100 Lyle St · Ocoee, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.7/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This property is the definition of a diamond in the rough. Here is a rare chance to transform a solid structure on a beautiful lot into the home or investment of your dreams. Nestled on a spacious, well situated parcel, this home offers exceptional potential for renovation, expansion or a full redesign. The existing layout provides a strong foundation, but the home is ready for someone with vision. Whether you’re an investor seeking your next project or a homeowner eager to customize a space from the ground up, this property delivers the perfect canvas. The lot features mature trees, generous yard space and a peaceful setting that’s increasingly hard to find. With the right upda
Key facts
- Solid structure
- Generous yard space
- Mature trees
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot size approximately 0.26 acres (0.25–0.49 range)
- Financial info: Tax information not included per instructions
- HOA & community: No HOA/association
Exterior
- Parking: Parking details not provided
- Security: No specific security features listed
- Utilities: No water source listed; No sewer listed; Other utilities
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; One story; Faces east; R-1 zoning
- Construction: Block construction; Shingle roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built area 841 living area (public records)
- Exterior features: Other exterior features
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances listed
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Other flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
- Interior features: Other interior features
- Laundry & utility: Laundry: Other
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $547 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $145k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 3.6% in Ocoee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#602 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A-, employment A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Orange (suburban): math 46% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #43 of 73 in FL (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Ocoee Elementary (math 37% / reading 41%, grade F, #1,560 of 2,144 statewide, top 73%, 670 students, 61% FRL); Ocoee Middle (math 41% / reading 45%, grade D-, #331 of 571 statewide, top 59%, 1,192 students, 55% FRL); Ocoee High (math 17% / reading 38%, grade F, #470 of 667 statewide, top 71%, 2,536 students, 50% FRL) — zoned schools at 55% FRL track the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 36% at this address vs 48% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Orange average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.0%/yr); 352 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 8,053 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,133 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orange County population projected at +52% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $24k; list at $150k implies a 525% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.30% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.63%
- DSCR
- 1.70
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.04% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.16×
- Total profit
- $6,768
- Equity at exit
- $22,351
- IRR
- 11.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.85×
- Total profit
- $35,878
- Equity at exit
- $12,961
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34761
- Home prices YoY
- -28.3%
- Rents YoY
- 1.0%
- Active inventory
- 352
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,948 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax from tax record
- −$144 /mo · $1,727/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$409
- Net cashflow
- $547
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $632 | -5% $589 | +0% $547 | +5% $504 | +10% $462 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $393 | -5% $470 | +0% $547 | +5% $624 | +10% $701 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $622 | -0.5pp $585 | base $547 | +0.5pp $508 | +1.0pp $468 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100 Maguire Rd Ocoee, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 961 | $1,928 | $2.01 | 0d | 21 | 0.22mi |
| 349 N Bluford Ave Ocoee, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 750 | $3,800 | $5.07 | 20d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 611 N Lakewood Ave Ocoee, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 944 | $800 | $0.85 | 26d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 502 Dunbar Ave Winter Garden, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $1,495 | $1.83 | 17d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 502 Dunbar Ave Winter Garden, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $1,495 | $1.83 | 26d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 906 Oasis Palm Cir Ocoee, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1037 | $2,175 | $2.10 | 0d | 16 | 1.34mi |
| 216 Jean St Winter Garden, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1026 | $2,300 | $2.24 | 26d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $149,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $149,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $149,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $149,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $149,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $149,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $149,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $149,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $149,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $149,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $149,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $149,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $149,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $149,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $149,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-21$149,900 Active
-
2001-06-07soldstatus $24,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,727 · $144/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,727 · $144/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,381
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$1,727
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,870
- − Management
- −$1,870
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable income
- $4,406
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,057
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,504/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Orange
- NCES district ID
- 1201440
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,350
- Composite
- 41.47/100
- National rank
- #3461
- State rank
- #43 of 73 in FL
Livability — Ocoee
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #602
- US rank
- #11554
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ocoee, FL
- County
- Orange County · 1,471,359 people
- City population
- 47,327
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,327
- Household income
- $96,415
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1197.0
Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,618,226 people
- By 2030
- 1,787,404 · +10.5%
- By 2040
- 2,125,621 · +31.4%
- By 2050
- 2,454,016 · +51.6%
- By 2075
- 3,173,711 · +96.1%
- By 2100
- 3,607,781 · +122.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 39% Hispanic / Latino 29% Black 19% Two or more races 13% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 8% Cuban 2% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 2% Romanian 2% German 2%
- Foreign-born
- 22% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 72% English-only · Spanish 19% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Orange
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.6) · D 56.1% · R 42.5% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.0pp toward R · 2008: 18.6pp · 2024: 13.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.6 2020: D+23.1 2016: D+24.6 2012: D+18.2 2008: D+18.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -114.83%
- Current HPI
- 290.5598
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.04%
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+524.6% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Listed $149,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2001-06-07 Sold (Public Records) $24,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,727 · +19.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…