419 N Bellevue Ave · Hastings, NE
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,161 – $2,155
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.6/30.0
- ARV discount +6.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Fully remodeled and move-in ready, this 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath home offers a functional layout with plenty of space to fit your needs. The main floor features a comfortable living room, dining area, updated kitchen, convenient laundry room, two bedrooms, and 1.5 bathrooms, along with additional storage space. Upstairs, you’ll find two more bedrooms and a full bathroom, providing a great setup for family or guests. The unfinished basement houses utilities and offers extra storage potential. A 1-car attached garage adds everyday convenience. This well-maintained home combines modern updates with practical living space—schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- Garage
- Built 1905
- Listed 67 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $121 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $175k (12.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $175k (12.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 4.3% in Hastings — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#41 in NE, #2,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities D-, commute F.
- Hastings Public Schools (town): math 38% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #96 of 111 in NE (top 86%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Hastings Middle School (math 39% / reading 42%, grade F, #82 of 128 statewide, top 65%, 780 students, 52% FRL); Hastings Senior High School (math 36% / reading 45%, grade F, #181 of 261 statewide, top 69%, 1,067 students, 52% FRL) — zoned schools at 52% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 194 active listings in the ZIP; 217 units permitted in Adams County in 2024 (132 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 68 days — a 6% lower offer ($188k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $26k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $65k; list at $200k implies a 207% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 68 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.60%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $193,080
- List price
- $199,500
- Delta
- 3.32%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 313 Jefferson Ave | 0.49mi | 4/2.0 | 1,922 (+5%) | 3mo | $230,000 | $120 | 67 |
| 410 S Chicago Ave | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,834 (-0%) | 2mo | $172,500 | $94 | 64 |
| 1810 W 8th St | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,872 (+2%) | 1mo | $215,000 | $115 | 60 |
| 809 N Burlington Ave | 0.33mi | 4/2.0 | 2,034 (+11%) | 10mo | $165,000 | $81 | 58 |
| 1405 W 6th St | 0.28mi | 4/2.0 | 2,106 (+15%) | 5mo | $244,000 | $116 | 58 |
| 803 N Briggs Ave | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,980 (+8%) | 12mo | $218,000 | $110 | 57 |
| 410 Garfield Ave | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,872 (+2%) | 11mo | $160,000 | $85 | 57 |
| 1014 N Briggs Ave | 0.51mi | 4/2.0 | 2,101 (+14%) | 3mo | $210,000 | $100 | 50 |
| 1124 Williams Ave | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,688 (-8%) | 1mo | $180,000 | $107 | 48 |
| 728 N Colorado Ave | 0.61mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 1,931 (+5%) | 13mo | $243,800 | $126 | 44 |
| 1734 W 2nd St | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,632 (-11%) | 8mo | $59,000 | $36 | 43 |
| 415 W 9th St | 0.58mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,988 (+8%) | 9mo | $115,000 | $58 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.56×
- Total profit
- $-24,678
- Equity at exit
- $29,746
- IRR
- -3.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.79×
- Total profit
- $-11,767
- Equity at exit
- $17,249
Cash invested: $55,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Nebraska
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 68901
- Active inventory
- 194
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,749 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,046
- Tax from tax record
- −$132 /mo · $1,581/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$367
- Net cashflow
- $121
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $234 | -5% $177 | +0% $121 | +5% $64 | +10% $8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-17 | -5% $52 | +0% $121 | +5% $190 | +10% $259 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $221 | -0.5pp $172 | base $121 | +0.5pp $69 | +1.0pp $17 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,875
- Closing costs
- $5,985
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $199,500 Active 68 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $199,500 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $199,500 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $199,500 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $199,500 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $199,500 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $199,500 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $199,500 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $199,500 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $199,500 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $199,500 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $199,500 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $199,500 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-04pricedays on market $199,500 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $215,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $215,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $215,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-05-07price $215,000 661-char remark
Show marketing remark (661 chars)
Fully remodeled and move-in ready, this 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath home offers a functional layout with plenty of space to fit your needs. The main floor features a comfortable living room, dining area, updated kitchen, convenient laundry room, two bedrooms, and 1.5 bathrooms, along with additional storage space. Upstairs, you’ll find two more bedrooms and a full bathroom, providing a great setup for family or guests. The unfinished basement houses utilities and offers extra storage potential. A 1-car attached garage adds everyday convenience. This well-maintained home combines modern updates with practical living space—schedule your showing today!
-
2026-04-13$225,000 Active 661-char remark
Show marketing remark (661 chars)
Fully remodeled and move-in ready, this 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath home offers a functional layout with plenty of space to fit your needs. The main floor features a comfortable living room, dining area, updated kitchen, convenient laundry room, two bedrooms, and 1.5 bathrooms, along with additional storage space. Upstairs, you’ll find two more bedrooms and a full bathroom, providing a great setup for family or guests. The unfinished basement houses utilities and offers extra storage potential. A 1-car attached garage adds everyday convenience. This well-maintained home combines modern updates with practical living space—schedule your showing today!
-
2026-03-16price $240,000
-
2024-09-30soldstatus $65,000
-
2024-09-13soldstatus $65,000 Closed
-
2024-08-12status Pending
-
2024-08-01$75,000 Active
-
2008-12-16soldstatus $53,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,581 · $132/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,451 · $288/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,870/yr (+$156/mo · 118.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,991
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,175
- − Property taxes
- −$1,581
- − Insurance
- −$998
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,679
- − Management
- −$1,679
- − Depreciation
- −$5,804
- Taxable loss
- −$1,925
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$462
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,912/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hastings Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3171580
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,942
- Composite
- 33.81/100
- National rank
- #5363
- State rank
- #96 of 111 in NE
Livability — Hastings
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #41
- US rank
- #2188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hastings, NE
- City population
- 26,208
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,208
Population outlook (Adams County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 31,965 people
- By 2030
- 32,079 · +0.4%
- By 2040
- 31,999 · +0.1%
- By 2050
- 31,586 · -1.2%
- By 2075
- 30,856 · -3.5%
- By 2100
- 29,948 · -6.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 8% Black 1% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 9% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Adams
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+41.6) · D 28.5% · R 70.2% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.6pp toward R · 2008: -27.0pp · 2024: -41.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+41.6 2020: R+40.1 2016: R+45.0 2012: R+34.1 2008: R+27.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -255.77%
- Current HPI
- 232.0444
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 0.68%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Conglomerate | 1 | $371B |
|
||
Price history
+305.7% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $215,000 GMNMLS
- 2026-04-13 Listed $225,000 GMNMLS
- 2026-03-16 Price Changed $240,000 GIBOR
- 2024-09-30 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 2024-09-13 Sold (MLS) $65,000 GMNMLS
- 2024-08-12 Pending — GMNMLS
- 2024-08-01 Listed $75,000 GMNMLS
- 2008-12-16 Sold (Public Records) $53,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,581 · -9.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…