Raleigh Plan · Huntsville, AL 35811

$286,400

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,852 sqft · SingleFamily · 22 Days on market

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Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Cash flow +5.5/30.0
• Rent growth +4.2/5.0
• Livability +4.1/5.0
• Schools +3.7/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +1.4/10.0
• 1% rule +1.0/10.0
• DSCR +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

This new single-story home is perfect for various needs and lifestyles. Three secondary bedrooms boast a private location at the front of the home, near a spacious and flexible open-concept layout that blends the kitchen, living and dining areas to maximize interior space. The luxe owner's suite provides a serene retreat in a private rear corner, complete with a full bathroom and walk-in closet.

Key facts

• Luxe owner's suite
• Full bathroom
• Walk-in closet

Tags

• OPEN-CONCEPT LAYOUT
• PRIVATE LOCATION
• LUXE OWNER'S SUITE
• FULL BATHROOM
• WALK-IN CLOSET

🏗️ New construction. The $286,400 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $337,626.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $286k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-720 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $233k (18.5% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $204k (28.7% below list).
• Recommended offer: $204k (28.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 82/100 on livability (#3 in AL, #1,082 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
• Madison County (rural): math 27% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #19 of 129 in AL (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.8%/yr); 560 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($282k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $204,232 (28.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.60% ✗
• Cap rate: 3.73%
• Cash-on-cash: -9.14%
• DSCR: 0.59
• GRM: 13.8

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $337,626
• List price: $286,400
• Delta: -15.17%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
317 Pond Spring Dr	0.18mi	4/3.0	1,938 (+5%)	2mo	$315,400	$163	78
105 Cool Cir	0.17mi	4/3.0	1,938 (+5%)	9mo	$314,900	$162	73
109 Cool Cir	0.18mi	4/3.0	1,938 (+5%)	9mo	$314,725	$162	72
226 Hydra Cir	0.45mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,853 (+0%)	3mo	$305,000	$165	72
305 Pond Spring Dr	0.18mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,703 (-8%)	5mo	$285,650	$168	69
304 Pond Spring Dr	0.18mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,703 (-8%)	6mo	$265,000	$156	68
314 Pond Spring Dr	0.18mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,703 (-8%)	6mo	$286,990	$169	68
6102 Edwin Jones Dr	0.47mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,860 (+0%)	7mo	$300,000	$161	66
313 Pond Spring Dr	0.18mi	4/2.0	2,106 (+14%)	4mo	$312,032	$148	66
107 Cool Cir	0.18mi	4/2.0	2,106 (+14%)	8mo	$309,900	$147	62
102 Cool Cir	0.17mi	4/2.0	2,106 (+14%)	10mo	$310,000	$147	61
112 Meadow Run NE	0.58mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,958 (+6%)	5mo	$335,000	$171	54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.81% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -28.5%
• Equity multiple: 0.02×
• Total profit: $-92,396
• Equity at exit: $50,341

10-year hold

• IRR: -17.2%
• Equity multiple: -0.09×
• Total profit: $-103,284
• Equity at exit: $29,192

Cash invested: $94,535 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Alabama: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 35811

• Home prices YoY: -2.1%
• Rents YoY: 6.8%
• Active inventory: 560
• Price-to-rent: 11.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,042 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,771
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$422 /mo · $5,064/yr
• Insurance: −$141
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$429
• Net cashflow: $-720

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,953

Max offer price $233,466

Occupancy floor —

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $84,406
• Closing costs: $10,129
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 16 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
154 SOUTHERN Trl Huntsville, AL	4.0	2.0	2106	$2,070	$0.98	43d	1	0.16mi
186 Pennington Ave Huntsville, AL	3.0	2.5	2209	$2,100	$0.95	23d	1	0.32mi
120 Pomelo St Huntsville, AL	4.0	3.0	2583	$2,395	$0.93	43d	1	0.57mi
144 Oakcrest Rd Huntsville, AL	3.0	2.0	2153	$1,695	$0.79	21d	1	0.74mi
149 Wolfe Ln Huntsville, AL	3.0	3.0	1442	$2,000	$1.39	13d	1	1.05mi
147 Wolfe Ln Huntsville, AL	3.0	3.0	1442	$2,100	$1.46	13d	1	1.05mi
128 Somerset Park Dr Huntsville, AL	3.0	2.0	1570	$1,750	$1.11	23d	1	1.12mi
229 Paca Ln Huntsville, AL	3.0	2.0	1850	$1,950	$1.05	43d	1	1.14mi
244 Paca Ln Huntsville, AL	4.0	2.0	2106	$2,150	$1.02	23d	1	1.14mi
244 Paca Ln Huntsville, AL	4.0	2.0	2106	$2,150	$1.02	43d	1	1.14mi
119 Wind Rush Rd Huntsville, AL	3.0	2.0	1690	$1,875	$1.11	43d	1	1.15mi
150 LILLIAN FARMS Blvd Huntsville, AL	3.0	2.0	1703	$1,900	$1.12	23d	1	1.16mi
153 LILLIAN FARMS Blvd Huntsville, AL	3.0	2.0	1703	$1,900	$1.12	23d	1	1.16mi
313 Mchenry DR Huntsville, AL	4.0	3.0	1938	$1,970	$1.02	43d	1	1.21mi
6107 Trailwood Dr Huntsville, AL	3.0	2.0	1879	$1,650	$0.88	23d	1	1.24mi
6111 Homestead Rd Huntsville, AL	4.0	2.0	1640	$2,500	$1.52	43d	1	1.42mi

Listing history 17 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $286,400 Active 22 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $286,400 Active 21 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $286,400 Active 20 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $286,400 Active 19 DOM
5. 2026-06-14
   days on market $286,400 Active 17 DOM
6. 2026-06-10
   days on market $286,400 Active 14 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $286,400 Active 13 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $286,400 Active 12 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $286,400 Active 11 DOM
10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $286,400 Active 6 DOM
11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $286,400 Active 5 DOM
12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $286,400 Active 4 DOM
13. 2026-05-30
    days on market $286,400 Active 3 DOM
14. 2026-05-02
    price $284,150 398-char remark

    Show marketing remark (398 chars)

    This new single-story home is perfect for various needs and lifestyles. Three secondary bedrooms boast a private location at the front of the home, near a spacious and flexible open-concept layout that blends the kitchen, living and dining areas to maximize interior space. The luxe owner's suite provides a serene retreat in a private rear corner, complete with a full bathroom and walk-in closet.

15. 2026-04-24
    price $279,150 398-char remark

    Show marketing remark (398 chars)

    This new single-story home is perfect for various needs and lifestyles. Three secondary bedrooms boast a private location at the front of the home, near a spacious and flexible open-concept layout that blends the kitchen, living and dining areas to maximize interior space. The luxe owner's suite provides a serene retreat in a private rear corner, complete with a full bathroom and walk-in closet.

16. 2026-03-22
    price $278,150 398-char remark

    Show marketing remark (398 chars)

    This new single-story home is perfect for various needs and lifestyles. Three secondary bedrooms boast a private location at the front of the home, near a spacious and flexible open-concept layout that blends the kitchen, living and dining areas to maximize interior space. The luxe owner's suite provides a serene retreat in a private rear corner, complete with a full bathroom and walk-in closet.

17. 2026-02-16
    listed $277,900 Active 398-char remark

    Show marketing remark (398 chars)

    This new single-story home is perfect for various needs and lifestyles. Three secondary bedrooms boast a private location at the front of the home, near a spacious and flexible open-concept layout that blends the kitchen, living and dining areas to maximize interior space. The luxe owner's suite provides a serene retreat in a private rear corner, complete with a full bathroom and walk-in closet.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 14% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $24,508
• − Mortgage interest: −$18,912
• − Property taxes: −$5,064
• − Insurance: −$1,688
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,961
• − Management: −$1,961
• − Depreciation: −$9,822
• Taxable loss: −$14,900
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$3,576
• After-tax cash flow: $-5,062/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Madison County
• NCES district ID: 0102220
• Math proficiency: 27% ▼ -32.00%
• Reading proficiency: 56% ▼ -1.00%
• Median HH income: $66,058
• Composite: 37.15/100
• National rank: #4483
• State rank: #19 of 129 in AL

Livability — Huntsville

• Score: 82/100
• State rank: #3
• US rank: #1082

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Madison County · 380,832 people
• City population: 220,435
• Metro: Huntsville, AL
• Population (ZIP): 31,008
• Household income: $90,812
• Rent vs Own: 22.4% rent · 77.6% own
• Severe rent burden: 517.0

Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 392,086 people
• By 2030: 409,788 · +4.5%
• By 2040: 440,557 · +12.4%
• By 2050: 460,990 · +17.6%
• By 2075: 502,872 · +28.3%
• By 2100: 513,623 · +31.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Majority White (64%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 64% Black 27% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 2% Italian 2% Serbian 2%
• Foreign-born: 4% · Canada, Vietnam, China
• Languages at home: 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Madison

• 2024 margin: Lean R (+9.0) · D 44.7% · R 53.7% · Other 1.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: +6.0pp toward D · 2008: -14.9pp · 2024: -9.0pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+9.0 2020: R+8.0 2016: R+16.8 2012: R+18.7 2008: R+14.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -7.13%
• Current HPI: 332.9423
• Rent YoY: ▲ 6.81%
• Metro: Huntsville, AL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.94%
• F500 in state: 4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	1	$8B
▸Healthcare	1	$5B

Price history

+2.2% since first listed

4 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-02 Price Changed $284,150 Zillow
• 2026-04-24 Price Changed $279,150 Zillow
• 2026-03-22 Price Changed $278,150 Zillow
• 2026-02-16 Listed $277,900 Zillow