35804 Brisa Dr · Zephyrhills West, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.5/10.0
- ARV discount +8.2/15.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.9/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to Casa Del Sol, a desirable 55+ community where you own your land—no lot rent! This well-maintained home offers a spacious and inviting layout, starting with a large living room that flows seamlessly into the dining area, kitchen, and cozy family room/den perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen is designed with functionality in mind, featuring abundant cabinetry, a center island with breakfast bar, and a convenient prep sink. Tucked away at the rear of the home, the primary suite offers privacy and comfort with a walk-in closet and an en-suite bath complete with a shower, linen storage, and additional cabinetry. The second bedroom also includes a walk-in clo
Key facts
- Prep sink
- Large living room
- Cozy family room
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Homestead exempt; Lot approximately 0.1 acre (50 x 90)
- Financial info: Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community: Association required (monthly fee $42.50 / annual $510); Association amenities include clubhouse, recreation facilities, shuffleboard court; Buyer approval required for association; Association recreation owned; Clubhouse and street lights in community; Senior community; No pets allowed
Exterior
- Parking: Covered parking; 1-car carport
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; High-speed internet available; Electricity connected
- Home design: Manufactured home (double wide); Barrington model; Single-story; Faces northeast; Crawlspace foundation
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Membrane roof; Workshop on property; Built as manufactured home
- Exterior features: Awning(s); Rain gutters; Paved lot in county
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Built-in features; Ceiling fans; Kitchen/family room combo; Formal dining; Vaulted ceilings; Walk-in closets; Blinds on windows
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Interior laundry with electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $139k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $713 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $139k).
- Recommended offer: $135k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.5% vs local median 7.8% in Zephyrhills West — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#772 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Pasco (suburban): math 50% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 73 in FL (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.5%/yr); 856 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,765 units permitted in Pasco County in 2024 (1,250 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $961 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pasco County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($135k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $70k; list at $139k implies a 99% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.45% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.00%
- DSCR
- 1.98
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $141,120
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35811 Pradera Dr | 0.07mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,539 (+14%) | 2mo | $138,100 | $90 | 66 |
| 35429 Chambers Dr | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,260 (-6%) | 15mo | $253,000 | $201 | 55 |
| 35444 Darlene Dr | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,464 (+9%) | 5mo | $136,000 | $93 | 52 |
| 5245 Seville Dr | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,374 (+2%) | 13mo | $144,900 | $105 | 52 |
| 36052 Aster Ave | 0.68mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,290 (-4%) | 15mo | $160,000 | $124 | 44 |
| 35148 Ada Ave | 0.65mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,152 (-14%) | 2mo | $89,900 | $78 | 40 |
| 36408 Teakwood Ave | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (-14%) | 14mo | $190,000 | $165 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.44×
- Total profit
- $16,984
- Equity at exit
- $20,725
- IRR
- 18.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.29×
- Total profit
- $50,370
- Equity at exit
- $12,018
Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33541
- Home prices YoY
- -15.2%
- Rents YoY
- -2.5%
- Active inventory
- 856
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,018 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$729
- Tax from tax record
- −$52 /mo · $624/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$42
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$424
- Net cashflow
- $713
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,750
- Closing costs
- $4,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35940 Inspiration Dr Zephyrhills, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1034 | $1,988 | $1.92 | 2d | 21 | 0.44mi |
| 4111 Ryals Rd Zephyrhills, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1216 | $2,195 | $1.81 | 4d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 36618 Goffaux Loop Zephyrhills, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1846 | $2,115 | $1.15 | 18d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 5686 Barakat Rd Zephyrhills, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1867 | $2,250 | $1.21 | 15d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 5686 Barakat Rd Zephyrhills, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1828 | $2,300 | $1.26 | 24d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 5019 Coopers Hawk Pl Zephyrhills, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1456 | $1,699 | $1.17 | 10d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 34873 Robins Song Rd Zephyrhills, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1575 | $1,749 | $1.11 | 2d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 34747 Double Eagle Ct Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1308 | $1,650 | $1.26 | 18d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 34652 Blue Starling St Zephyrhills, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1352 | $1,650 | $1.22 | 5d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 34796 Robins Song Rd Zephyrhills, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1575 | $1,799 | $1.14 | 20d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 36106 Lake Chase Blvd #102 Zephyrhills, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1170 | $1,650 | $1.41 | 5d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 36106 Lake Chase Blvd Zephyrhills, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1325 | $1,700 | $1.28 | 24d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 36009 Deer Creek Dr #104 Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1029 | $1,450 | $1.41 | 24d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 36015 Deer Creek Dr #202 Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1062 | $1,450 | $1.37 | 24d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 36232 Lanier Oaks Pt , FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1325 | $1,700 | $1.28 | 24d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 34916 Mulrion Dr Zephyrhills, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1516 | $2,100 | $1.39 | 24d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 5914 Willow Ridge Dr #101 Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 987 | $1,500 | $1.52 | 24d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 34325 Smart Dr Zephyrhills, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1505 | $2,065 | $1.37 | 4d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 36243 Lake Chase Blvd #203 Zephyrhills, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1278 | $1,775 | $1.39 | 24d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 36321 Stonewood Ln #103 Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 987 | $1,525 | $1.55 | 24d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 35138 Meadow Reach Dr Zephyrhills, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1573 | $2,500 | $1.59 | 24d | 1 | 1.42mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $42 · $504/yr
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $139,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $139,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $139,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $139,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $139,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $139,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $139,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $139,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $139,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $139,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $139,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $139,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $139,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-12$139,000 Active
-
2026-04-30historical
-
2026-03-17price $139,000
-
2025-11-05status Active
-
2025-10-22historical
-
2025-08-18price $145,000
-
2025-05-23$155,000 Active
-
2008-04-24soldstatus $70,000
-
2001-05-29soldstatus $51,000
-
1984-02-01soldstatus $10,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $624 · $52/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,154 · $96/mo
- Expected delta
- +$529/yr (+$44/mo · 84.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,218
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,786
- − Property taxes
- −$624
- − Insurance
- −$695
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,937
- − Management
- −$1,937
- − HOA
- −$504
- − Depreciation
- −$4,044
- Taxable income
- $6,690
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,606
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,956/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pasco
- NCES district ID
- 1201530
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,039
- Composite
- 43.14/100
- National rank
- #3074
- State rank
- #32 of 73 in FL
Livability — Zephyrhills West
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #772
- US rank
- #17403
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Zephyrhills West, FL
- County
- Pasco County · 524,098 people
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,654
- Household income
- $56,579
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 393.0
Population outlook (Pasco County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 570,045 people
- By 2030
- 605,844 · +6.3%
- By 2040
- 674,806 · +18.4%
- By 2050
- 736,022 · +29.1%
- By 2075
- 862,900 · +51.4%
- By 2100
- 906,364 · +59.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 8% Black 5% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3% Serbian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 9% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pasco
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.2) · D 36.9% · R 62.1% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -25.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.2 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+3.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -55.21%
- Current HPI
- 308.0619
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.51%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+1290.0% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listed $139,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-30 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-17 Price Changed $139,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-05 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-22 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-18 Price Changed $145,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-23 Listed $155,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-04-24 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
- 2001-05-29 Sold (Public Records) $51,000 Public Records
- 1984-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.1%/yrLatest (2025): $624 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…