602 Orchard St · Glendale, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
3 bed/1 bath brick cape cod in the heart of Carnegie. Backyard is level and would be great for picnics and parties. Extras include a covered porch, central A/C, and a partially finished basement.
Key facts
- Covered porch
- Level backyard
- Central a/c
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $370 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Chartiers Valley SD (suburban): math 37% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #221 of 539 in PA (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 67 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.5% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.47% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.64%
- DSCR
- 1.78
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $188,406
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 134 Boroview Ave | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 | 1,206 (+4%) | 4mo | $40,000 | $33 | 72 |
| 518 Magazine St | 0.09mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,044 (-10%) | 3mo | $185,000 | $177 | 71 |
| 526 Magazine St | 0.09mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,044 (-10%) | 8mo | $187,000 | $179 | 67 |
| 533 Madison Ave | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 | 1,144 (-2%) | 8mo | $176,000 | $154 | 66 |
| 520 6th Ave | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 | 1,084 (-7%) | 4mo | $145,000 | $134 | 62 |
| 631 Superior St | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,296 (+11%) | 8mo | $210,000 | $162 | 61 |
| 1714 Washington St | 0.65mi | 2/2.0 | 1,140 (-2%) | 1mo | $113,900 | $100 | 61 |
| 406 Hill Street Rear (aka Spikenard Way) | 0.42mi | 2/2.0 | 1,008 (-13%) | 8mo | $181,000 | $180 | 48 |
| 843 Library Ave | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,257 (+8%) | 3mo | $233,000 | $185 | 47 |
| 1620 Walnut St | 0.47mi | 2/1.5 | 1,308 (+12%) | 11mo | $203,650 | $156 | 46 |
| 307 1st Ave | 0.49mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,335 (+15%) | 3mo | $182,500 | $137 | 43 |
| 239 Marshall Ave | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,050 (-10%) | 3mo | $246,000 | $234 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.45% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.49×
- Total profit
- $12,386
- Equity at exit
- $13,404
- IRR
- 22.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.21×
- Total profit
- $55,729
- Equity at exit
- $7,773
Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15106
- Home prices YoY
- -31.9%
- Rents YoY
- 5.5%
- Active inventory
- 67
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,320 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$471
- Tax from tax record
- −$164 /mo · $1,968/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$277
- Net cashflow
- $370
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $421 | -5% $395 | +0% $370 | +5% $345 | +10% $319 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $266 | -5% $318 | +0% $370 | +5% $422 | +10% $474 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $415 | -0.5pp $393 | base $370 | +0.5pp $347 | +1.0pp $323 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,475
- Closing costs
- $2,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 230 Magazine St Unit 2 Carnegie, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,295 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 622 Logan St Unit 2 Carnegie, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,055 | $1.51 | 24d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 523 Grant Ave Fl 2 Carnegie, PA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 457 Carothers Ave Unit 6 Carnegie, PA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $850 | $1.21 | 8d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1640 Ellsworth Ave Unit 2 Heidelberg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,125 | $1.50 | 18d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 1900 Tee Ct Presto, PA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 981 | $1,756 | $1.79 | 2d | 9 | 0.53mi |
| 851 Kennedy St Carnegie, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,800 | $1.64 | 24d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 312 Midland Ave Carnegie, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1332 | $1,400 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 834 Washington Ave Carnegie, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1026 | $1,638 | $1.60 | 3d | 11 | 0.70mi |
| 303 Lexington Ct Carnegie, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1144 | $1,200 | $1.05 | 11d | 1 | 0.87mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-03-17status Pending
-
2026-03-15historical Contingent
-
2026-03-07$89,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,968 · $164/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,968 · $164/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,843
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,036
- − Property taxes
- −$1,968
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,267
- − Management
- −$1,267
- − Depreciation
- −$2,615
- Taxable income
- $3,239
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$777
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,663/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Chartiers Valley SD
- NCES district ID
- 4205700
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -17.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,191
- Composite
- 40.91/100
- National rank
- #3614
- State rank
- #221 of 539 in PA
Livability — Glendale
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Glendale, PA
- County
- Allegheny County · 1,022,028 people
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,244
- Household income
- $77,247
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 410.0
Population outlook (Allegheny County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,250,282 people
- By 2030
- 1,256,482 · +0.5%
- By 2040
- 1,256,318 · +0.5%
- By 2050
- 1,244,169 · -0.5%
- By 2075
- 1,197,693 · -4.2%
- By 2100
- 1,093,187 · -12.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Black 8% Two or more races 6% Asian 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 11% Lithuanian 2% Subsaharan African 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5%
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Arabic 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Allegheny
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.7% · R 39.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.8pp toward D · 2008: 15.5pp · 2024: 20.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.3 2020: D+20.4 2016: D+16.4 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+15.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -119.52%
- Current HPI
- 255.0295
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.45%
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-17 Pending — West Penn MLS
- 2026-03-15 Contingent — West Penn MLS
- 2026-03-07 Listed $89,900 West Penn MLS
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2026): $1,968 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…