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8349 W Tarboro Rd
B- Composite 69.58
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$55,000

8349 W Tarboro Rd · Rocky Mount, NC 27803
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,120 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1958 1.05 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investment opportunity with acreage! Unpermitted rooms were added to the rear of the home. There is no permanent heat source including the bedrooms and kitchen. Home will need a roof & there are holes in the ceiling.

Key facts

  • 1.05 acre lot
  • Built 1958
  • Listed 5 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Unpaved parking
  • Utilities: Cable available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level / single-story; Entry on main level
  • Construction: Block construction; Block foundation; Built on one story
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof; Paved road access; Has a view; Pets allowed (dogs OK; limit applies)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Propane heating; Fireplace heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Built-in bookcases; Four total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $623 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
  • Cap rate 19.9% vs local median 4.5% in Rocky Mount — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#134 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, employment F.
  • Nash-Rocky Mount Schools (rural): math 20% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #155 of 178 in NC (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: G R Edwards Middle (math 20% / reading 31%, grade F, #388 of 475 statewide, top 83%, 410 students, 88% FRL); Nash Central High (math 27% / reading 36%, grade F, #449 of 535 statewide, top 85%, 921 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 76% FRL vs 59% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 171 active listings in the ZIP; 500 units permitted in Nash County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Nash County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.5% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $55,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.21%
Cap rate
19.88%
Cash-on-cash
48.51%
DSCR
3.16
GRM
3.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.51% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
48.7%
Equity multiple
3.20×
Total profit
$33,875
Equity at exit
$8,201
10-year hold
IRR
55.3%
Equity multiple
7.11×
Total profit
$94,099
Equity at exit
$4,755

Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27803

Rents YoY
5.5%
Active inventory
171
Price-to-rent
3.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,214 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$288
Tax from tax record
$25 /mo · $300/yr
Insurance
$23
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$255
Net cashflow
$623

Break-even live

Break-even rent $426
Max offer price $55,000
Occupancy floor 44%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,750
Closing costs
$1,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    status $55,000 Pending 5 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $55,000 Active 5 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $55,000 Active 4 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $55,000 Active 3 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $55,000 Active 2 DOM
  6. 2026-05-29
    listed $55,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$300 · $25/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$451 · $38/mo
Expected delta
+$151/yr (+$13/mo · 50.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 68% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 68% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,566
− Mortgage interest
−$3,081
− Property taxes
−$300
− Insurance
−$275
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,165
− Management
−$1,165
− Depreciation
−$1,600
Taxable income
$6,980
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,675
After-tax cash flow
$5,796/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Nash-Rocky Mount Schools
NCES district ID
3703270
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$41,553
Composite
22.04/100
National rank
#8198
State rank
#155 of 178 in NC

Livability — Rocky Mount

Score
70/100
State rank
#134
US rank
#7692

Category grades

Amenities F Commute B+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Nash County · 50,768 people
City population
70,300
Metro
Rocky Mount, NC
Population (ZIP)
20,055
Household income
$60,124
Rent vs Own
38.3% rent · 61.7% own
Severe rent burden
641.0

Population outlook (Nash County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
91,107 people
By 2030
89,193 · -2.1%
By 2040
84,959 · -6.7%
By 2050
80,517 · -11.6%
By 2075
72,941 · -19.9%
By 2100
63,602 · -30.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 46% Black 44% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 1% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 5% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Nash

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.5%
2008→2024 swing
-0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.3pp · 2024: -1.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.8 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+0.2 2012: D+0.9 2008: R+1.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -162.95%
Current HPI
190.0204
Rent YoY
▲ 5.51%
Metro
Rocky Mount, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $55,000 Hive MLS

Property tax history

+1.6%/yr

Latest (2022): $300 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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