CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
148 Saint Louis Ave
C+ Composite 64.57
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$67,900

148 Saint Louis Ave · Youngstown, OH 44507
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,042 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1920 6,141 sqft lot Est $54k · 25% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Check out this move-in ready home on a quiet street. The kitchen has been updated with white flooring and white cabinetry. Tall ceiling throughout the entire main floor. Hardwood flooring throughout the spacious dining room as well as in the living room. The 3 bedrooms have been updated with fresh new carpeting throughout. The bathroom has white flooring and a white vanity. There's plenty of space in the back yard for a fire pit hang out area. Come and make this your home today!

Key facts

  • Hardwood flooring
  • Tall ceiling
  • Spacious dining room

Tags

MOVE IN READYUPDATED KITCHENTALL CEILINGHARDWOOD FLOORINGSPACIOUS DINING ROOMFRESH NEW CARPETING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: 2 stories; Above-grade finished area reported as 1,042
  • Construction: Built year from public records
  • Exterior features: Asphalt/shingle roof; Frame construction

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Total of 6 rooms (includes bedrooms and other rooms)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating
  • Interior features: Updated/remodeled condition; Full basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $68k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $366 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $68k).
  • Cap rate 12.8% vs local median 7.0% in Youngstown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#99 in OH, #1,506 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Youngstown City (urban): math 8% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #649 of 656 in OH (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 28 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 147 units permitted in Mahoning County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,057/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($26k/yr) (locally 17% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-0.8%/yr); year-one equity from $469 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $562 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Mahoning County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-0.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $22k (24%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $15k; list at $68k implies a 353% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $67,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.56%
Cap rate
12.76%
Cash-on-cash
23.11%
DSCR
2.03
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$54,184
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
464 W Hylda Ave 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,152 (+11%) 12mo $60,000 $52 42
471 W Hylda 0.60mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,151 (+10%) 12mo $29,000 $25 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.83% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.3%
Equity multiple
1.99×
Total profit
$18,754
Equity at exit
$16,954
10-year hold
IRR
26.5%
Equity multiple
3.76×
Total profit
$52,507
Equity at exit
$18,288

Cash invested: $19,012 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44507

Home prices YoY
-0.3%
Active inventory
28
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,057 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$356
Tax est. 1.5%
$85 /mo · $1,018/yr
Insurance
$28
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$222
Net cashflow
$366

Break-even live

Break-even rent $594
Max offer price $67,900
Occupancy floor 60%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $413 -5% $390 +0% $366 +5% $343 +10% $319
Rent -10% $283 -5% $324 +0% $366 +5% $408 +10% $450
Rate -1.0pp $400 -0.5pp $383 base $366 +0.5pp $349 +1.0pp $331

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,975
Closing costs
$2,037
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
546 Breaden St Youngstown, OH 3.0 1.0 1430 $1,080 $0.76 21d 1 0.98mi
512 E Philadelphia Ave Unit 1 Youngstown, OH 2.0 1.0 1200 $899 $0.75 21d 1 1.00mi
236 Hilton Ave Youngstown, OH 4.0 1.5 1488 $1,195 $0.80 21d 1 1.07mi
911 Hawthorne St Youngstown, OH 3.0 1.0 1198 $1,080 $0.90 21d 1 1.29mi
913 Hawthorne St Youngstown, OH 3.0 1.0 1198 $1,080 $0.90 21d 1 1.29mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $67,900 Active 9 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $67,900 Active 8 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $67,900 Active 7 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $67,900 Active 6 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $67,900 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $67,900 Active 3 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on marketlisting id $67,900 Active 2 DOM
  8. 2026-06-02
    days on market $67,900 Active 280 DOM
  9. 2026-06-01
    days on market $67,900 Active 279 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $67,900 Active 278 DOM
  11. 2026-05-30
    days on market $67,900 Active 277 DOM
  12. 2026-05-20
    status Active
  13. 2026-04-22
    historical Contingent
  14. 2025-11-10
    price $67,900
  15. 2025-09-26
    price $79,900
  16. 2025-08-26
    listed $89,900 Active
  17. 1996-10-31
    soldstatus $15,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,690
− Mortgage interest
−$3,803
− Property taxes
−$1,018
− Insurance
−$340
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,015
− Management
−$1,015
− Depreciation
−$1,975
Taxable income
$3,523
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$845
After-tax cash flow
$3,548/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Youngstown City
NCES district ID
3904516
Math proficiency
8% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
17% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$25,257
Composite
9.29/100
National rank
#9858
State rank
#649 of 656 in OH

Livability — Youngstown

Score
81/100
State rank
#99
US rank
#1506

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Youngstown, OH
County
Mahoning · 224,175 people
City population
28,503
Metro
Youngstown-Warren, OH
Population (ZIP)
4,402
Household income
$25,767
Rent vs Own
53.9% rent · 46.1% own
Severe rent burden
17.1

Population outlook (Mahoning County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
223,932 people
By 2030
218,387 · -2.5%
By 2040
205,367 · -8.3%
By 2050
193,606 · -13.5%
By 2075
173,694 · -22.4%
By 2100
151,147 · -32.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
Black 60% White 20% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 10%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 10%
Common ancestry
Subsaharan African 2% Hispanic 2% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 10%

Political lean MEDSL · Mahoning

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.4) · D 44.9% · R 54.4%
2008→2024 swing
-36.1pp toward R · 2008: 26.6pp · 2024: -9.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.4 2020: R+1.9 2016: D+3.0 2012: D+27.7 2008: D+26.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.83%
Current HPI
282.496
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+352.7% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Relisted MLSNOW
  • 2026-04-22 Contingent MLSNOW
  • 2025-11-10 Price Changed $67,900 MLSNOW
  • 2025-09-26 Price Changed $79,900 MLSNOW
  • 2025-08-26 Listed $89,900 MLSNOW
  • 1996-10-31 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $3 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…