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1892 Emily Dr
B+ Composite 77.82
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$49,000

1892 Emily Dr · Edgewood, MD 21040
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 980 sqft · Manufactured · 179 Days on market
Built 1998 $50/sqft · 18% below area Est $60k · 18% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

2 bed 2 bath Singlewide manufactured home. REMODELED NEW FLOORING UPDATED KITCHEN NEW STAINLESS STEEL FRIDGE, DISHWASHER, & GAS STOVE NEW LIGHT FIXTURES UPDATED BATHROOMS DECK PARKING PAD Lot rent $803 monthly, includes a community pool, clubhouse, and playground .

Key facts

  • Remodeled
  • New flooring
  • Updated bathrooms

Tags

REMODELEDNEW FLOORINGUPDATED KITCHENUPDATED BATHROOMSDECKPARKING PAD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $49k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $936 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $49k).
  • Recommended offer: $43k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 29.2% vs local median 5.5% in Edgewood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#118 in MD, #4,991 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, amenities D, crime F.
  • Harford County Public Schools (suburban): math 22% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #9 of 24 in MD (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 94 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 803 units permitted in Harford County in 2024 (26 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $339 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 179 days — a 12% lower offer ($43k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask is 4% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Recommended offer $43,120 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 179 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.29%
Cap rate
29.22%
Cash-on-cash
81.89%
DSCR
4.64
GRM
2.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$59,733
List price
$49,000
Delta
-17.97%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1921 Steven Dr 0.37mi 2/2.0 850 (-13%) 9mo $60,000 $71 53

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.92% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
84.3%
Equity multiple
5.00×
Total profit
$54,890
Equity at exit
$7,306
10-year hold
IRR
88.0%
Equity multiple
11.08×
Total profit
$138,237
Equity at exit
$4,237

Cash invested: $13,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Failure-to-pay is dismissed if cured before judgment; Baltimore has just-cause; strict deposit rules.

ZIP-level market 21040

Home prices YoY
-29.4%
Rents YoY
4.9%
Active inventory
94
Price-to-rent
2.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,614 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$257
Tax est. 1.5%
$61 /mo · $735/yr
Insurance
$20
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$339
Net cashflow
$936

Break-even live

Break-even rent $429
Max offer price $49,000
Occupancy floor 37%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,250
Closing costs
$1,470
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
905 Swallow Crest Ct Unit E Edgewood, MD 2.0 1.0 990 $1,495 $1.51 43d 1 0.39mi
1772 Judy Way Edgewood, MD 3.0 1.5 1040 $2,195 $2.11 43d 1 0.48mi
1703 Fountain Rock Way Unit 1703-B Edgewood, MD 2.0 1.0 882 $1,250 $1.42 24d 1 0.53mi
814 Windstream Way Unit 814-A Edgewood, MD 1.0 1.0 882 $1,200 $1.36 43d 1 0.72mi
802 Kingston Ct Edgewood, MD 1.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 1007 $1,660 $1.65 1d 15 0.93mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $49,000 Active 179 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $49,000 Active 178 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $49,000 Active 177 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $49,000 Active 176 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $49,000 Active 174 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $49,000 Active 170 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $49,000 Active 169 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $49,000 Active 168 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $49,000 Active 165 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $49,000 Active 164 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $49,000 Active 163 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $49,000 Active 162 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $49,000 Active 161 DOM
  14. 2026-04-14
    price $49,000 276-char remark
    Show marketing remark (276 chars)

    2 bed 2 bath Singlewide manufactured home. REMODELED NEW FLOORING UPDATED KITCHEN NEW STAINLESS STEEL FRIDGE, DISHWASHER, & GAS STOVE NEW LIGHT FIXTURES UPDATED BATHROOMS DECK PARKING PAD Lot rent $803 monthly, includes a community pool, clubhouse, and playground .

  15. 2025-12-21
    listed $47,000 Active 276-char remark
    Show marketing remark (276 chars)

    2 bed 2 bath Singlewide manufactured home. REMODELED NEW FLOORING UPDATED KITCHEN NEW STAINLESS STEEL FRIDGE, DISHWASHER, & GAS STOVE NEW LIGHT FIXTURES UPDATED BATHROOMS DECK PARKING PAD Lot rent $803 monthly, includes a community pool, clubhouse, and playground .

  16. 2012-07-14
    historical Withdrawn
  17. 2012-07-14
    historical
  18. 2012-05-09
    status Contract
  19. 2012-03-09
    price Active
  20. 2012-03-09
    status Active
  21. 2012-03-05
    historical Temporarily Off-Market
  22. 2012-02-25
    status Contract
  23. 2012-02-15
    price
  24. 2012-01-23
    listed Active
  25. 2012-01-22
    listed $22,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,365
− Mortgage interest
−$2,745
− Property taxes
−$735
− Insurance
−$245
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,549
− Management
−$1,549
− Depreciation
−$1,425
Taxable income
$11,116
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,668
After-tax cash flow
$8,567/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Harford County Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400390
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -23.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$79,569
Composite
29.38/100
National rank
#6527
State rank
#9 of 24 in MD

Livability — Edgewood

Score
73/100
State rank
#118
US rank
#4991

Category grades

Amenities D Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Edgewood, MD
County
Harford County · 198,512 people
City population
24,960
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
Population (ZIP)
24,960
Household income
$81,704
Rent vs Own
28.9% rent · 71.1% own
Severe rent burden
859.0

Population outlook (Harford County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
262,292 people
By 2030
266,437 · +1.6%
By 2040
269,954 · +2.9%
By 2050
265,659 · +1.3%
By 2075
252,886 · -3.6%
By 2100
224,014 · -14.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
Black 45% White 36% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 10% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Harford

2024 margin
R (+13.8) · D 41.9% · R 55.7% · Other 2.4%
2008→2024 swing
+5.0pp toward D · 2008: -18.8pp · 2024: -13.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.8 2020: R+12.0 2016: R+24.5 2012: R+19.5 2008: R+18.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -106.14%
Current HPI
254.2305
Rent YoY
▲ 4.92%
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+114.0% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-14 Price Changed $49,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-12-21 Listed $47,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2012-07-14 Delisted MRIS
  • 2012-07-14 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2012-05-09 Pending MRIS
  • 2012-03-09 Relisted MRIS
  • 2012-03-09 Price Changed MRIS
  • 2012-03-05 Delisted MRIS
  • 2012-02-25 Pending MRIS
  • 2012-02-15 Price Changed MRIS
  • 2012-01-23 Listed MRIS
  • 2012-01-22 Listed $22,900 BRIGHT MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…