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38 Airport Rd
B- Composite 68.02
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$70,000

38 Airport Rd · Coventry, RI 02816
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,122 sqft · Manufactured public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1965 $672/mo HOA · 33% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Opportunity awaits at 38 Airport Road in Coventry! This 2-bedroom, 1-bath manufactured home offers 1,122 square feet of living space and is perfect for buyers looking to build equity with some updates and improvements. Featuring a spacious layout, forced-air heat, and a pellet stove, the home provides a solid foundation for renovation and personalization. Conveniently located near shopping, restaurants, schools, and major routes, this property offers affordable homeownership potential in a desirable Coventry location. Whether you're an investor, flipper, or owner-occupant looking for a project, don't miss the chance to unlock this home's value. Property is being sold as-is.

Key facts

  • Manufactured home
  • Desirable location
  • Pellet stove

Tags

MANUFACTURED HOMEFORCED-AIR HEATPELLET STOVESPACIOUS LAYOUTDESIRABLE LOCATION

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Above-grade finished area reported
  • HOA & community: Association fee of $672 monthly; Property has a land lease

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage; 3 parking spaces
  • Utilities: Circuit breaker electrical service; Septic tank sewer; Public water
  • Home design: Single-story home
  • Construction: Vinyl siding

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 6
  • Flooring: Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Kerosene heating
  • Interior features: Laminate flooring; Fireplace insert
  • Laundry & utility: Water heater (rented)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $397 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $70k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Coventry (suburban): math 25% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #19 of 39 in RI (top 49%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 176 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 471 units permitted in Kent County in 2024 (240 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kent County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; HOA is 33% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 72% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $70,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.91%
Cap rate
13.09%
Cash-on-cash
24.28%
DSCR
2.08
GRM
2.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.0%
Equity multiple
1.73×
Total profit
$14,396
Equity at exit
$10,437
10-year hold
IRR
26.8%
Equity multiple
3.40×
Total profit
$47,009
Equity at exit
$6,052

Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
31 Tenant-Leaning
State Rhode Island
31 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
30-day notice; strong tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 02816

Active inventory
176
Price-to-rent
2.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,039 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$146 /mo · $1,754/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$672
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$428
Net cashflow
$397

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,537
Max offer price $70,000
Occupancy floor 76%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,500
Closing costs
$2,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$672 · $8,064/yr

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    remarks 682-char remark
  2. 2026-06-18
    listed $70,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast RI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,754 · $146/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,754 · $146/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 72% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,471
− Mortgage interest
−$3,921
− Property taxes
−$1,754
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,958
− Management
−$1,958
− HOA
−$8,064
− Depreciation
−$2,036
Taxable income
$4,430
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,063
After-tax cash flow
$3,696/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Coventry
NCES district ID
4400210
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$66,277
Composite
30.18/100
National rank
#6317
State rank
#19 of 39 in RI

Livability — Coventry

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Kent County · 90,904 people
City population
33,298
Metro
Providence-Warwick, RI-MA
Population (ZIP)
33,298
Household income
$101,431
Rent vs Own
19.0% rent · 81.0% own
Severe rent burden
667.0

Population outlook (Kent County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
160,994 people
By 2030
157,428 · -2.2%
By 2040
148,389 · -7.8%
By 2050
137,995 · -14.3%
By 2075
118,536 · -26.4%
By 2100
102,266 · -36.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 13% Russian 8% Romanian 4%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Kent

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.9% · R 48.1% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-15.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 1.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+1.9 2020: D+7.6 2016: R+0.7 2012: D+18.4 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -362.74%
Current HPI
336.2662
Rent YoY
Metro
Providence-Warwick, RI-MA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.25%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in RI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-18 Listed $70,000 RIS

Property tax history

+7.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,754 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…