502 Dale Ave SE · Roanoke, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$60,864
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Vacant.
Key facts
- 5,662 sq ft lot
- Built 1885
- Listed 659 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $61k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $705 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $61k).
- Recommended offer: $54k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 20.2% vs local median 4.2% in Roanoke — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#163 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities C-, employment D, crime F.
- Roanoke City Public School District (urban): math 40% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #102 of 131 in VA (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 77 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 113 units permitted in Roanoke city in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $421 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Roanoke County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 659 days — a 12% lower offer ($54k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $19k (24%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1885 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 659 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1885 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.38% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 49.66%
- DSCR
- 3.21
- GRM
- 3.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $135,691
- List price
- $60,864
- Delta
- -55.15%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 47.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.06×
- Total profit
- $35,091
- Equity at exit
- $9,075
- IRR
- 53.0%
- Equity multiple
- 6.19×
- Total profit
- $88,531
- Equity at exit
- $5,262
Cash invested: $17,042 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24013
- Home prices YoY
- -18.0%
- Active inventory
- 77
- Price-to-rent
- 3.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,446 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$319
- Tax from tax record
- −$93 /mo · $1,111/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$304
- Net cashflow
- $705
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $740 | -5% $723 | +0% $705 | +5% $688 | +10% $671 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $591 | -5% $648 | +0% $705 | +5% $762 | +10% $820 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $736 | -0.5pp $721 | base $705 | +0.5pp $690 | +1.0pp $674 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,216
- Closing costs
- $1,826
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 25 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 730 Murray Ave SE Roanoke, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1163 | $1,525 | $1.31 | 21d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 730 Murray Ave SE Roanoke, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1163 | $1,525 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 1015 12th St SE Roanoke, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1072 | $923 | $0.86 | 44d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 909 13th St SE Roanoke, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1870 | $1,199 | $0.64 | 44d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 355 Highland Ave SW Apt 1 Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,150 | $1.28 | 21d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 216 Patton Ave NW Unit 2 Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1240 | $1,025 | $0.83 | 21d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 520 Riverland Rd SE Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 948 | $1,500 | $1.58 | 44d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1119 Franklin Rd SW Unit BensonFranklin 05 Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,297 | $1.44 | 44d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 430 Day Ave SW Unit A Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1444 | $1,650 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1513 Morningside St SE Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 14d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 635 Riverland Rd SE Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 905 | $1,250 | $1.38 | 14d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1016 15th St SE #2 Roanoke, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1084 | $995 | $0.92 | 14d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 703 Riverland Rd SE Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,250 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1817 Dale Ave SE Roanoke, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1820 | $2,100 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 333 Harrison Ave NW Roanoke, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1186 | $1,123 | $0.95 | 21d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 401 Rutherford Ave NW Roanoke, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $1,450 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 770 Riverland Rd SE Roanoke, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,100 | $1.75 | 44d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 602 Elm Ave Unit B Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1804 | $1,250 | $0.69 | 44d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1905 Wise Ave SE Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1044 | $1,123 | $1.08 | 14d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1515 Dunbar St NW Roanoke, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1058 | $1,623 | $1.53 | 14d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 701 Salem Ave SW Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,950 | $1.56 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 813 Gilmer Ave NW Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,322 | $1.26 | 21d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 1007 Gilmer Ave NW Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1187 | $1,175 | $0.99 | 21d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 1816 Bennington St SE Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 938 | $1,023 | $1.09 | 21d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1331 Main St SW Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 877 | $1,023 | $1.17 | 21d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 46 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $60,864 Active 659 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $60,864 Active 658 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $60,864 Active 657 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $60,864 Active 656 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $60,864 Active 654 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $60,864 Active 653 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $60,864 Active 651 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $60,864 Active 650 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $60,864 Active 649 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $60,864 Active 645 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $60,864 Active 644 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $60,864 Active 643 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $60,864 Active 642 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $60,864 Active 641 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $60,864 Active 640 DOM
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2026-02-05price $60,864 7-char remark
Show marketing remark (7 chars)
Vacant.
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2026-01-05price $62,106 7-char remark
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Vacant.
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2025-11-12price $63,373 7-char remark
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Vacant.
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2025-10-08price $64,666 7-char remark
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Vacant.
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2025-09-03price $65,986 7-char remark
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Vacant.
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2025-08-08price $67,333 7-char remark
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Vacant.
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2025-06-20price $68,707 7-char remark
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Vacant.
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2025-05-18price $70,109 7-char remark
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Vacant.
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2025-04-11price $71,540 7-char remark
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Vacant.
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2025-03-07price $73,000 7-char remark
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Vacant.
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2024-12-20price $77,500 7-char remark
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Vacant.
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2024-08-28$80,000 Active 7-char remark
Show marketing remark (7 chars)
Vacant.
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2024-02-29historical
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2024-01-17price $109,314
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2023-12-18price $115,067
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2023-11-21price $116,067
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2023-11-02price $122,176
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2023-10-09price $128,606
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2023-09-15price $135,375
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2023-08-10price $142,500
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2023-07-12$149,950 Active
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2020-08-03soldstatus $60,000
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2016-06-07soldstatus $60,000
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2007-05-21soldstatus $49,500
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2007-05-18soldstatus $49,500
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2007-05-18soldstatus $49,500
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2007-01-02$54,950
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2006-08-22historical
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2005-11-07$57,950
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1994-08-05soldstatus $8,000
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1989-01-10soldstatus $8,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,111 · $93/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,111 · $93/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,353
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,409
- − Property taxes
- −$1,111
- − Insurance
- −$304
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,388
- − Management
- −$1,388
- − Depreciation
- −$1,771
- Taxable income
- $7,982
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,916
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,548/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Roanoke City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5103300
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -38.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,592
- Composite
- 40.8/100
- National rank
- #3639
- State rank
- #102 of 131 in VA
Livability — Roanoke
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #163
- US rank
- #5055
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Roanoke, VA
- County
- Roanoke City · 101,625 people
- City population
- 168,930
- Metro
- Roanoke, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,026
- Household income
- $51,290
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 345.0
Population outlook (Roanoke County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 106,094 people
- By 2030
- 108,927 · +2.7%
- By 2040
- 114,104 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 118,032 · +11.3%
- By 2075
- 123,363 · +16.3%
- By 2100
- 116,827 · +10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 57% Black 29% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Greek 1% German 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 6% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Roanoke
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.6) · D 61.1% · R 37.5% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.2pp no change · 2008: 23.4pp · 2024: 23.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.6 2020: D+25.8 2016: D+17.6 2012: D+21.5 2008: D+23.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -49.00%
- Current HPI
- 223.42
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Roanoke, VA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+660.8% since first listed31 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-05 Price Changed $60,864 MLSRV
- 2026-01-05 Price Changed $62,106 MLSRV
- 2025-11-12 Price Changed $63,373 MLSRV
- 2025-10-08 Price Changed $64,666 MLSRV
- 2025-09-03 Price Changed $65,986 MLSRV
- 2025-08-08 Price Changed $67,333 MLSRV
- 2025-06-20 Price Changed $68,707 MLSRV
- 2025-05-18 Price Changed $70,109 MLSRV
- 2025-04-11 Price Changed $71,540 MLSRV
- 2025-03-07 Price Changed $73,000 MLSRV
- 2024-12-20 Price Changed $77,500 MLSRV
- 2024-08-28 Listed $80,000 MLSRV
- 2024-02-29 Listing Removed — MLSRV
- 2024-01-17 Price Changed $109,314 MLSRV
- 2023-12-18 Price Changed $115,067 MLSRV
- 2023-11-21 Price Changed $116,067 MLSRV
- 2023-11-02 Price Changed $122,176 MLSRV
- 2023-10-09 Price Changed $128,606 MLSRV
- 2023-09-15 Price Changed $135,375 MLSRV
- 2023-08-10 Price Changed $142,500 MLSRV
- 2023-07-12 Listed $149,950 MLSRV
- 2020-08-03 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 2016-06-07 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 2007-05-21 Sold (MLS) $49,500 MLSRV
- 2007-05-18 Sold (Public Records) $49,500 Public Records
- 2007-05-18 Sold (Public Records) $49,500 Public Records
- 2007-01-02 Listed $54,950 MLSRV
- 2006-08-22 Listing Removed — MLSRV
- 2005-11-07 Listed $57,950 MLSRV
- 1994-08-05 Sold (Public Records) $8,000 Public Records
- 1989-01-10 Sold (Public Records) $8,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,111 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…