5509 Greenfield Way · McLeansville, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 14.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +8.2/30.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.2/10.0
- 1% rule +1.5/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$285,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
One level Living on a cul-de-sac with natural privacy and low county taxes! 3 bedrooms 2 full baths with plenty of room for outdoor enjoyment and parking. Entertain in formal dining room! Master provides on-suite bathroom and walk-in closet! Walk in closet in 1 of the 2 add'l bedroom as well. Kitchen boasts breakfast nook in front of a large bay window overlooking the beautiful wooded lot. Enjoy entertaining on the deck and in the private back yard! Fridge, W/D, and storage bldg in back yard to convey!
Key facts
- Bright kitchen
- Breakfast nook
- Stylish lvp flooring
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Publicly maintained road access; Directions provided by listing
- HOA & community: Located in the Country Crossing subdivision; Association with Greensboro; Association fee $69 semi-annually
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 1 garage space; Driveway parking; Paved driveway; Garage door opener
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric water heater; Electric power
- Home design: Residential stick/site-built house; One story; Built in 1990; Existing structure
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: City lot; Cul-de-sac lot; Partially wooded; No fencing; Storage building/structure
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Dishwasher; Free-standing range
- Bedrooms: Bedrooms located on the main level
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump (electric) heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Primary bedroom on main level; Attic access only; Ceiling fans; Deadbolt locks; Pantry; Vaulted ceilings
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer connection; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $285k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-271 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $237k (16.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $185k (35.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $185k (35.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#484 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Guilford County Schools (urban): math 39% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #99 of 178 in NC (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Madison Elementary (math 47% / reading 42%, grade F, #574 of 1,410 statewide, top 43%, 221 students, 99% FRL); Northeast Guilford Middle (math 15% / reading 26%, grade F, #427 of 475 statewide, top 90%, 780 students, 100% FRL); Northeast Guilford High (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #445 of 535 statewide, top 84%, 959 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 52% district-wide (47 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 69 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 3,843 units permitted in Guilford County in 2024 (2,397 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $30k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $28k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Guilford County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$49k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($276k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $145k; list at $285k implies a 96% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 35% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.65% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.07%
- DSCR
- 0.82
- GRM
- 12.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $239,200
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5506 Greenfield Way | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 | 1,260 (+5%) | 21mo | $282,000 | $224 | 72 |
| 2820 Huffine Mill Rd | 0.07mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,184 (-1%) | 23mo | $150,000 | $127 | 71 |
| 5503 Country Crossing Ct | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,347 (+13%) | 10mo | $270,000 | $200 | 66 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.73×
- Total profit
- $137,867
- Equity at exit
- $256,751
- IRR
- 19.3%
- Equity multiple
- 6.25×
- Total profit
- $419,314
- Equity at exit
- $553,692
Cash invested: $79,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 27301
- Home prices YoY
- 4.6%
- Active inventory
- 69
- Price-to-rent
- 12.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,850 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,495
- Tax from tax record
- −$107 /mo · $1,281/yr
- Insurance
- −$119
- HOA
- −$12
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$388
- Net cashflow
- $-271
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-109 | -5% $-190 | +0% $-271 | +5% $-351 | +10% $-432 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-417 | -5% $-344 | +0% $-271 | +5% $-198 | +10% $-124 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-127 | -0.5pp $-198 | base $-271 | +0.5pp $-344 | +1.0pp $-420 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $71,250
- Closing costs
- $8,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3964 Bittle Rd Gibsonville, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,850 | $1.23 | 25d | 1 | 1.31mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $12 · $144/yr
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $285,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $285,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $285,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $285,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $285,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $285,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $285,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $285,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $285,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $285,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $285,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $285,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $285,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $285,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $285,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-13$285,000 Active
-
2020-02-13soldstatus $145,300 Sold 507-char remark
Show marketing remark (507 chars)
One level Living on a cul-de-sac with natural privacy and low county taxes! 3 bedrooms 2 full baths with plenty of room for outdoor enjoyment and parking. Entertain in formal dining room! Master provides on-suite bathroom and walk-in closet! Walk in closet in 1 of the 2 add'l bedroom as well. Kitchen boasts breakfast nook in front of a large bay window overlooking the beautiful wooded lot. Enjoy entertaining on the deck and in the private back yard! Fridge, W/D, and storage bldg in back yard to convey!
-
2020-02-01status Pending 507-char remark
Show marketing remark (507 chars)
One level Living on a cul-de-sac with natural privacy and low county taxes! 3 bedrooms 2 full baths with plenty of room for outdoor enjoyment and parking. Entertain in formal dining room! Master provides on-suite bathroom and walk-in closet! Walk in closet in 1 of the 2 add'l bedroom as well. Kitchen boasts breakfast nook in front of a large bay window overlooking the beautiful wooded lot. Enjoy entertaining on the deck and in the private back yard! Fridge, W/D, and storage bldg in back yard to convey!
-
2020-01-13historical Due Diligence Period 507-char remark
Show marketing remark (507 chars)
One level Living on a cul-de-sac with natural privacy and low county taxes! 3 bedrooms 2 full baths with plenty of room for outdoor enjoyment and parking. Entertain in formal dining room! Master provides on-suite bathroom and walk-in closet! Walk in closet in 1 of the 2 add'l bedroom as well. Kitchen boasts breakfast nook in front of a large bay window overlooking the beautiful wooded lot. Enjoy entertaining on the deck and in the private back yard! Fridge, W/D, and storage bldg in back yard to convey!
-
2020-01-09$145,000 Active 507-char remark
Show marketing remark (507 chars)
One level Living on a cul-de-sac with natural privacy and low county taxes! 3 bedrooms 2 full baths with plenty of room for outdoor enjoyment and parking. Entertain in formal dining room! Master provides on-suite bathroom and walk-in closet! Walk in closet in 1 of the 2 add'l bedroom as well. Kitchen boasts breakfast nook in front of a large bay window overlooking the beautiful wooded lot. Enjoy entertaining on the deck and in the private back yard! Fridge, W/D, and storage bldg in back yard to convey!
-
1991-01-01soldstatus $79,380
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,281 · $107/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,337 · $195/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,056/yr (+$88/mo · 82.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 14% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,200
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,964
- − Property taxes
- −$1,281
- − Insurance
- −$1,425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,776
- − Management
- −$1,776
- − HOA
- −$144
- − Depreciation
- −$8,291
- Taxable loss
- −$8,457
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,030
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,217/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Guilford County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3701920
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,315
- Composite
- 35.78/100
- National rank
- #4842
- State rank
- #99 of 178 in NC
Livability — McLeansville
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #484
- US rank
- #17798
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 10,897
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,897
Population outlook (Guilford County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 584,596 people
- By 2030
- 616,851 · +5.5%
- By 2040
- 678,451 · +16.1%
- By 2050
- 734,788 · +25.7%
- By 2075
- 862,985 · +47.6%
- By 2100
- 948,704 · +62.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 54% Black 32% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 6% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Tagalog/Filipino 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Guilford
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+21.8) · D 60.2% · R 38.4% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 18.4pp · 2024: 21.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+21.8 2020: D+23.1 2016: D+20.0 2012: D+16.5 2008: D+18.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 13.75%
- Current HPI
- 310.08
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
|
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Price history
+259.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Listed $285,000 Triad MLS
- 2020-02-13 Sold (MLS) $145,300 Triad MLS
- 2020-02-01 Pending — Triad MLS
- 2020-01-13 Contingent — Triad MLS
- 2020-01-09 Listed $145,000 Triad MLS
- 1991-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $79,380 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,281 · -1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…