2313 Mandeville St · New Orleans, LA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.77%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great investment opportunity in an up-and-coming neighborhood. This oversized property offers an exceptionally spacious layout with strong potential for renovation or resale. Easy flip with plenty of upside.
Key facts
- 3,480 sq ft lot
- Built 1940
- Listed 30 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $363 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.8% vs local median 4.4% in New Orleans — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#3 in LA, #1,383 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D.
- Orleans Parish (urban): math 11% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #69 of 98 in LA (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 587 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 710 units permitted in Orleans Parish in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,763/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($46k/yr) (locally 1988% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orleans County population projected at +61% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.5% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $39k; list at $100k implies a 156% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.76% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- 33.83%
- DSCR
- 2.51
- GRM
- 4.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $217,728
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2131 St. Roch Ave | 0.18mi | 3/3.0 | 1,533 (+1%) | 10mo | $260,000 | $170 | 76 |
| 2112 St. Roch Ave | 0.18mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,625 (+8%) | 1mo | $285,000 | $175 | 72 |
| 2102 Saint Anthony St | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,575 (+4%) | 6mo | $35,000 | $22 | 66 |
| 3013 Pauger St | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,386 (-8%) | 10mo | $199,900 | $144 | 60 |
| 1871 N Roman St | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,415 (-6%) | 9mo | $245,000 | $173 | 56 |
| 3016 Saint Roch Ave | 0.57mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,586 (+5%) | 10mo | $110,000 | $69 | 52 |
| 1833 Saint Ferdinand St | 0.66mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,551 (+3%) | 8mo | $130,000 | $84 | 52 |
| 1440 Port St | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,565 (+4%) | 12mo | $250,000 | $160 | 51 |
| 1735 Touro St | 0.49mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,368 (-10%) | 6mo | $186,000 | $136 | 49 |
| 2051 Hope St | 0.55mi | 3/1.5 | 1,678 (+11%) | 9mo | $77,500 | $46 | 46 |
| 2730 N Prieur St | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,685 (+11%) | 6mo | $237,650 | $141 | 46 |
| 1311 Frenchmen St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,300 (-14%) | 7mo | $225,000 | $173 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.49% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.22×
- Total profit
- $6,239
- Equity at exit
- $14,910
- IRR
- 14.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.16×
- Total profit
- $32,487
- Equity at exit
- $8,646
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70117
- Rents YoY
- 2.5%
- Active inventory
- 587
- Price-to-rent
- 4.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,763 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$37 /mo · $448/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$370
- Net cashflow
- $363
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $419 | -5% $391 | +0% $363 | +5% $335 | +10% $306 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $224 | -5% $293 | +0% $363 | +5% $432 | +10% $502 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $413 | -0.5pp $388 | base $363 | +0.5pp $337 | +1.0pp $311 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2115 Mandeville St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,650 | $1.18 | 25d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 2229 Saint Roch Ave New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,600 | $1.33 | 21d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 2024 Mandeville St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1072 | $1,950 | $1.82 | 25d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 2115 Elysian Fields Ave Unit 2115 New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,450 | $1.32 | 25d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 2107 Elysian Fields Ave New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1794 | $1,650 | $0.92 | 4d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 2556 N Tonti St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,850 | $1.68 | 17d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 2515 N Galvez St Unit 2515 New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,900 | $1.58 | 25d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 2515 N Galvez St New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,200 | $1.00 | 11d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 2220 N Prieur St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1334 | $2,000 | $1.50 | 25d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 2522 N Galvez St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1105 | $1,675 | $1.52 | 25d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 2524 N Galvez St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1102 | $1,800 | $1.63 | 18d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 2920 Pauger St New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1882 | $1,995 | $1.06 | 25d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 1710 Marigny St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,750 | $1.56 | 25d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1837 Touro St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1994 | $2,000 | $1.00 | 25d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 2311 Saint Anthony St Unit 1A New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,450 | $1.32 | 25d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1938 N Johnson St Unit 38 New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1844 | $2,400 | $1.30 | 25d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 1936 N Johnson St Unit 36 New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1844 | $2,400 | $1.30 | 25d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 2048 Florida Ave New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $2,000 | $1.67 | 18d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 2338 Annette St Unit 1 New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,400 | $1.22 | 21d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 3001 Marigny St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,400 | $1.12 | 25d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 2152 Abundance St Unit 2152 New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,599 | $1.45 | 4d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 2817 Annette St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,350 | $1.23 | 25d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1923 N Robertson St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1051 | $1,950 | $1.86 | 4d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1831 N Miro St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1882 | $2,500 | $1.33 | 45d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1933 Industry St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,595 | $1.14 | 17d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1327 Frenchmen St Unit B New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1175 | $1,900 | $1.62 | 25d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 2338 40 Annette St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,385 | $1.20 | 21d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1239 Saint Roch Ave New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,150 | $1.43 | 4d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 2114 Feliciana St Unit A New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1134 | $1,500 | $1.32 | 25d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 2114 Feliciana St Unit A New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1134 | $1,500 | $1.32 | 17d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1434 Annette St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1536 | $1,700 | $1.11 | 4d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1434 Annette St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1536 | $1,700 | $1.11 | 4d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 3327 Elysian Fields Ave New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,300 | $1.08 | 25d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 2027 Feliciana St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 17d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1136 Frenchmen St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1800 | $1,650 | $0.92 | 25d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 2331 Feliciana St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,850 | $1.48 | 25d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 2310 George Nick Connor Dr New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,600 | $1.52 | 25d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1735 N Tonti St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1197 | $1,650 | $1.38 | 25d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 2130 N Broad St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1579 | $1,350 | $0.85 | 25d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 2317 N Rampart St Unit 1272378P New Orleans, LA | 3.0–6.0 | 2.0–4.0 | 1581 | $2,165 | $1.37 | 4d | 2 | 0.91mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $100,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $100,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $100,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $100,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $100,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $100,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $100,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $100,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $100,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $100,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $100,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $100,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $100,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $100,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $100,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-21$100,000 Active
-
1989-05-26soldstatus $39,123
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $448 · $37/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $550 · $46/mo
- Expected delta
- +$102/yr (+$8/mo · 22.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 77% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,156
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$448
- − Insurance
- −$5,618
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,692
- − Management
- −$1,692
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $3,194
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$767
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,587/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Orleans Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201170
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -52.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -46.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,011
- Composite
- 15.78/100
- National rank
- #9271
- State rank
- #69 of 98 in LA
Livability — New Orleans
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #1383
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Orleans, LA
- County
- Orleans Parish · 338,817 people
- City population
- 338,817
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,652
- Household income
- $45,764
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1988.0
Population outlook (Orleans County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 513,025 people
- By 2030
- 575,781 · +12.2%
- By 2040
- 700,174 · +36.5%
- By 2050
- 826,541 · +61.1%
- By 2075
- 1,123,374 · +119.0%
- By 2100
- 1,355,609 · +164.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (60%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 60% White 30% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Orleans
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+67.0) · D 82.2% · R 15.2% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.7pp toward D · 2008: 60.3pp · 2024: 67.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+67.0 2020: D+68.2 2016: D+66.2 2012: D+62.5 2008: D+60.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -177.22%
- Current HPI
- 184.6061
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.49%
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+155.6% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Listed $100,000 AcadianaMLS
- 1989-05-26 Sold (Public Records) $39,123 Public Records
Property tax history
+16.3%/yrLatest (2026): $448 · +49.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…