700 Wabash Ave · Odessa, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
REDUCED PRICE! ENOUGH SPACE TO ADD A 3RD BEDROOM. SITS ON 2 BIG LOTS WITH BIG BACK YARD.
Key facts
- 0.32 acre lot
- Parking
- Built 1957
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $676 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#132 in TX, #3,928 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute D+, amenities D, schools F.
- Ector County ISD (urban): math 22% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #707 of 826 in TX (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.7%/yr); 96 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,004 units permitted in Ector County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ector County population projected at +78% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 263 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 263 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.72% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.97%
- DSCR
- 2.29
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $47,912
- List price
- $99,999
- Delta
- 108.71%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.78×
- Total profit
- $21,822
- Equity at exit
- $14,910
- IRR
- 26.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.96×
- Total profit
- $55,004
- Equity at exit
- $8,646
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79761
- Home prices YoY
- -31.4%
- Rents YoY
- -0.7%
- Active inventory
- 96
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,725 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$121 /mo · $1,446/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$362
- Net cashflow
- $676
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $733 | -5% $704 | +0% $676 | +5% $648 | +10% $619 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $540 | -5% $608 | +0% $676 | +5% $744 | +10% $812 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $726 | -0.5pp $701 | base $676 | +0.5pp $650 | +1.0pp $624 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1117 Avenida de Mexico Odessa, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1335 | $1,900 | $1.42 | 45d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 701 Hillcrest Ave Odessa, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $1,400 | $1.04 | 45d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1513 E 11th St Odessa, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1728 | $3,300 | $1.91 | 45d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 1015 Milburn Ave Unit A2CBUILDING A Odessa, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 895 | $1,450 | $1.62 | 22d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1015 Milburn Ave Unit A1DBuilding A Odessa, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 895 | $1,500 | $1.68 | 14d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 946 S Crane Ave Odessa, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1584 | $1,800 | $1.14 | 45d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $99,999 Active 263 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $99,999 Active 261 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,999 Active 260 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,999 Active 259 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,999 Active 258 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,999 Active 257 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $99,999 Active 255 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,999 Active 254 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $99,999 Active 252 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,999 Active 251 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,999 Active 250 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,999 Active 249 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $99,999 Active 244 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,999 Active 243 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,999 Active 242 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $99,999 Active 241 DOM
-
2026-01-05price $99,999 88-char remark
Show marketing remark (88 chars)
REDUCED PRICE! ENOUGH SPACE TO ADD A 3RD BEDROOM. SITS ON 2 BIG LOTS WITH BIG BACK YARD.
-
2025-10-02$115,000 Active 88-char remark
Show marketing remark (88 chars)
REDUCED PRICE! ENOUGH SPACE TO ADD A 3RD BEDROOM. SITS ON 2 BIG LOTS WITH BIG BACK YARD.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,446 · $121/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,830 · $152/mo
- Expected delta
- +$384/yr (+$32/mo · 26.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,698
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,601
- − Property taxes
- −$1,446
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,656
- − Management
- −$1,656
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $6,930
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,663
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,449/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ector County ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4818000
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,740
- Composite
- 21.89/100
- National rank
- #8233
- State rank
- #707 of 826 in TX
Livability — Odessa
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #132
- US rank
- #3928
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Odessa, TX
- County
- Ector County · 131,169 people
- City population
- 131,169
- Metro
- Odessa, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,164
- Household income
- $68,228
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1352.0
Population outlook (Ector County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 212,765 people
- By 2030
- 241,962 · +13.7%
- By 2040
- 306,582 · +44.1%
- By 2050
- 379,755 · +78.5%
- By 2075
- 568,991 · +167.4%
- By 2100
- 709,829 · +233.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 67% White 23% Two or more races 20% Black 8% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 61%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 50% English-only · Spanish 48%
Political lean MEDSL · Ector
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+52.9) · D 23.2% · R 76.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.9pp toward R · 2008: -48.0pp · 2024: -52.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+52.9 2020: R+47.8 2016: R+40.6 2012: R+48.9 2008: R+48.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -116.66%
- Current HPI
- 254.9159
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.66%
- Metro
- Odessa, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-13.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-05 Price Changed $99,999 ODMLS
- 2025-10-02 Listed $115,000 ODMLS
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,446 · +5.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…