CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
3390 Valley Bend Rd
C+ Composite 60.03
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +14.3/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • DSCR +4.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$224,900

3390 Valley Bend Rd · South Fulton, GA 30349
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,885 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 35 Days on market
Built 1970 0.29 ac lot $119/sqft · 25% below area Est $299k · 25% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to your dream oasis in the heart of Atlanta, GA! This elegant 2-story home boasts four spacious bedrooms and two modern bathrooms, offering an ideal blend of comfort and style. As you step inside, you'll be greeted by a warm living room featuring a cozy fireplace, perfect for gathering with family and friends on chilly evenings. The home's expansive enclosed sunroom serves as an inviting retreat for morning coffee or peaceful reading afternoons bathed in natural light. Imagine delightful alfresco dining experiences on your covered outdoor patio overlooking the lush 0.29-acre lot-a perfect setting for entertaining guests or savoring serene moments surrounded by nature's beauty. Enjoy ample storage and convenience with a generously-sized two-car garage. The neighboring tree-lined streets offer tranquility while remaining just minutes from bustling city life. With its prime location and charming features, this property is more than just a house-it's your new forever home where cherished memories will unfold.

Key facts

  • Enclosed sunroom
  • Tree-lined streets
  • 0.29 acre lot

Tags

ENCLOSED SUNROOMCOVERED OUTDOOR PATIOTREE-LINED STREETS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $43 ($515/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $204k (9.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $204k (9.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 4.6% in South Fulton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Fulton County (suburban): math 49% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #12 of 174 in GA (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Amana Academy School (math 47% / reading 52%, grade D, #264 of 1,228 statewide, top 23%, 731 students, 30% FRL, charter); Mcnair Middle School (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #433 of 470 statewide, top 93%, 888 students, 100% FRL); Banneker High School (math 24% / reading 75%, grade D+, #28 of 424 statewide, top 7%, 1,610 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 77% FRL vs 41% district-wide (35 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 36% at this address vs 51% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Fulton County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 655 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 11,565 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (8,159 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $24k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Fulton County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 0.9% rent growth), your $63k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($218k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $82k; list at $225k implies a 174% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $203,638 (9.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.91%
Cap rate
6.52%
Cash-on-cash
0.82%
DSCR
1.04
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$299,324
List price
$224,900
Delta
-24.86%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6625 Peppermill Ln 0.46mi 4/3.0 1,906 (+1%) 12mo $275,000 $144 62
6590 Smoke Ridge Dr 0.43mi 5/2.5 (+1) 1,852 (-2%) 10mo $284,000 $153 62
6645 Hidden Brook Trl 0.75mi 4/2.5 1,901 (+1%) 7mo $219,000 $115 56
2915 Harper Valley Dr 0.69mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,888 (+0%) 9mo $256,000 $136 55
3049 Flat Shoals Rd 0.34mi 5/3.0 (+1) 1,704 (-10%) 10mo $250,000 $147 51
225 Whirlwind Ct 0.64mi 4/2.5 1,808 (-4%) 14mo $265,000 $147 50
6600 Commonwood Pl 0.48mi 4/2.0 2,086 (+11%) 14mo $305,000 $146 48
2890 Kayla Ct 0.68mi 5/3.0 (+1) 1,744 (-8%) 5mo $313,000 $179 43
3444 Dacite Ct 0.75mi 4/2.0 2,072 (+10%) 8mo $360,000 $174 42
2906 Forestside Ln 0.60mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,088 (+11%) 14mo $165,000 $79 37
510 Caris Brook Ct 0.74mi 4/2.0 2,116 (+12%) 14mo $239,500 $113 33
3615 Leisure Ln 0.65mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,621 (-14%) 15mo $218,000 $134 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 0.95% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
24.2%
Equity multiple
2.92×
Total profit
$121,140
Equity at exit
$202,608
10-year hold
IRR
20.9%
Equity multiple
6.51×
Total profit
$346,992
Equity at exit
$436,931

Cash invested: $62,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30349

Home prices YoY
4.6%
Rents YoY
0.9%
Active inventory
655
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,036 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,179
Tax from tax record
$293 /mo · $3,513/yr
Insurance
$94
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$428
Net cashflow
$43

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,982
Max offer price $224,900
Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $170 -5% $107 +0% $43 +5% $-21 +10% $-84
Rent -10% $-118 -5% $-38 +0% $43 +5% $123 +10% $204
Rate -1.0pp $156 -0.5pp $100 base $43 +0.5pp $-15 +1.0pp $-75

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,225
Closing costs
$6,747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3325 Valley Bend Rd Atlanta, GA 4.0 2.0 2000 $1,995 $1.00 7d 1 0.13mi
3325 Valley Bend Rd Atlanta, GA 4.0 2.0 2000 $1,995 $1.00 18d 1 0.13mi
6575 Smoke Ridge Dr Atlanta, GA 4.0 2.0 1808 $1,815 $1.00 45d 1 0.48mi
3240 Devilla Trce South Fulton, GA 4.0 2.0 1616 $1,980 $1.23 45d 1 0.48mi
6415 El Caudillo Ct Atlanta, GA 3.0 3.0 1498 $2,800 $1.87 6d 1 0.49mi
3500 Keels Ln Atlanta, GA 3.0 2.0 1272 $1,755 $1.38 3d 1 0.52mi
3105 Garnet Way Atlanta, GA 3.0 2.0 1470 $1,660 $1.13 14d 1 0.53mi
2560 Foxlair Trl Atlanta, GA 4.0 2.0 1485 $1,795 $1.21 26d 1 0.53mi
2820 Greenbower Ct Atlanta, GA 3.0 2.0 1338 $1,730 $1.29 5d 1 0.56mi
325 Pointer Ct Atlanta, GA 3.0 2.0 1474 $1,620 $1.10 7d 1 0.62mi
6440 Connell Rd Atlanta, GA 3.0 2.0 1391 $1,695 $1.22 26d 1 0.69mi
6500 Connell Rd Atlanta, GA 3.0 2.0 1483 $1,650 $1.11 26d 1 0.72mi
6445 Connell Rd Atlanta, GA 3.0 2.0 1357 $1,856 $1.37 45d 1 0.73mi
6560 Emerald Pointe Cir Atlanta, GA 3.0 2.0 1309 $1,500 $1.15 23d 1 0.76mi
855 Old Rocky Rd Atlanta, GA 3.0 2.0 1310 $1,710 $1.31 26d 1 0.77mi
6230 Cedar Wood Dr Atlanta, GA 3.0 2.0 1238 $1,694 $1.37 45d 1 0.83mi
2667 Rocky Ct Atlanta, GA 3.0 2.5 1432 $2,200 $1.54 45d 1 0.85mi
336 Rocky Springs Ct Atlanta, GA 4.0 2.0 1900 $1,450 $0.76 26d 1 0.88mi
3760 Cedar Hurst Way Atlanta, GA 4.0 2.5 1595 $2,150 $1.35 12d 1 0.90mi
6120 Hemperly Rd Atlanta, GA 4.0 2.5 1770 $2,100 $1.19 26d 1 0.92mi
6120 Hemperly Rd Atlanta, GA 4.0 2.5 1770 $2,100 $1.19 5d 1 0.92mi
7045 Birling Dr Atlanta, GA 4.0 3.0 1488 $1,765 $1.19 45d 1 0.93mi
3206 Pine Tree Trl Unit 15C Atlanta, GA 3.0 2.5 1466 $1,950 $1.33 6d 1 0.95mi
6278 Rockaway Rd Atlanta, GA 3.0 2.5 1524 $2,000 $1.31 45d 1 0.97mi
320 Emerald Green Ct Atlanta, GA 3.0 2.0 1575 $2,050 $1.30 45d 1 0.98mi
6056 Carriage Ct Atlanta, GA 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,549 $1.11 0d 1 1.09mi
2550 Hallie Mill Rd Atlanta, GA 3.0 2.0 1372 $1,600 $1.17 14d 1 1.14mi
3457 Sumersbe Ct Atlanta, GA 3.0 2.5 1800 $2,300 $1.28 7d 1 1.16mi
7156 Tanger Blvd Riverdale, GA 4.0 2.5 1984 $2,229 $1.12 4d 1 1.24mi
2555 Flat Shoals Rd #404 College Park, GA 3.0 2.5 1408 $1,700 $1.21 26d 1 1.28mi
6368 Olmadison Pl Atlanta, GA 3.0 2.5 1428 $1,596 $1.12 0d 1 1.29mi
6370 Olmadison Pl Atlanta, GA 3.0 2.5 1440 $1,795 $1.25 45d 1 1.29mi
2555 Flat Shoals Rd #401 Atlanta, GA 3.0 2.5 1550 $2,050 $1.32 45d 1 1.30mi
6870 Old Bethsaida Way Riverdale, GA 4.0 2.5 1916 $1,973 $1.03 45d 1 1.30mi
2372 Creel Rd Atlanta, GA 4.0 3.0 2579 $2,229 $0.86 4d 1 1.32mi
2373 Bigwood Trl Atlanta, GA 3.0 2.5 1566 $1,845 $1.18 26d 1 1.32mi
2555 Flat Shoals Rd #3005 Atlanta, GA 3.0 2.5 1724 $1,850 $1.07 7d 1 1.33mi
145 W Village Ct Riverdale, GA 3.0 2.5 1284 $1,840 $1.43 0d 1 1.34mi
2285 Bigwood Trl Atlanta, GA 3.0 2.5 1580 $1,740 $1.10 3d 1 1.34mi
2722 South Hills Riverdale, GA 3.0 2.5 1722 $2,175 $1.26 0d 1 1.36mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-04-16
    listed $224,900 New 1028-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1028 chars)

    Welcome to your dream oasis in the heart of Atlanta, GA! This elegant 2-story home boasts four spacious bedrooms and two modern bathrooms, offering an ideal blend of comfort and style. As you step inside, you'll be greeted by a warm living room featuring a cozy fireplace, perfect for gathering with family and friends on chilly evenings. The home's expansive enclosed sunroom serves as an inviting retreat for morning coffee or peaceful reading afternoons bathed in natural light. Imagine delightful alfresco dining experiences on your covered outdoor patio overlooking the lush 0.29-acre lot-a perfect setting for entertaining guests or savoring serene moments surrounded by nature's beauty. Enjoy ample storage and convenience with a generously-sized two-car garage. The neighboring tree-lined streets offer tranquility while remaining just minutes from bustling city life. With its prime location and charming features, this property is more than just a house-it's your new forever home where cherished memories will unfold.

  2. 1995-07-12
    soldstatus $82,000
  3. 1983-10-06
    soldstatus $57,126

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,513 · $293/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,513 · $293/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,437
− Mortgage interest
−$12,598
− Property taxes
−$3,513
− Insurance
−$1,124
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,955
− Management
−$1,955
− Depreciation
−$6,543
Taxable loss
−$3,251
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$780
After-tax cash flow
$1,295/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fulton County
NCES district ID
1302280
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$68,035
Composite
45.33/100
National rank
#2640
State rank
#12 of 174 in GA

Livability — South Fulton

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
South Fulton, GA
County
Fulton County · 1,094,430 people
City population
127,674
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
Population (ZIP)
79,872
Household income
$67,023
Rent vs Own
41.2% rent · 58.8% own
Severe rent burden
4258.0

Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,203,707 people
By 2030
1,299,706 · +8.0%
By 2040
1,488,256 · +23.6%
By 2050
1,664,580 · +38.3%
By 2075
2,036,072 · +69.2%
By 2100
2,222,402 · +84.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (89%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 89% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% White 3%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Fulton

2024 margin
Solid D (+44.9) · D 71.9% · R 27.0% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+9.8pp toward D · 2008: 35.0pp · 2024: 44.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+44.9 2020: D+46.4 2016: D+42.1 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+35.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 18.01%
Current HPI
407.99
Rent YoY
▲ 0.95%
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+293.7% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-16 Listed $224,900 GAMLS
  • 1995-07-12 Sold (Public Records) $82,000 Public Records
  • 1983-10-06 Sold (Public Records) $57,126 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,513 · -0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…