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2 Laurel Hill Rd S
F Composite 34.74
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.6/10.0
  • Cash flow +4.1/30.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +0.0/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0

$499,900

2 Laurel Hill Rd S · Inglenook, CT 06784
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,120 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 36 Days on market
Built 1966 0.53 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Incredibly charming Ranch set on a peaceful and private . 53-acre lot in quaint Sherman, offering the perfect blend of small-town charm, natural beauty, and incredibly low taxes. Tucked away in a serene setting, this well-maintained home provides both privacy and convenience, just minutes from marinas, Candlewood Lake, and Squantz Pond for year-round recreation and enjoyment. The main level features a bright and inviting Living Room with brand new carpeting and a cozy wood-burning fireplace, creating the perfect space to relax and unwind. The spacious Eat-In Kitchen offers white cabinetry, plenty of room for dining, and direct access to the oversized back deck, ideal for entertaining, outdo

Key facts

  • In law apartment
  • Private lot
  • Oversized back deck

Tags

PRIVATE LOTWOOD BURNING FIREPLACEOVERSIZED BACK DECKFINISHED LOWER LEVELIN LAW APARTMENTSEASONAL WINTER VIEWS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Under-house garage (1 garage)
  • Utilities: Private well water; Septic system; Propane hot water; Oil heating (fuel tank in basement)
  • Home design: Single-family home
  • Construction: Built with frame construction; White exterior; Shingle and asbestos siding; Block foundation; Asphalt shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Deck; Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Cooktop; Wall oven; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Hot air heating fueled by oil; Tankless propane hot water
  • Interior features: 7 total rooms; Full, fully finished basement; Attic with pull-down stairs; One fireplace; Central air
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer; Laundry on lower level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $500k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-16k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $258k (48.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $220k (56.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $220k (56.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Sherman School District (rural): math 55% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #87 of 192 in CT (top 45%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 5% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Sherman School (math 57% / reading 67%, grade B, #137 of 553 statewide, top 28%, 264 students, 2% FRL) — zoned schools at 2% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,151 units permitted in Western Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (714 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $53k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $50k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$86k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($485k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 31y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $260k; list at $500k implies a 92% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $220,000 (56.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 56% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.44%
Cap rate
3.01%
Cash-on-cash
-11.73%
DSCR
0.48
GRM
18.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$329,280
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
16 Fair Ln 0.24mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,120 (0%) 11mo $309,900 $277 71
14 Cherry Dr 0.43mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,066 (-5%) 6mo $320,000 $300 58
7 Pleasant View Rd 0.53mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,260 (+12%) 14mo $370,000 $294 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.1%
Equity multiple
2.32×
Total profit
$184,966
Equity at exit
$450,350
10-year hold
IRR
15.4%
Equity multiple
5.38×
Total profit
$612,837
Equity at exit
$971,196

Cash invested: $139,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06784

Home prices YoY
5.1%
Active inventory
43
Price-to-rent
18.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,200 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,622
Tax from tax record
$276 /mo · $3,311/yr
Insurance
$208
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$462
Net cashflow
$-1,368

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,931
Max offer price $258,283
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$124,975
Closing costs
$14,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
18 Inglenook Rd New Fairfield, CT 2.0 1.0 832 $2,200 $2.64 23d 1 1.24mi

Listing history 34 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $499,900 Active 36 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $499,900 Active 35 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $499,900 Active 34 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $499,900 Active 33 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $499,900 Active 32 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $499,900 Active 30 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $499,900 Active 29 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $499,900 Active 27 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $499,900 Active 26 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $499,900 Active 25 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $499,900 Active 24 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $499,900 Active 19 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $499,900 Active 18 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $499,900 Active 17 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $499,900 Active 16 DOM
  16. 2026-05-14
    listed $499,900 Active
  17. 2019-07-09
    historical
  18. 2019-04-04
    listed $299,000 Active
  19. 2019-03-06
    historical
  20. 2019-03-06
    status Active
  21. 2019-03-02
    historical
  22. 2018-10-06
    listed $299,000 Active
  23. 2012-11-13
    soldstatus $260,000
  24. 2012-11-09
    soldstatus $260,000
  25. 2012-01-04
    listed $269,000
  26. 2012-01-01
    historical
  27. 2011-07-03
    listed $299,000
  28. 1999-07-01
    soldstatus $164,000
  29. 1999-02-06
    listed $168,000
  30. 1997-10-29
    historical
  31. 1997-05-01
    listed $179,000
  32. 1995-10-26
    soldstatus $148,000
  33. 1995-03-08
    listed $153,900
  34. 1992-08-27
    soldstatus $133,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,311 · $276/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$7,004 · $584/mo
Expected delta
+$3,693/yr (+$308/mo · 111.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 19% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,400
− Mortgage interest
−$28,002
− Property taxes
−$3,311
− Insurance
−$2,500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,112
− Management
−$2,112
− Depreciation
−$14,543
Taxable loss
−$26,179
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$6,283
After-tax cash flow
$-10,130/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sherman School District
NCES district ID
0904080
Math proficiency
55% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
60% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$105,552
Composite
56.01/100
National rank
#2563
State rank
#87 of 192 in CT

Livability — Inglenook

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
3,525

Population outlook (Western Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
685,031

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Slovak 4% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, China, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Western Connecticut

2024 margin
D (+19.1) · D 58.8% · R 39.7% · Other 1.6%
All cycles
2024: D+19.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 13.90%
Current HPI
284.0569
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+275.9% since first listed
19 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $499,900 Smart MLS
  • 2019-07-09 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2019-04-04 Listed $299,000 Smart MLS
  • 2019-03-06 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2019-03-06 Relisted Smart MLS
  • 2019-03-02 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2018-10-06 Listed $299,000 Smart MLS
  • 2012-11-13 Sold (Public Records) $260,000 Public Records
  • 2012-11-09 Sold (MLS) $260,000 Smart MLS
  • 2012-01-04 Listed $269,000 Smart MLS
  • 2012-01-01 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2011-07-03 Listed $299,000 Smart MLS
  • 1999-07-01 Sold (MLS) $164,000 Smart MLS
  • 1999-02-06 Listed $168,000 Smart MLS
  • 1997-10-29 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 1997-05-01 Listed $179,000 Smart MLS
  • 1995-10-26 Sold (MLS) $148,000 Smart MLS
  • 1995-03-08 Listed $153,900 Smart MLS
  • 1992-08-27 Sold (Public Records) $133,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.5%/yr

Latest (2023): $3,311 · -2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…