp $147 +1.0pp $111

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1009 Poplar St Morgan City, LA 3.0 2.0 1600 $1,375 $0.86 45d 1 0.68mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $135,000 Active 95 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $135,000 Active 94 DOM
  3. 2026-06-21
    days on market $135,000 Active 93 DOM
  4. 2026-06-18
    days on market $135,000 Active 91 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    days on market $135,000 Active 90 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $135,000 Active 89 DOM
  7. 2026-06-16
    price $135,000 Active 88 DOM
  8. 2026-06-15
    days on market $145,000 Active 88 DOM
  9. 2026-06-13
    days on market $145,000 Active 86 DOM
  10. 2026-06-12
    days on market $145,000 Active 85 DOM
  11. 2026-06-09
    days on market $145,000 Active 82 DOM
  12. 2026-06-08
    days on market $145,000 Active 81 DOM
  13. 2026-06-07
    days on market $145,000 Active 80 DOM
  14. 2026-06-07
    days on market $145,000 Active 79 DOM
  15. 2026-06-04
    days on market $145,000 Active 76 DOM
  16. 2026-06-02
    days on market $145,000 Active 75 DOM
  17. 2026-06-01
    days on market $145,000 Active 74 DOM
  18. 2026-05-31
    days on market $145,000 Active 73 DOM
  19. 2026-05-31
    days on market $145,000 Active 72 DOM
  20. 2026-04-15
    price $145,000 911-char remark
    Show marketing remark (929 chars)

    Welcome to this cute 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering 1,286 sq ft of comfortable living space, perfectly situated in Morgan City. This property features a functional layout with an interior laundry room and a garage for added convenience. Recent updates provide peace of mind, including a roof just 2 years old, a 1-year-old water heater, and a 6-year-old HVAC system. A newly poured driveway adds to the home’s curb appeal and everyday functionality. Inside, you’ll find a home that has been kept in good condition, making it move-in ready while still offering the opportunity to add your own personal touch. The layout offers flexibility for families, first-time buyers, or those looking to downsize without sacrificing space. Don’t miss your chance to own a solid, well-cared-for home in a convenient location. Schedule your private showing today! All measurements and flood zones to be verified by the buyer.

  21. 2026-04-15
    price $145,000 929-char remark
    Show marketing remark (929 chars)

    Welcome to this cute 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering 1,286 sq ft of comfortable living space, perfectly situated in Morgan City. This property features a functional layout with an interior laundry room and a garage for added convenience. Recent updates provide peace of mind, including a roof just 2 years old, a 1-year-old water heater, and a 6-year-old HVAC system. A newly poured driveway adds to the home’s curb appeal and everyday functionality. Inside, you’ll find a home that has been kept in good condition, making it move-in ready while still offering the opportunity to add your own personal touch. The layout offers flexibility for families, first-time buyers, or those looking to downsize without sacrificing space. Don’t miss your chance to own a solid, well-cared-for home in a convenient location. Schedule your private showing today! All measurements and flood zones to be verified by the buyer.

  22. 2026-03-19
    listed $155,000 Active 911-char remark
    Show marketing remark (929 chars)

    Welcome to this cute 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering 1,286 sq ft of comfortable living space, perfectly situated in Morgan City. This property features a functional layout with an interior laundry room and a garage for added convenience. Recent updates provide peace of mind, including a roof just 2 years old, a 1-year-old water heater, and a 6-year-old HVAC system. A newly poured driveway adds to the home’s curb appeal and everyday functionality. Inside, you’ll find a home that has been kept in good condition, making it move-in ready while still offering the opportunity to add your own personal touch. The layout offers flexibility for families, first-time buyers, or those looking to downsize without sacrificing space. Don’t miss your chance to own a solid, well-cared-for home in a convenient location. Schedule your private showing today! All measurements and flood zones to be verified by the buyer.

  23. 2026-03-19
    listed $155,000 Active 929-char remark
    Show marketing remark (929 chars)

    Welcome to this cute 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering 1,286 sq ft of comfortable living space, perfectly situated in Morgan City. This property features a functional layout with an interior laundry room and a garage for added convenience. Recent updates provide peace of mind, including a roof just 2 years old, a 1-year-old water heater, and a 6-year-old HVAC system. A newly poured driveway adds to the home’s curb appeal and everyday functionality. Inside, you’ll find a home that has been kept in good condition, making it move-in ready while still offering the opportunity to add your own personal touch. The layout offers flexibility for families, first-time buyers, or those looking to downsize without sacrificing space. Don’t miss your chance to own a solid, well-cared-for home in a convenient location. Schedule your private showing today! All measurements and flood zones to be verified by the buyer.

  24. 2002-03-28
    soldstatus $52,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$888 · $74/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$888 · $74/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 77% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,500
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$888
− Insurance
−$1,472
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,320
− Management
−$1,320
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable income
$11
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3
After-tax cash flow
$2,177/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Mary Parish
NCES district ID
2201620
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -40.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -33.00%
Median HH income
$39,843
Composite
28.1/100
National rank
#6828
State rank
#37 of 98 in LA

Livability — Morgan City

Score
67/100
State rank
#111
US rank
#11015

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Morgan City, LA
Population (ZIP)
21,043

Population outlook (St. Mary County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
49,510 people
By 2030
47,570 · -3.9%
By 2040
43,880 · -11.4%
By 2050
40,655 · -17.9%
By 2075
37,190 · -24.9%
By 2100
38,101 · -23.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Hispanic / Latino 15% Black 12% Two or more races 9% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 14%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 11% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Vietnamese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Mary

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.9) · D 33.5% · R 65.4% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-15.1pp toward R · 2008: -16.8pp · 2024: -31.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.9 2020: R+29.1 2016: R+27.6 2012: R+18.8 2008: R+16.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -53.21%
Current HPI
99.8137
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+178.8% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-15 Price Changed $145,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-04-15 Price Changed $145,000 GBRMLS
  • 2026-03-19 Listed $155,000 GBRMLS
  • 2026-03-19 Listed $155,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2002-03-28 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $888 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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