11851 Ohio 117 · Belle Center, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Schools +5.6/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- DSCR +5.1/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$128,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Benjamin Logan School district. A One Story detached dwelling Ranch style with 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, an open covered front entry, large living room, formal dining room, kitchen, and family room. Backyard is partially fenced with a deck. This home also includes an attached garage with a carport. Any offers on this property require a minimum Earnest Money Deposit of 1% of the Purchase Price or $1,000, whichever is greater.
Key facts
- One story
- Formal dining room
- Kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $128k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $71 ($857/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $128k).
- Recommended offer: $116k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#616 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: crime C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Benjamin Logan Local (rural): math 64% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #197 of 656 in OH (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 24 active listings in the ZIP; 121 units permitted in Logan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $885 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Logan County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 104 days — a 9% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $17k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 104 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.39%
- DSCR
- 1.11
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $213,347
- List price
- $128,000
- Delta
- -40.00%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6765 State Route 273 W | 0.70mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 2,014 (-2%) | 6mo | $220,000 | $109 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.55×
- Total profit
- $-16,115
- Equity at exit
- $19,085
- IRR
- -3.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.78×
- Total profit
- $-7,855
- Equity at exit
- $11,067
Cash invested: $35,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43310
- Home prices YoY
- -10.2%
- Active inventory
- 24
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,332 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$671
- Tax from tax record
- −$256 /mo · $3,073/yr
- Insurance
- −$53
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$280
- Net cashflow
- $71
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,000
- Closing costs
- $3,840
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $128,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $128,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $128,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $128,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $128,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $128,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $134,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $134,900 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $134,900 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $134,900 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $134,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $134,900 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $134,900 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $134,900 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-05-08price $134,900 427-char remark
Show marketing remark (427 chars)
Benjamin Logan School district. A One Story detached dwelling Ranch style with 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, an open covered front entry, large living room, formal dining room, kitchen, and family room. Backyard is partially fenced with a deck. This home also includes an attached garage with a carport. Any offers on this property require a minimum Earnest Money Deposit of 1% of the Purchase Price or $1,000, whichever is greater.
-
2026-04-07price $139,900 427-char remark
Show marketing remark (427 chars)
Benjamin Logan School district. A One Story detached dwelling Ranch style with 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, an open covered front entry, large living room, formal dining room, kitchen, and family room. Backyard is partially fenced with a deck. This home also includes an attached garage with a carport. Any offers on this property require a minimum Earnest Money Deposit of 1% of the Purchase Price or $1,000, whichever is greater.
-
2026-03-05$144,900 Active 427-char remark
Show marketing remark (427 chars)
Benjamin Logan School district. A One Story detached dwelling Ranch style with 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, an open covered front entry, large living room, formal dining room, kitchen, and family room. Backyard is partially fenced with a deck. This home also includes an attached garage with a carport. Any offers on this property require a minimum Earnest Money Deposit of 1% of the Purchase Price or $1,000, whichever is greater.
-
2020-04-03soldstatus $142,000 405-char remark
Show marketing remark (405 chars)
Charming 3 bedroom 2 full bath home situated on a beautiful 1.46 Acres - Ben Logan School District! Brand new roof in 2018! Home is heated with natural gas forced air furnace and has central air. Spacious 2 car attached garage/workshop with an additional lean-to and garden shed for extra storage. Easy access to Indian Lake, Honda Transmissions, Marysville, or Lima! Call today for private tour!
-
2020-01-27$139,900 405-char remark
Show marketing remark (405 chars)
Charming 3 bedroom 2 full bath home situated on a beautiful 1.46 Acres - Ben Logan School District! Brand new roof in 2018! Home is heated with natural gas forced air furnace and has central air. Spacious 2 car attached garage/workshop with an additional lean-to and garden shed for extra storage. Easy access to Indian Lake, Honda Transmissions, Marysville, or Lima! Call today for private tour!
-
2017-09-25soldstatus $130,000
-
2017-09-22soldstatus $130,000
-
2017-08-14$130,000
-
1990-06-01soldstatus $36,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,073 · $256/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,073 · $256/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,981
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,170
- − Property taxes
- −$3,073
- − Insurance
- −$640
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,278
- − Management
- −$1,278
- − Depreciation
- −$3,724
- Taxable loss
- −$1,183
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$284
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,141/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Benjamin Logan Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904807
- Math proficiency
- 64% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 66% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,496
- Composite
- 56.13/100
- National rank
- #1181
- State rank
- #197 of 656 in OH
Livability — Belle Center
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #616
- US rank
- #10635
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Hardin · 33,287 people
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,090
- Household income
- $69,207
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 8.0
Population outlook (Logan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 44,240 people
- By 2030
- 43,166 · -2.4%
- By 2040
- 40,495 · -8.5%
- By 2050
- 37,511 · -15.2%
- By 2075
- 30,453 · -31.2%
- By 2100
- 23,081 · -47.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Serbian 4% Slovak 4%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Logan
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+56.2) · D 21.5% · R 77.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.6pp toward R · 2008: -26.6pp · 2024: -56.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+56.2 2020: R+55.2 2016: R+52.6 2012: R+31.8 2008: R+26.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -29.87%
- Current HPI
- 263.8773
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+274.7% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Price Changed $134,900 WCARE
- 2026-04-07 Price Changed $139,900 WCARE
- 2026-03-05 Listed $144,900 WCARE
- 2020-04-03 Sold (MLS) $142,000 WRIST
- 2020-01-27 Listed $139,900 WRIST
- 2017-09-25 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
- 2017-09-22 Sold (MLS) $130,000 WRIST
- 2017-08-14 Listed $130,000 WRIST
- 1990-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $36,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+15.7%/yrLatest (2025): $3,073 · +27.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…