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D Composite 42.46
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • DSCR +4.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,900

306 Country Club Villa Dr #3 · Shallotte, NC 28470
1 bd · 2.0 ba · 912 sqft · Condo public records · 150 Days on market
Built 1986 $259/mo HOA · 18% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Need an affordable home close to the beach? Look no further! This 2nd floor, 1 Bedroom, 2 full bath condo is located in the quiet Brierwood Estates community. Spacious and clean unit with sliders to deck overlooking wooded serene property. Living room/ Dining Room combo. Offers galley tiled kitchen with plenty of cabinet and counter space and all kitchen appliances included. Laundry room with storage, central air and heat. 2 full bathrooms have a tub/shower and the other has Shower and new vanity. Available for quick closing.

Key facts

  • Galley tiled kitchen
  • Central air and heat
  • Close to beach

Tags

CLOSE TO BEACHOVERLOOKING WOODED PROPERTYGALLEY TILED KITCHENPLENTY OF CABINET SPACECENTRAL AIR AND HEATLAUNDRY ROOM WITH STORAGE

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association present; Annual association fee of $3,108 (about $259/month); Association covers grounds maintenance, structure maintenance, and trash

Exterior

  • Parking: Paved off-street parking; Shared parking lot
  • Utilities: Public water; Cable available
  • Home design: Condominium; Residential property; One level; Entry level: 2; 2 total stories
  • Construction: Vinyl siding and frame construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built as condominium (year built not provided)
  • Exterior features: Deck; No fencing; Pool: see remarks

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven; Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Electric water heater
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring; Ceramic tile flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Electric heating; Central air conditioning; Heat pump cooling
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Window coverings; Furnished status negotiable; Accessible full bath
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $3 ($34/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $140k).
  • Recommended offer: $123k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 4.0% in Shallotte — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#411 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: health & safety D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Brunswick County Schools (rural): math 45% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #82 of 178 in NC (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Union Elementary (math 83% / reading 76%, grade A, #24 of 1,410 statewide, top 2%, 571 students, 100% FRL); Shallotte Middle (math 40% / reading 50%, grade D, #160 of 475 statewide, top 35%, 674 students, 100% FRL); West Brunswick High (math 50% / reading 56%, grade C-, #281 of 535 statewide, top 53%, 1,526 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 53% district-wide (46 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 59% at this address vs 46% district-wide (+13 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Brunswick County Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 384 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 6,112 units permitted in Brunswick County in 2024 (990 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Brunswick County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 150 days — a 12% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (22%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $102k; 37% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $123,112 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 150 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
6.32%
Cash-on-cash
0.09%
DSCR
1.00
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.0%
Equity multiple
0.43×
Total profit
$-22,353
Equity at exit
$20,860
10-year hold
IRR
-7.5%
Equity multiple
0.52×
Total profit
$-18,682
Equity at exit
$12,096

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28470

Home prices YoY
-34.8%
Active inventory
384
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,460 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$100 /mo · $1,195/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$259
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$307
Net cashflow
$3

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,456
Max offer price $139,900
Occupancy floor 95%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $82 -5% $42 +0% $3 +5% $-37 +10% $-76
Rent -10% $-112 -5% $-55 +0% $3 +5% $61 +10% $118
Rate -1.0pp $73 -0.5pp $38 base $3 +0.5pp $-33 +1.0pp $-70

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5000 Seaforth St Shallotte, NC 3.0 1.0–2.0 1077 $1,682 $1.56 25d 1 1.38mi
4568 Tides Way South Brunswick, NC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1187 $1,450 $1.22 25d 111 1.46mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$259 · $3,108/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-10
    days on market $139,900 Active 150 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $139,900 Active 149 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $139,900 Active 148 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $139,900 Active 147 DOM
  5. 2026-06-05
    days on market $139,900 Active 144 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    days on market $139,900 Active 143 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $139,900 Active 142 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $139,900 Active 141 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,900 Active 140 DOM
  10. 2026-05-30
    days on market $139,900 Active 139 DOM
  11. 2026-05-15
    price $139,900
  12. 2026-03-23
    price $149,900
  13. 2026-03-18
    price $165,000
  14. 2026-02-05
    price $169,900
  15. 2026-01-11
    listed $179,900 Active
  16. 2012-12-11
    historical
  17. 2012-06-24
    listed $74,900
  18. 2006-03-03
    soldstatus $102,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,195 · $100/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,195 · $100/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,519
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$1,195
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,402
− Management
−$1,402
− HOA
−$3,108
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable loss
−$2,192
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$526
After-tax cash flow
$560/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Brunswick County Schools
NCES district ID
3700420
Math proficiency
45% ▲ 4.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$47,494
Composite
39.23/100
National rank
#4011
State rank
#82 of 178 in NC

Livability — Shallotte

Score
63/100
State rank
#411
US rank
#15490

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Shallotte, NC
County
Brunswick County · 131,536 people
City population
11,219
Metro
Myrtle Beach-Conway-North Myrtle Beach, SC-NC
Population (ZIP)
11,219
Household income
$65,030
Rent vs Own
25.0% rent · 75.0% own
Severe rent burden
455.0

Population outlook (Brunswick County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
152,111 people
By 2030
165,705 · +8.9%
By 2040
188,494 · +23.9%
By 2050
206,228 · +35.6%
By 2075
237,876 · +56.4%
By 2100
251,451 · +65.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Black 13% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Serbian 3% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Brunswick

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.9) · D 37.2% · R 62.0%
2008→2024 swing
-6.9pp toward R · 2008: -17.9pp · 2024: -24.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.9 2020: R+25.0 2016: R+28.7 2012: R+22.2 2008: R+17.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -77.91%
Current HPI
146.2303
Rent YoY
Metro
Myrtle Beach-Conway-North Myrtle Beach, SC-NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+37.2% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $139,900 Hive MLS
  • 2026-03-23 Price Changed $149,900 Hive MLS
  • 2026-03-18 Price Changed $165,000 Hive MLS
  • 2026-02-05 Price Changed $169,900 Hive MLS
  • 2026-01-11 Listed $179,900 Hive MLS
  • 2012-12-11 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2012-06-24 Listed $74,900 Hive MLS
  • 2006-03-03 Sold (Public Records) $102,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,195 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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