CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
171 Silver Lake Rd Duplex
C- Composite 51.28
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.8/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$699,999

171 Silver Lake Rd · New York, NY 10301
6 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,260 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 191 Days on market
Built 1931 2,400 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Investment Opportunity in Silver Lake – Two-Family with Rental Income (Sold As-Is) Located on Silver Lake Road, this semi-attached two-family property offers great potential for investors or buyers looking to generate rental income. The lot spans 2,400 sq. ft. , with a building footprint of 17 ft x 37 ft. A built-in garage and one-car carport provide convenient parking options. The primary unit is a spacious 4-bedroom, 1-bathroom apartment currently rented for $2,500. On the upper level, one rented studio generating $1,300 per month. The property is being sold as-is and requires significant work, making it a fantastic opportunity for someone ready to invest in updates and care. Wit

Key facts

  • Built-in garage
  • Two-family property
  • 2,400 sq ft lot

Tags

TWO-FAMILY PROPERTYRENTAL INCOME POTENTIALBUILT-IN GARAGEDESIRABLE SILVER LAKE AREA

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $700k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $663 ($8k/yr) — positive. Per door: $331/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $647k (7.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $616k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 265 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 480 units permitted in Richmond County in 2024 (22 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $6,466/mo this rent would consume 91% of the median local household income ($86k/yr) (locally 2008% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $21k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Richmond County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 191 days — a 12% lower offer ($616k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $170k; list at $700k implies a 312% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1931 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 60% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $615,999 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 191 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1931 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.92%
Cap rate
7.43%
Cash-on-cash
4.06%
DSCR
1.18
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.07% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.8%
Equity multiple
0.74×
Total profit
$-50,777
Equity at exit
$104,372
10-year hold
IRR
6.0%
Equity multiple
1.51×
Total profit
$99,532
Equity at exit
$60,523

Cash invested: $196,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City New York
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

ZIP-level market 10301

Rents YoY
6.1%
Active inventory
265
Price-to-rent
18.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$6,466 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,671
Tax from tax record
$483 /mo · $5,794/yr
Insurance
$292
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,358
Net cashflow
$663

Break-even live

Break-even rent $5,627
Max offer price $699,999
Occupancy floor 85%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,059 -5% $861 +0% $663 +5% $465 +10% $266
Rent -10% $152 -5% $407 +0% $663 +5% $918 +10% $1,174
Rate -1.0pp $1,015 -0.5pp $841 base $663 +0.5pp $481 +1.0pp $297

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $6,466

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$175,000
Closing costs
$21,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2025-05-21
    historical
  2. 2025-04-30
    status Pending
  3. 2024-10-23
    listed $699,999 Active
  4. 2024-10-21
    listed $699,999 Active
  5. 2016-02-17
    historical
  6. 2008-04-09
    historical
  7. 2007-12-17
    listed $579,000
  8. 2006-09-18
    listed $589,000
  9. 1993-12-29
    soldstatus $170,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,794 · $483/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$8,812 · $734/mo
Expected delta
+$3,018/yr (+$251/mo · 52.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 60% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$77,592
− Mortgage interest
−$39,211
− Property taxes
−$5,794
− Insurance
−$3,500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$6,207
− Management
−$6,207
− Depreciation
−$20,364
Taxable loss
−$3,691
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$886
After-tax cash flow
$8,839/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

Score
75/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New York, NY
County
Richmond County · 404,174 people
City population
7,731,280
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
41,052
Household income
$85,609
Rent vs Own
54.2% rent · 45.8% own
Severe rent burden
2008.0

Population outlook (Richmond County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
482,784 people
By 2030
481,831 · -0.2%
By 2040
473,159 · -2.0%
By 2050
457,242 · -5.3%
By 2075
408,029 · -15.5%
By 2100
341,459 · -29.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
Race & ethnicity
White 37% Hispanic / Latino 29% Black 23% Two or more races 16% Asian 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 10% Cuban 2% Dominican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Scotch-Irish 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
22% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
68% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Indo-European 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Richmond

2024 margin
Strong R (+29.8) · D 35.1% · R 64.9%
2008→2024 swing
-25.7pp toward R · 2008: -4.0pp · 2024: -29.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+29.8 2020: R+14.9 2016: R+16.8 2012: D+0.8 2008: R+4.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -407.37%
Current HPI
319.0616
Rent YoY
▲ 6.07%
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+311.8% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2025-05-21 Listing Removed SIBORMLS
  • 2025-04-30 Pending BNYMLS
  • 2024-10-23 Listed $699,999 SIBORMLS
  • 2024-10-21 Listed $699,999 BNYMLS
  • 2016-02-17 Listing Removed SIBORMLS
  • 2008-04-09 Listing Removed SIBORMLS
  • 2007-12-17 Listed $579,000 SIBORMLS
  • 2006-09-18 Listed $589,000 SIBORMLS
  • 1993-12-29 Sold (Public Records) $170,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,794 · +6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…