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2434 Mackin Rd
D Composite 42.3
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$8,500

2434 Mackin Rd · Flint, MI 48504
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,192 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 32 Days on market
Built 1927 5,227 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

A property with great potential, ready for renovation or updates to bring it to its full value. Ideal for investors or buyers looking to customize a home to their taste. Homes must be complete with remodeling within twelve months.

Key facts

  • 5,227 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1927

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Ground-level entry with steps
  • Construction: Wood siding exterior; Block foundation; Above-grade finished area approximately 832
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot roughly 50 x 100.68 (about 0.12 acres)

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Total of 2 rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $8k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $757 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $8k).
  • Recommended offer: $8k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 113.1% vs local median 11.5% in Flint — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Holmes Stem Middle School Academy (math 10% / reading 30%, grade F, #420 of 493 statewide, top 86%, 324 students, 90% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 135 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $59 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $255 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $2k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($8k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 28y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $4k; list at $8k implies a 112% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $8,245 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
12.14%
Cap rate
113.11%
Cash-on-cash
381.50%
DSCR
17.97
GRM
0.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$47,680
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2525 Begole St 0.24mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,134 (-5%) 6mo $24,000 $21 69
2714 Barth St 0.20mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,092 (-8%) 7mo $40,000 $37 62
2551 Altoona St 0.66mi 2/1.0 1,114 (-6%) 0mo $45,000 $40 58
2606 Stevenson St 0.15mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,016 (-15%) 7mo $60,000 $59 57
1702 Stevenson St 0.54mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,120 (-6%) 5mo $17,500 $16 56
1017 Perry St 0.68mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,181 (-1%) 5mo $110,000 $93 55
971 N Chevrolet Ave 0.62mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,122 (-6%) 4mo $79,900 $71 53
2038 Copeman Blvd 0.62mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,077 (-10%) 1mo $67,000 $62 50
2112 Winona St 0.61mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,292 (+8%) 1mo $30,000 $23 50
2713 Norbert St 0.62mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,076 (-10%) 7mo $36,000 $33 44
617 W Witherbee St 0.69mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,330 (+12%) 4mo $15,525 $12 40
2539 Norbert St 0.71mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,350 (+13%) 6mo $76,000 $56 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
20.68×
Total profit
$46,829
Equity at exit
$1,267
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
44.23×
Total profit
$102,894
Equity at exit
$735

Cash invested: $2,380 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48504

Active inventory
135
Price-to-rent
0.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,032 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$45
Tax est. 1.5%
$11 /mo · $128/yr
Insurance
$4
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$217
Net cashflow
$757

Break-even live

Break-even rent $74
Max offer price $8,500
Occupancy floor 22%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $763 -5% $760 +0% $757 +5% $754 +10% $751
Rent -10% $675 -5% $716 +0% $757 +5% $797 +10% $838
Rate -1.0pp $761 -0.5pp $759 base $757 +0.5pp $754 +1.0pp $752

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$2,125
Closing costs
$255
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2544 Tyrone St Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 1440 $825 $0.57 16d 1 0.61mi
2428 Norbert St Flint, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,250 $1.04 23d 1 0.71mi
1540 Garland St Flint, MI 3.0 2.5 1344 $1,017 $0.76 23d 1 0.93mi
314 Sheffield Ave Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 896 $1,250 $1.40 23d 1 1.10mi
3221 Burgess St Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 755 $875 $1.16 23d 1 1.19mi
711 W Dewey St Flint, MI 3.0 1.0 1011 $925 $0.91 23d 1 1.26mi

Listing history 35 events

  1. 2026-06-23
    days on market $8,500 Active 32 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $8,500 Active 31 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $8,500 Active 28 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $8,500 Active 27 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $8,500 Active 26 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $8,500 Active 25 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $8,500 Active 23 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $8,500 Active 22 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $8,500 Active 20 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $8,500 Active 19 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $8,500 Active 18 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $8,500 Active 17 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $8,500 Active 14 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $8,500 Active 13 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $8,500 Active 12 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $8,500 Active 11 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $8,500 Active 10 DOM
  18. 2026-05-20
    listed $8,500 Active 230-char remark
    Show marketing remark (230 chars)

    A property with great potential, ready for renovation or updates to bring it to its full value. Ideal for investors or buyers looking to customize a home to their taste. Homes must be complete with remodeling within twelve months.

  19. 2026-05-20
    listed $8,500 Active
    Show marketing remark (230 chars)

    A property with great potential, ready for renovation or updates to bring it to its full value. Ideal for investors or buyers looking to customize a home to their taste. Homes must be complete with remodeling within twelve months.

  20. 2010-05-18
    soldstatus $4,000 120-char remark
    Show marketing remark (120 chars)

    Sale To Be As-is, Proof Of Funds With Offers, Home Has Good Bones, Mechanicals And Entry Door Missing, Cash Only Offers.

  21. 2010-05-18
    soldstatus $4,000
    Show marketing remark (120 chars)

    Sale To Be As-is, Proof Of Funds With Offers, Home Has Good Bones, Mechanicals And Entry Door Missing, Cash Only Offers.

  22. 2010-04-30
    historical
    Show marketing remark (120 chars)

    Sale To Be As-is, Proof Of Funds With Offers, Home Has Good Bones, Mechanicals And Entry Door Missing, Cash Only Offers.

  23. 2010-03-22
    listed $4,900 120-char remark
    Show marketing remark (120 chars)

    Sale To Be As-is, Proof Of Funds With Offers, Home Has Good Bones, Mechanicals And Entry Door Missing, Cash Only Offers.

  24. 2010-03-22
    listed $4,900
    Show marketing remark (120 chars)

    Sale To Be As-is, Proof Of Funds With Offers, Home Has Good Bones, Mechanicals And Entry Door Missing, Cash Only Offers.

  25. 2005-04-20
    soldstatus $13,000
  26. 2005-04-20
    soldstatus $13,000
  27. 2005-04-01
    historical
  28. 2005-03-17
    listed $14,900
  29. 2005-03-17
    listed $14,900
  30. 2000-08-29
    soldstatus $60,000
  31. 1999-02-10
    soldstatus $30,000
  32. 1999-02-10
    soldstatus $30,000
  33. 1998-12-29
    historical
  34. 1998-05-12
    listed $32,500
  35. 1998-05-12
    listed $32,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,385
− Mortgage interest
−$476
− Property taxes
−$128
− Insurance
−$42
− Repairs & maintenance
−$991
− Management
−$991
− Depreciation
−$247
Taxable income
$9,510
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,282
After-tax cash flow
$6,797/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Flint School District
NCES district ID
2614520
Math proficiency
7% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
13% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$25,954
Composite
10.97/100
National rank
#14642
State rank
#714 of 760 in MI

Livability — Flint

Score
74/100
State rank
#196
US rank
#4946

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Flint, MI
City population
93,814
Population (ZIP)
23,873

Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
381,312 people
By 2030
362,731 · -4.9%
By 2040
321,550 · -15.7%
By 2050
279,212 · -26.8%
By 2075
193,336 · -49.3%
By 2100
128,118 · -66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (66%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 66% White 24% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Genesee

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -101.67%
Current HPI
94.3111
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-73.8% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-30 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-29 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $8,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $8,500 REALCOMP
  • 2010-05-18 Sold (MLS) $4,000 REALCOMP
  • 2010-05-18 Sold (MLS) $4,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2010-04-30 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2010-03-22 Listed $4,900 REALCOMP
  • 2010-03-22 Listed $4,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2005-04-20 Sold (MLS) $13,000 REALCOMP
  • 2005-04-20 Sold (MLS) $13,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2005-04-01 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2005-03-17 Listed $14,900 REALCOMP
  • 2005-03-17 Listed $14,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2000-08-29 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
  • 1999-02-10 Sold (MLS) $30,000 REALCOMP
  • 1999-02-10 Sold (MLS) $30,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1998-12-29 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1998-05-12 Listed $32,500 REALCOMP
  • 1998-05-12 Listed $32,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+4.6%/yr

Latest (2021): $833 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…