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700 Wabash Ave
B- Composite 68.27
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.3/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,999

700 Wabash Ave · Odessa, TX 79761
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,470 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 263 Days on market
Built 1957 0.32 ac lot $68/sqft · 109% above area ↓ 13% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

REDUCED PRICE! ENOUGH SPACE TO ADD A 3RD BEDROOM. SITS ON 2 BIG LOTS WITH BIG BACK YARD.

Key facts

  • 0.32 acre lot
  • Parking
  • Built 1957

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $676 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#132 in TX, #3,928 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute D+, amenities D, schools F.
  • Ector County ISD (urban): math 22% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #707 of 826 in TX (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.7%/yr); 96 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,004 units permitted in Ector County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ector County population projected at +78% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 263 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $87,999 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 263 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.72%
Cap rate
14.41%
Cash-on-cash
28.97%
DSCR
2.29
GRM
4.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$47,912
List price
$99,999
Delta
108.71%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.9%
Equity multiple
1.78×
Total profit
$21,822
Equity at exit
$14,910
10-year hold
IRR
26.0%
Equity multiple
2.96×
Total profit
$55,004
Equity at exit
$8,646

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79761

Home prices YoY
-31.4%
Rents YoY
-0.7%
Active inventory
96
Price-to-rent
4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,725 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$121 /mo · $1,446/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$362
Net cashflow
$676

Break-even live

Break-even rent $869
Max offer price $99,999
Occupancy floor 56%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $733 -5% $704 +0% $676 +5% $648 +10% $619
Rent -10% $540 -5% $608 +0% $676 +5% $744 +10% $812
Rate -1.0pp $726 -0.5pp $701 base $676 +0.5pp $650 +1.0pp $624

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1117 Avenida de Mexico Odessa, TX 3.0 2.0 1335 $1,900 $1.42 45d 1 0.31mi
701 Hillcrest Ave Odessa, TX 3.0 2.0 1344 $1,400 $1.04 45d 1 1.01mi
1513 E 11th St Odessa, TX 3.0 2.0 1728 $3,300 $1.91 45d 1 1.37mi
1015 Milburn Ave Unit A2CBUILDING A Odessa, TX 3.0 1.0 895 $1,450 $1.62 22d 1 1.41mi
1015 Milburn Ave Unit A1DBuilding A Odessa, TX 3.0 1.0 895 $1,500 $1.68 14d 1 1.41mi
946 S Crane Ave Odessa, TX 3.0 2.0 1584 $1,800 $1.14 45d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $99,999 Active 263 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $99,999 Active 261 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,999 Active 260 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,999 Active 259 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,999 Active 258 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,999 Active 257 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $99,999 Active 255 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,999 Active 254 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $99,999 Active 252 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,999 Active 251 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,999 Active 250 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,999 Active 249 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $99,999 Active 244 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,999 Active 243 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,999 Active 242 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $99,999 Active 241 DOM
  17. 2026-01-05
    price $99,999 88-char remark
    Show marketing remark (88 chars)

    REDUCED PRICE! ENOUGH SPACE TO ADD A 3RD BEDROOM. SITS ON 2 BIG LOTS WITH BIG BACK YARD.

  18. 2025-10-02
    listed $115,000 Active 88-char remark
    Show marketing remark (88 chars)

    REDUCED PRICE! ENOUGH SPACE TO ADD A 3RD BEDROOM. SITS ON 2 BIG LOTS WITH BIG BACK YARD.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,446 · $121/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,830 · $152/mo
Expected delta
+$384/yr (+$32/mo · 26.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,698
− Mortgage interest
−$5,601
− Property taxes
−$1,446
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,656
− Management
−$1,656
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$6,930
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,663
After-tax cash flow
$6,449/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ector County ISD
NCES district ID
4818000
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$52,740
Composite
21.89/100
National rank
#8233
State rank
#707 of 826 in TX

Livability — Odessa

Score
75/100
State rank
#132
US rank
#3928

Category grades

Amenities D Commute D+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Odessa, TX
County
Ector County · 131,169 people
City population
131,169
Metro
Odessa, TX
Population (ZIP)
30,164
Household income
$68,228
Rent vs Own
41.7% rent · 58.3% own
Severe rent burden
1352.0

Population outlook (Ector County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
212,765 people
By 2030
241,962 · +13.7%
By 2040
306,582 · +44.1%
By 2050
379,755 · +78.5%
By 2075
568,991 · +167.4%
By 2100
709,829 · +233.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (67%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 67% White 23% Two or more races 20% Black 8% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 61%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada
Languages at home
50% English-only · Spanish 48%

Political lean MEDSL · Ector

2024 margin
Solid R (+52.9) · D 23.2% · R 76.1%
2008→2024 swing
-4.9pp toward R · 2008: -48.0pp · 2024: -52.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+52.9 2020: R+47.8 2016: R+40.6 2012: R+48.9 2008: R+48.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -116.66%
Current HPI
254.9159
Rent YoY
▼ -0.66%
Metro
Odessa, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-13.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-05 Price Changed $99,999 ODMLS
  • 2025-10-02 Listed $115,000 ODMLS

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,446 · +5.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…