Dimaggio Plan · Panama City, FL 32404

$289,990

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,810 sqft · SingleFamily · 265 Days on market

Excellent condition

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Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +7.6/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Condition / age +5.0/5.0
• Livability +3.6/5.0
• Schools +3.1/10.0
• Rent growth +2.8/5.0
• 1% rule +2.2/10.0
• DSCR +1.7/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

The Majors Collection is a new series of single-family homes for sale at the Magnolia Ridge masterplan in Panama City Beach, FL. Residents will enjoy convenient access to the turquoise waters of the Gulf, with convenient proximity to ample shopping at local boutiques, farmers markets and large retailers. The community is located only a mile from I-10 for easy commutes and travel.

Key facts

• Local boutiques
• Large retailers
• Ample shopping

Tags

• AMPLE SHOPPING
• LOCAL BOUTIQUES
• FARMERS MARKETS
• LARGE RETAILERS
• EASY COMMUTES

🏗️ New construction. The $289,990 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $308,240.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $290k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-375 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $254k (12.4% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $222k (23.4% below list).
• Recommended offer: $222k (23.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 72/100 on livability (#350 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
• Bay (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #29 of 73 in FL (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Cedar Grove Elementary School (math 18% / reading 18%, grade F, #2,115 of 2,144 statewide, top 99%, 562 students, 76% FRL); Merritt Brown Middle School (math 38% / reading 38%, grade F, #388 of 571 statewide, top 69%, 701 students, 55% FRL); Bay High School (math 37% / reading 34%, grade F, #367 of 667 statewide, top 57%, 1,255 students, 53% FRL).
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 30% at this address vs 51% district-wide (-20 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Bay average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 1544 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 51d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,473 units permitted in Bay County in 2024 (559 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Bay County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 265 days — a 12% lower offer ($255k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Recommended offer $222,129 (23.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 265 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.72% ✗
• Cap rate: 4.83%
• Cash-on-cash: -5.22%
• DSCR: 0.77
• GRM: 11.6

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $308,240
• List price: $289,990
• Delta: -5.92%
• Verdict: FAIR
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
3933 Alwyn Cashe Ave #42	0.11mi	4/2.0	1,845 (+2%)	2mo	$294,990	$160	90
3856 Wall St Unit HS 86	0.21mi	4/2.0	1,732 (-4%)	1mo	$265,990	$154	82
3872 Wall St Unit HS 82	0.21mi	4/2.0	1,732 (-4%)	1mo	$261,990	$151	82
3801 Wall St Unit HS 101	0.21mi	4/2.0	1,732 (-4%)	2mo	$269,990	$156	81
3829 Alwyn Cashe Ave #32	0.17mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,744 (-4%)	2mo	$292,490	$168	79
3825 Alwyn Cashe Ave #31	0.18mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,891 (+4%)	2mo	$280,000	$148	77
3821 Alwyn Cashe Ave Unit HS 30	0.19mi	4/2.0	2,000 (+10%)	0mo	$327,490	$164	74
3632 Basal St	0.58mi	4/2.0	1,820 (+1%)	1mo	$331,790	$182	71
3070 Lucky Farm Ln	0.47mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,864 (+3%)	2mo	$370,000	$198	67
3217 Caitlin St	0.15mi	4/2.0	2,071 (+14%)	2mo	$425,000	$205	67
3636 Basal St	0.59mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,711 (-6%)	0mo	$328,800	$192	58
3695 Basal St	0.71mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,634 (-10%)	1mo	$309,770	$190	44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.12% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -27.3%
• Equity multiple: 0.10×
• Total profit: $-77,946
• Equity at exit: $45,960

10-year hold

• IRR: -33.6%
• Equity multiple: -0.33×
• Total profit: $-114,820
• Equity at exit: $26,651

Cash invested: $86,307 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

• For sale now: 89 active · 72 under contract
• Months of supply: 10.7 mo (9%/mo absorbed)
• Median asking: $314,990 ($176/sqft)
• Median days on market: 47 d
• This list price: 38% of active listings are priced below it
• ARV vs active asking: -3.4% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 32404

• Home prices YoY: -16.1%
• Rents YoY: 1.1%
• Active inventory: 1544
• Price-to-rent: 10.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,221 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,616
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$385 /mo · $4,624/yr
• Insurance: −$128
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$466
• Net cashflow: $-375

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,696

Max offer price $253,925

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-162	-5% $-269	+0% $-375	+5% $-482	+10% $-588
Rent	-10% $-551	-5% $-463	+0% $-375	+5% $-288	+10% $-200
Rate	-1.0pp $-220	-0.5pp $-297	base $-375	+0.5pp $-455	+1.0pp $-536

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $77,060
• Closing costs: $9,247
• Club membership (one-time): —
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 18 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
3205 Caitlin St Panama City, FL	4.0	2.0	2439	$2,550	$1.05	2d	1	0.25mi
3884 Red Deer Cir Panama City, FL	4.0	2.0	1972	$2,200	$1.12	162d	1	0.61mi
3525 T St Panama City, FL	3.0	2.0	1250	$1,600	$1.28	162d	1	0.78mi
4415 Conifer Ln Panama City, FL	4.0	2.0	1743	$2,200	$1.26	28d	1	0.86mi
2601 Avondale Ct Panama City, FL	3.0	2.5	1371	$1,700	$1.24	154d	1	0.93mi
2699 Largo Ave Panama City, FL	3.0	2.0	1251	$1,900	$1.52	51d	1	0.93mi
3733 Avon Rd Panama City, FL	3.0	2.0	1251	$1,900	$1.52	162d	1	0.94mi
3513 Mill Point Cv Callaway, FL	4.0	2.0	1450	$1,900	$1.31	10d	1	0.96mi
3516 Mill Point Cv Panama City, FL	3.0	2.0	1320	$1,850	$1.40	10d	1	0.97mi
2607 Willow Brook Dr Panama City, FL	3.0	2.5	1371	$1,750	$1.28	28d	1	1.01mi
2607 Willow Brook Dr Panama City, FL	3.0	2.5	1371	$1,695	$1.24	7d	1	1.01mi
4417 Bylsma Cir Panama City, FL	4.0	3.0	2276	$2,600	$1.14	10d	1	1.23mi
4007 Pioneer Ln Panama City, FL	4.0	2.0	1788	$2,200	$1.23	10d	1	1.25mi
4012 Millicent Ln Panama City, FL	4.0	2.0	1787	$1,950	$1.09	162d	1	1.26mi
4113 Brighton Blvd Panama City, FL	4.0	2.0	1787	$2,100	$1.18	10d	1	1.30mi
3545 Brentwood Pl Panama City, FL	3.0	2.0	1617	$2,200	$1.36	162d	1	1.31mi
4501 Bylsma Cir Panama City, FL	3.0	2.0	2073	$2,300	$1.11	51d	1	1.33mi
3326 Ten Acre Rd Panama City, FL	3.0	2.0	1371	$1,800	$1.31	51d	1	1.37mi

Listing history 50 events

1. 2026-11-08
   days on market $289,990 Active 265 DOM
2. 2026-11-07
   days on market $289,990 Active 264 DOM
3. 2026-11-06
   days on market $289,990 Active 263 DOM
4. 2026-11-05
   days on market $289,990 Active 262 DOM
5. 2026-11-04
   days on market $289,990 Active 261 DOM
6. 2026-11-02
   days on market $289,990 Active 259 DOM
7. 2026-11-01
   days on market $289,990 Active 258 DOM
8. 2026-10-31
   days on market $289,990 Active 257 DOM
9. 2026-10-30
   days on market $289,990 Active 256 DOM
10. 2026-10-29
    days on market $289,990 Active 255 DOM
11. 2026-10-28
    days on market $289,990 Active 254 DOM
12. 2026-10-27
    days on market $289,990 Active 253 DOM
13. 2026-10-26
    days on market $289,990 Active 252 DOM
14. 2026-10-25
    days on market $289,990 Active 251 DOM
15. 2026-10-24
    days on market $289,990 Active 250 DOM
16. 2026-10-23
    days on market $289,990 Active 249 DOM
17. 2026-10-22
    days on market $289,990 Active 248 DOM
18. 2026-10-21
    days on market $289,990 Active 247 DOM
19. 2026-10-20
    days on market $289,990 Active 246 DOM
20. 2026-10-19
    days on market $289,990 Active 245 DOM
21. 2026-10-18
    days on market $289,990 Active 244 DOM
22. 2026-10-17
    days on market $289,990 Active 243 DOM
23. 2026-10-16
    days on market $289,990 Active 242 DOM
24. 2026-10-15
    days on market $289,990 Active 241 DOM
25. 2026-10-14
    days on market $289,990 Active 240 DOM
26. 2026-10-13
    days on market $289,990 Active 239 DOM
27. 2026-10-12
    days on market $289,990 Active 238 DOM
28. 2026-10-11
    days on market $289,990 Active 237 DOM
29. 2026-10-10
    days on market $289,990 Active 236 DOM
30. 2026-10-09
    days on market $289,990 Active 235 DOM
31. 2026-10-09
    days on market $289,990 Active 234 DOM
32. 2026-10-07
    days on market $289,990 Active 233 DOM
33. 2026-10-06
    days on market $289,990 Active 232 DOM
34. 2026-10-05
    days on market $289,990 Active 231 DOM
35. 2026-10-04
    days on market $289,990 Active 230 DOM
36. 2026-10-04
    days on market $289,990 Active 229 DOM
37. 2026-10-02
    days on market $289,990 Active 228 DOM
38. 2026-10-01
    days on market $289,990 Active 227 DOM
39. 2026-09-30
    days on market $289,990 Active 226 DOM
40. 2026-09-29
    days on market $289,990 Active 225 DOM
41. 2026-09-28
    days on market $289,990 Active 224 DOM
42. 2026-09-27
    days on market $289,990 Active 223 DOM
43. 2026-09-26
    days on market $289,990 Active 222 DOM
44. 2026-09-25
    days on market $289,990 Active 221 DOM
45. 2026-09-24
    days on market $289,990 Active 220 DOM
46. 2026-09-24
    days on market $289,990 Active 219 DOM
47. 2026-09-22
    days on market $289,990 Active 218 DOM
48. 2026-09-20
    days on market $289,990 Active 216 DOM
49. 2026-09-19
    days on market $289,990 Active 215 DOM
50. 2026-09-18
    days on market $289,990 Active 214 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $26,655
• − Mortgage interest: −$17,266
• − Property taxes: −$4,624
• − Insurance: −$1,541
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,132
• − Management: −$2,132
• − Depreciation: −$8,967
• Taxable loss: −$10,007
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$2,402
• After-tax cash flow: $-2,103/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Excellent 100/100 None rehab

This new single-family home in the Majors Collection at Magnolia Ridge in Panama City Beach, FL, is move-in ready with no visible signs of wear or damage. It offers a prime location with access to the Gulf and local amenities.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 30/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Cedar Grove Elementary School F FL #2,115/2,144 Nat'l #34,815/41,679 Middle Merritt Brown Middle School F FL #388/571 Nat'l #6,571/14,009 High Bay High School F FL #367/667 Nat'l #9,497/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Bay
• NCES district ID: 1200090
• Math proficiency: 51% ▼ -8.00%
• Reading proficiency: 51% ▼ -7.00%
• Median HH income: $47,740
• Composite: 43.41/100
• National rank: #3014
• State rank: #29 of 73 in FL

B Composite livability gradescore 72/100

Livability — Panama City

• Score: 72/100
• State rank: #350
• US rank: #5823

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Bay County · 206,264 people
• City population: 91,445
• Metro: Panama City, FL
• Population (ZIP): 42,514
• Household income: $74,708
• Rent vs Own: 30.8% rent · 69.2% own
• Severe rent burden: 10% of renters

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Population outlook (Bay County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 206,264 people
• By 2030: 217,740 · +5.6%
• By 2040: 238,738 · +15.7%
• By 2050: 255,545 · +23.9%
• By 2075: 288,295 · +39.8%
• By 2100: 288,638 · +39.9%

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Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (69%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 69% Black 12% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
• Languages at home: 90% English-only · Spanish 6% Vietnamese 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

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Political lean MEDSL · Bay

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+47.4) · D 25.8% · R 73.1% · Other 1.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: -6.6pp toward R · 2008: -40.7pp · 2024: -47.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+47.4 2020: R+43.5 2016: R+46.3 2012: R+43.6 2008: R+40.7

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -50.59%
• Current HPI: 263.7178
• Rent YoY: ▲ 1.12%
• Metro: Panama City, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

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Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

+1.7% since first listed

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-02-18 Price Changed $304,990 Zillow
• 2026-02-16 Listed $299,990 Zillow