261 Other · Danville, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 8.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +1.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$47,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Attention investors, flippers, and renovation enthusiasts! This 2-bedroom, 1-bath bungalow style home located at 261 Fagan St. offers an opportunity to transform a distressed property into a potential income-producing rental or resale project. Situated on a level lot, the home features a traditional layout and convenient city location. However, the property is in need of a complete rehabilitation and is being sold strictly as-is, where is, no warranties. With a manageable footprint, this property could be an attractive project for investors seeking their next renovation opportunity. Bring your vision, tools, and contractor to unlock the potential this property has to offer. Info per city as
Key facts
- Level lot
- Traditional layout
- Bungalow style home
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Annual tax listed (amount provided)
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Porch; Level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances listed
- Bedrooms: Total of 4 rooms (bedroom count not specified)
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Floor furnace; No cooling system
- Interior features: Vinyl and wood flooring; No appliances included
- Laundry & utility: No dedicated laundry or utility appliances listed
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $48k. Condition is rated poor.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $519 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $48k).
- Cap rate 19.4% vs local median 5.3% in Danville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#91 in VA, #2,952 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D+, crime D-, commute F.
- Danville City Public School District (town): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #128 of 131 in VA (top 98%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 211 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 54 units permitted in Danville city in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $328 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Danville County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- 46.82%
- DSCR
- 3.08
- GRM
- 3.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $101,136
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 122 Lovelace Rd | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 | 808 (+3%) | 2mo | $90,000 | $111 | 70 |
| 202 Ash St | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 | 809 (+3%) | 6mo | $130,000 | $161 | 62 |
| 879 Arnett Blvd | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 | 750 (-4%) | 10mo | $66,000 | $88 | 56 |
| 503 Skyline Ave | 0.73mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 828 (+6%) | 3mo | $107,000 | $129 | 49 |
| 122 Ruskin St | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 900 (+15%) | 17mo | $125,000 | $139 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 44.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.91×
- Total profit
- $25,371
- Equity at exit
- $7,082
- IRR
- 50.1%
- Equity multiple
- 5.87×
- Total profit
- $64,718
- Equity at exit
- $4,107
Cash invested: $13,300 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24540
- Home prices YoY
- -20.0%
- Active inventory
- 211
- Price-to-rent
- 3.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,072 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$249
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$59 /mo · $712/yr
- Insurance
- −$20
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$225
- Net cashflow
- $519
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,875
- Closing costs
- $1,425
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 119 Crosland Ave Danville, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 776 | $910 | $1.17 | 21d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 357 Terry Ave Danville, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,165 | $1.29 | 43d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1300 Franklin Tpke Danville, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,265 | $1.26 | 43d | 1 | 0.86mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-17remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-17$47,500 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,869
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,661
- − Property taxes
- −$712
- − Insurance
- −$238
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,030
- − Management
- −$1,030
- − Depreciation
- −$1,382
- Taxable income
- $5,817
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,396
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,831/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This property requires extensive renovation and rehabilitation to become a move-in-ready home. Significant repairs and updates are needed to improve its condition and increase its value.
Repairs flagged
- Major siding — Severe weathering and damage
- Major roof — Aged and possibly leaking
- Major flooring — Worn and in need of refinishing
- Major interior walls — Exposed drywall and peeling paint
- Major kitchen appliances — Outdated and non-functional
- Major bathroom fixtures — Dirty and outdated
Value-add opportunities
- Both exterior renovation — Improves curb appeal and resale value
- Both interior renovation — Enhances living space and rental appeal
- Both kitchen appliances — Modernizes the space and attracts buyers
- Both bathroom fixtures — Updates the space and attracts buyers
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| siding · Severe weathering and damage | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| roof · Aged and possibly leaking | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| flooring · Worn and in need of refinishing | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| interior walls · Exposed drywall and peeling paint | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| kitchen appliances · Outdated and non-functional | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · Dirty and outdated | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 6 items | $90,000–300,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both exterior renovation — Improves curb appeal and resale value ↑
- Both interior renovation — Enhances living space and rental appeal ↑
- Both kitchen appliances — Modernizes the space and attracts buyers ↑
- Both bathroom fixtures — Updates the space and attracts buyers ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Danville City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5101110
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -22.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,952
- Composite
- 30.23/100
- National rank
- #6298
- State rank
- #128 of 131 in VA
Livability — Danville
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #91
- US rank
- #2952
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Danville, VA
- County
- Danville City · 59,055 people
- City population
- 59,055
- Metro
- Danville, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,013
- Household income
- $47,924
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1170.0
Population outlook (Danville County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 40,989 people
- By 2030
- 40,432 · -1.4%
- By 2040
- 39,255 · -4.2%
- By 2050
- 38,035 · -7.2%
- By 2075
- 35,612 · -13.1%
- By 2100
- 30,365 · -25.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Black 42% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Danville
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+21.1) · D 60.1% · R 39.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.9pp toward D · 2008: 19.1pp · 2024: 21.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+21.1 2020: D+22.1 2016: D+19.9 2012: D+22.1 2008: D+19.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -58.79%
- Current HPI
- 235.1746
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Danville, VA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Listed $47,500 MHPCAR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…