2128 Aqueduct Ave · New York, NY 10453

$650,000

4 bd · 2.4 ba · 2,100 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 12 Days on market

Built 1993 2,061 sqft lot Est $832k · 22% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +29.1/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +7.5/10.0
• Schools +5.0/10.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Welcome to this 11 year old young, two family residence offering a perfect blend of contemporary design and practical functionality. This immaculate home boasts a spacious 3 bedroom duplex over a 2 bedroom rental. All utilities are separate. This house also has a private driveway. House is fenced in and has a deck. Close to all shopping , schools, and Transportation. This is not a house you want to miss.

Key facts

• 2,061 sq ft lot
• Built 1993
• Listed 12 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.2-bath units multifamily listed at $650k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($27k/yr) — positive. Per door: $1k/mo.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($8k rent vs $650k).
• Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
• Market conditions: 34 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $8,143/mo this rent would consume 294% of the median local household income ($33k/yr) (locally 10286% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $69k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $65k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $182k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$112k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $650,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.25% ✓
• Cap rate: 10.44%
• Cash-on-cash: 14.81%
• DSCR: 1.66
• GRM: 6.7

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $831,600
• Comps found: 2

Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
61 W 184th St	0.41mi	5/4.0 (+1)	1,920 (-9%)	13mo	$760,000	$396	44
2359 Valentine Ave	0.60mi	5/3.0 (+1)	2,280 (+9%)	17mo	$810,000	$355	36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 35.2%
• Equity multiple: 3.73×
• Total profit: $497,025
• Equity at exit: $585,571

10-year hold

• IRR: 30.3%
• Equity multiple: 8.42×
• Total profit: $1,351,009
• Equity at exit: $1,262,807

Cash invested: $182,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (CITY): 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City New York: 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34

Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 10453

• Home prices YoY: 4.2%
• Active inventory: 34
• Price-to-rent: 13.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $8,143 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$3,409
• Tax from tax record: −$507 /mo · $6,083/yr
• Insurance: −$271
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$1,710
• Net cashflow: $2,247

Break-even live

Break-even rent $5,299

Max offer price $650,000

Occupancy floor 67%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $2,614	-5% $2,431	+0% $2,247	+5% $2,063	+10% $1,879
Rent	-10% $1,603	-5% $1,925	+0% $2,247	+5% $2,568	+10% $2,890
Rate	-1.0pp $2,574	-0.5pp $2,412	base $2,247	+0.5pp $2,078	+1.0pp $1,907

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

Units	Beds	Baths	Est. rent
▸ 2× units	2	1.2	$8,144
Total (2 units)			$8,143

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $162,500
• Closing costs: $19,500
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 6 events

1. 2025-10-28
   soldstatus $650,000
2. 2024-07-01
   status Pending
3. 2024-07-01
   status Active
4. 2024-04-01
   status Active
5. 2024-02-12
   listed $650,000 Active
6. 1994-04-19
   soldstatus $225,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $6,083 · $507/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $8,534 · $711/mo
• Expected delta: +$2,451/yr (+$204/mo · 40.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $97,716
• − Mortgage interest: −$36,410
• − Property taxes: −$6,083
• − Insurance: −$3,250
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$7,817
• − Management: −$7,817
• − Depreciation: −$18,909
• Taxable income: $17,429
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$4,183
• After-tax cash flow: $22,775/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

• Score: 75/100
• State rank: #268
• US rank: #4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: New York, NY
• County: Bronx County · 1,197,324 people
• City population: 7,731,280
• Metro: New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
• Population (ZIP): 76,282
• Household income: $33,186
• Rent vs Own: 95.2% rent · 4.8% own
• Severe rent burden: 10286.0

Population outlook (Bronx County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,607,353 people
• By 2030: 1,681,852 · +4.6%
• By 2040: 1,824,421 · +13.5%
• By 2050: 1,945,470 · +21.0%
• By 2075: 2,187,887 · +36.1%
• By 2100: 2,244,136 · +39.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Hispanic (67%)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 67% Black 26% Two or more races 17% White 2% Native American 2% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 13% Dominican 41%
• Foreign-born: 44% · Canada, United Kingdom, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 32% English-only · Spanish 58% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bronx

• 2024 margin: Solid D (+45.4) · D 72.7% · R 27.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: -32.3pp toward R · 2008: 77.8pp · 2024: 45.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+45.4 2020: D+67.6 2016: D+79.1 2012: D+82.9 2008: D+77.8

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 14.52%
• Current HPI: 361.6961
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

+188.2% since first listed

6 events — show timeline

• 2025-10-28 Sold (Public Records) $650,000 Public Records
• 2024-07-01 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2024-07-01 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2024-04-01 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2024-02-12 Listed $650,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 1994-04-19 Sold (Public Records) $225,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+10.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,083 · +6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.