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30200 Southfield Rd #204
B- Composite 67.29
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.7/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +7.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$105,999

30200 Southfield Rd #204 · Southfield, MI 48076
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 979 sqft · Condo · 9 Days on market
Built 1966 $108/sqft · 12% below area Est $120k · 12% under $315/mo HOA · 20% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this move-in ready 2-bedroom, 2-bath condo ideally located in the heart of Southfield, right on the border of Beverly Hills and just minutes from downtown Birmingham, major expressways, shopping, and dining. This second-floor ranch-style unit offers comfortable single-level living with no upstairs neighbors and a layout that maximizes both space and functionality. The updated kitchen features granite countertops, a tile backsplash, and newer stainless steel appliances, making it both stylish and practical for everyday living or rental use. The condo is vacant and ready for immediate occupancy, making it a great option for both owner-occupants and investors. Enjoy the convenience

Key facts

  • $315 HOA
  • Built 1966
  • Listed 9 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property occupies part of a larger condominium subdivision; Acreage listed for the parcel: 12.37 acres
  • HOA & community: Balmoral Condominium Association; Association fee $315 per month; Association phone available

Exterior

  • Parking: Covered parking
  • Utilities: Natural gas heat/fuel; Forced air heating system; Public water; Public sanitary sewer
  • Home design: Condominium; Condo/Apartment on 2nd floor or above; Unit/Building number 204; Built in 1966; Facing/entry level: Entry
  • Construction: Basement foundation
  • Exterior features: Brick exterior

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen (Entry): approximately 9 x 9
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom 1 (Entry): 17 x 12, wood flooring; Bedroom 2 (Entry): 12 x 10, wood flooring
  • Flooring: Wood flooring in living room, dining room, and bedrooms; Ceramic flooring in bathrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Bathroom 1 (Entry): ceramic floor, approx. 5 x 7; Bathroom 2 (Entry): ceramic floor, approx. 6 x 9
  • Interior features: 7 total rooms; Basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $106k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $217 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $106k).
  • Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 4.6% in Southfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#248 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Southfield Public School District (urban): math 17% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #392 of 540 in MI (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Vandenberg Elementary School (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,035 of 1,397 statewide, top 77%, 306 students, 69% FRL) — zoned schools average 69% FRL vs 52% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 96 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $733 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.8% rent growth), your $30k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 14 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $16k; list at $106k implies a 571% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $105,999

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.51%
Cap rate
8.75%
Cash-on-cash
8.78%
DSCR
1.39
GRM
5.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$119,833
List price
$105,999
Delta
-8.21%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.84% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.1%
Equity multiple
1.00×
Total profit
$-102
Equity at exit
$15,805
10-year hold
IRR
12.0%
Equity multiple
2.06×
Total profit
$31,474
Equity at exit
$9,165

Cash invested: $29,680 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48076

Rents YoY
4.8%
Active inventory
96
Price-to-rent
5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,601 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$556
Tax est. 1.5%
$132 /mo · $1,590/yr
Insurance
$44
HOA
$315
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$336
Net cashflow
$217

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,326
Max offer price $105,999
Occupancy floor 81%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $291 -5% $254 +0% $217 +5% $181 +10% $144
Rent -10% $91 -5% $154 +0% $217 +5% $281 +10% $344
Rate -1.0pp $271 -0.5pp $244 base $217 +0.5pp $190 +1.0pp $162

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,500
Closing costs
$3,180
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 23 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
30276 Southfield Rd Unit 215 Southfield, MI 2.0 2.0 956 $1,399 $1.46 22d 1 0.01mi
30268 Southfield Rd #230 Southfield, MI 2.0 2.0 956 $1,450 $1.52 46d 1 0.05mi
30300 Southfield Rd Southfield, MI 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1450 $1,798 $1.24 1d 1 0.18mi
18333 South Dr Southfield, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1044 $1,975 $1.89 1d 5 0.21mi
18335 W 13 Mile Rd Southfield, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 925 $1,864 $2.02 1d 8 0.32mi
18248 W 12 Mile Rd Southfield, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 902 $2,254 $2.50 0d 1 0.60mi
29890 Everett St Southfield, MI 3.0 1.5 1100 $2,200 $2.00 46d 1 0.76mi
3214 Greenfield Rd Royal Oak, MI 1.0 1.0 800 $1,025 $1.28 26d 1 0.97mi
3210 Greenfield Rd Unit 3214-8 Royal Oak, MI 1.0 1.0 800 $1,025 $1.28 26d 1 0.98mi
3210 Greenfield Rd Unit 3210-8 Royal Oak, MI 1.0 1.0 800 $1,025 $1.28 20d 1 0.98mi
4314 Albert Ave Royal Oak, MI 1.0 1.0 650 $960 $1.48 26d 1 1.01mi
3644 Greenfield Rd Unit 3664 Greenfield Berkley, MI 2.0 1.5 950 $1,700 $1.79 20d 1 1.09mi
4312 13 Mile Rd Royal Oak, MI 1.0 1.0 800 $1,400 $1.75 26d 1 1.10mi
4312-4316 13 Mile and 3415 Fairmont Royal Oak, MI 1.0 1.0 525 $1,100 $2.10 7d 2 1.10mi
4302 W 13 Mile Rd Royal Oak, MI 1.0 1.0 600 $1,095 $1.82 26d 1 1.11mi
4120 W 13 Mile Rd Royal Oak, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 775 $1,300 $1.68 1d 4 1.18mi
4030 W 13 Mile Rd Unit J2 Royal Oak, MI 2.0 1.0 724 $1,450 $2.00 20d 1 1.30mi
4030 W 13 Mile Rd Unit J2 Royal Oak, MI 2.0 1.0 724 $1,600 $2.21 26d 1 1.30mi
4030 W 13 Mile Rd Unit J2 Royal Oak, MI 2.0 1.0 724 $1,450 $2.00 22d 1 1.30mi
4000 W 13 Mile Rd Royal Oak, MI 2.0 1.0 780 $1,444 $1.85 4d 3 1.34mi
28124 Brentwood St Southfield, MI 3.0 1.0 1056 $1,800 $1.70 26d 1 1.38mi
1948 Henrietta St Birmingham, MI 3.0 1.0 1057 $2,500 $2.37 26d 1 1.42mi
3936 Royal Ave Berkley, MI 3.0 2.0 900 $2,000 $2.22 46d 1 1.43mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$315 · $3,780/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 39 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $105,999 Active 9 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $105,999 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $105,999 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $105,999 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $105,999 Active 3 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on marketlisting id $105,999 Active 1 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $110,000 Active 136 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $110,000 Active 135 DOM
  9. 2026-04-21
    price $110,000 1346-char remark
  10. 2026-04-21
    price $110,000 1352-char remark
  11. 2026-03-26
    price $115,000 1346-char remark
  12. 2026-03-25
    price $115,000 1352-char remark
  13. 2026-03-04
    price $120,000 1346-char remark
  14. 2026-03-04
    price $120,000 1352-char remark
  15. 2026-01-17
    listed $125,000 Active 1346-char remark
  16. 2026-01-17
    listed $125,000 Active 1352-char remark
  17. 2026-01-15
    historical $125,000 1346-char remark
  18. 2025-11-06
    historical
  19. 2025-11-06
    historical
  20. 2025-08-29
    status Active
  21. 2025-08-29
    status Active
  22. 2025-07-06
    status Pending
  23. 2025-07-06
    status Pending
  24. 2025-03-04
    status Active
  25. 2025-03-04
    status Active
  26. 2025-03-03
    historical
  27. 2025-03-03
    historical
  28. 2025-03-02
    listed $129,000 Active
  29. 2025-03-02
    listed $129,000 Active
  30. 2010-03-07
    soldstatus $15,800
  31. 2009-12-29
    listed $19,900
  32. 2006-10-18
    historical
  33. 2006-08-27
    listed $88,000
  34. 2006-08-04
    historical
  35. 2006-05-04
    listed $95,000
  36. 2006-05-04
    historical
  37. 2006-02-28
    listed $98,000
  38. 2000-09-01
    soldstatus $84,900
  39. 2000-08-10
    listed $83,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,212
− Mortgage interest
−$5,938
− Property taxes
−$1,590
− Insurance
−$530
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,537
− Management
−$1,537
− HOA
−$3,780
− Depreciation
−$3,084
Taxable income
$1,217
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$292
After-tax cash flow
$2,315/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Southfield Public School District
NCES district ID
2632310
Math proficiency
17% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$51,400
Composite
23.77/100
National rank
#7814
State rank
#392 of 540 in MI

Livability — Southfield

Score
72/100
State rank
#248
US rank
#6175

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Southfield, MI
County
Oakland County · 1,009,092 people
City population
54,914
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
25,405
Household income
$90,058
Rent vs Own
26.4% rent · 73.6% own
Severe rent burden
607.0

Population outlook (Oakland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,335,747 people
By 2030
1,375,100 · +2.9%
By 2040
1,435,385 · +7.5%
By 2050
1,469,250 · +10.0%
By 2075
1,531,946 · +14.7%
By 2100
1,450,485 · +8.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
Black 57% White 32% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Slovak 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 3% Arabic 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Oakland

2024 margin
D (+10.6) · D 54.4% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-3.9pp toward R · 2008: 14.5pp · 2024: 10.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.6 2020: D+14.1 2016: D+8.1 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+14.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -192.13%
Current HPI
229.2304
Rent YoY
▲ 4.84%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+26.3% since first listed
35 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Listed $105,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-09 Coming Soon $105,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-01 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-01 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-21 Price Changed $110,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-21 Price Changed $110,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-26 Price Changed $115,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-25 Price Changed $115,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-04 Price Changed $120,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-04 Price Changed $120,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-17 Listed $125,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-17 Listed $125,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-15 Coming Soon MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-11-06 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-11-06 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-08-29 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-08-29 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2025-07-06 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-07-06 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2025-03-04 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-03-04 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2025-03-03 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-03-03 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-03-02 Listed $129,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-03-02 Listed $129,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2010-03-07 Sold (MLS) $15,800 REALCOMP
  • 2009-12-29 Listed $19,900 REALCOMP
  • 2006-10-18 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2006-08-27 Listed $88,000 REALCOMP
  • 2006-08-04 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2006-05-04 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2006-05-04 Listed $95,000 REALCOMP
  • 2006-02-28 Listed $98,000 REALCOMP
  • 2000-09-01 Sold (MLS) $84,900 REALCOMP
  • 2000-08-10 Listed $83,900 REALCOMP

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…