16-Plex
1628 W 45th St · Los Angeles, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 88°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1,699,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 16 units. confirmed
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks MLS
16-UNITS IN VERMONT SQUARE| $121K per door | 7.28% CAP | 3 VACANT UNITS | Rare opportunity to acquire 1628 W. 45th Street, a 16-unit apartment building in the highly sought after Vermont Square neighborhood. Offered at $1,950,000 ($121K per door, ~$199/SF) with strong in-place income and immediate upside through 3 vacant units and rental repositioning. Well-located near Western & Vernon with close proximity to Exposition Park, Leimert Park, and the Crenshaw corridor. Features on-site laundry hookups.
Key facts
- 3 vacant units
- 5,613 sq ft lot
- Built 1927
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 16 × 4-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $1.70M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $30k ($356k/yr) — positive. Per door: $2k/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($51k rent vs $1.70M).
- Recommended offer: $1.55M (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 27.2% vs local median 2.1% in Los Angeles — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#273 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment B; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, crime F.
- Los Angeles Unified (urban): math 29% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #223 of 517 in CA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+14.5%/yr); 86 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $50,919/mo this rent would consume 903% of the median local household income ($68k/yr) (locally 1890% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $12k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $51k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $476k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($1.55M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $251k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 27.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 74.75%
- DSCR
- 4.33
- GRM
- 2.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $2,250,000
- List price
- $1,699,000
- Delta
- -24.49%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 11 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 80.0%
- Equity multiple
- 4.95×
- Total profit
- $1,881,121
- Equity at exit
- $253,326
- IRR
- 84.8%
- Equity multiple
- 12.13×
- Total profit
- $5,293,232
- Equity at exit
- $146,898
Cash invested: $475,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Los Angeles
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+22
ZIP-level market 90062
- Rents YoY
- 14.5%
- Active inventory
- 86
- Price-to-rent
- 44.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $50,919 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$8,910
- Tax from tax record
- −$976 /mo · $11,717/yr
- Insurance
- −$708
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$10,693
- Net cashflow
- $29,632
Break-even live
16-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16× units | 4 | 1 | $50,912 |
| #1 | 4 | 1 | $3,182 |
| #2 | 4 | 1 | $3,182 |
| #3 | 4 | 1 | $3,182 |
| #4 | 4 | 1 | $3,182 |
| #5 | 4 | 1 | $3,182 |
| #6 | 4 | 1 | $3,182 |
| #7 | 4 | 1 | $3,182 |
| #8 | 4 | 1 | $3,182 |
| #9 | 4 | 1 | $3,182 |
| #10 | 4 | 1 | $3,182 |
| #11 | 4 | 1 | $3,182 |
| #12 | 4 | 1 | $3,182 |
| #13 | 4 | 1 | $3,182 |
| #14 | 4 | 1 | $3,182 |
| #15 | 4 | 1 | $3,182 |
| #16 | 4 | 1 | $3,182 |
| Total (16 units) | $50,919 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $424,750
- Closing costs
- $50,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1150 W 38th St Los Angeles, CA | 3.0–19.0 | 3.0–18.5 | 4527 | $4,969 | $1.10 | 1d | 9 | 1.19mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $1,699,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $1,699,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $1,699,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $1,699,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $1,699,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $1,950,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $1,950,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $1,950,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $1,950,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $1,950,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $1,950,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $1,950,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $1,950,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-03-17$1,950,000 Active 512-char remark
Show marketing remark (512 chars)
16-UNITS IN VERMONT SQUARE| $121K per door | 7.28% CAP | 3 VACANT UNITS | Rare opportunity to acquire 1628 W. 45th Street, a 16-unit apartment building in the highly sought after Vermont Square neighborhood. Offered at $1,950,000 ($121K per door, ~$199/SF) with strong in-place income and immediate upside through 3 vacant units and rental repositioning. Well-located near Western & Vernon with close proximity to Exposition Park, Leimert Park, and the Crenshaw corridor. Features on-site laundry hookups.
-
2025-11-19Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $11,717 · $976/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $12,912 · $1,076/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,195/yr (+$100/mo · 10.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥88°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $611,028
- − Mortgage interest
- −$95,170
- − Property taxes
- −$11,717
- − Insurance
- −$8,495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$48,882
- − Management
- −$48,882
- − Depreciation
- −$49,425
- Taxable income
- $348,456
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$83,629
- After-tax cash flow
- $271,954/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Los Angeles Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0622710
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▲ 10.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,403
- Composite
- 35.67/100
- National rank
- #4875
- State rank
- #223 of 517 in CA
Livability — Los Angeles
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #273
- US rank
- #9237
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Los Angeles, CA
- County
- Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
- City population
- 3,838,149
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,715
- Household income
- $67,701
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1890.0
Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,940,515 people
- By 2030
- 11,256,481 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 11,729,929 · +7.2%
- By 2050
- 11,948,407 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 11,818,114 · +8.0%
- By 2100
- 10,842,928 · -0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Hispanic (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 63% Black 26% Two or more races 15% White 3% Asian 2% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 29%
- Common ancestry
- British 3%
- Foreign-born
- 38% · Canada, South Korea, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 36% English-only · Spanish 61% Korean 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -670.48%
- Current HPI
- 500.9289
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 14.48%
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-17 Listed $1,950,000 TheMLS
- 2025-11-19 Listed — TheMLS
Property tax history
+1.6%/yrLatest (2025): $11,717 · +2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…