38 Airport Rd · Coventry, RI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $835 – $1,551
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 72.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$70,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Opportunity awaits at 38 Airport Road in Coventry! This 2-bedroom, 1-bath manufactured home offers 1,122 square feet of living space and is perfect for buyers looking to build equity with some updates and improvements. Featuring a spacious layout, forced-air heat, and a pellet stove, the home provides a solid foundation for renovation and personalization. Conveniently located near shopping, restaurants, schools, and major routes, this property offers affordable homeownership potential in a desirable Coventry location. Whether you're an investor, flipper, or owner-occupant looking for a project, don't miss the chance to unlock this home's value. Property is being sold as-is.
Key facts
- Manufactured home
- Desirable location
- Pellet stove
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Above-grade finished area reported
- HOA & community: Association fee of $672 monthly; Property has a land lease
Exterior
- Parking: No garage; 3 parking spaces
- Utilities: Circuit breaker electrical service; Septic tank sewer; Public water
- Home design: Single-story home
- Construction: Vinyl siding
Interior
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 6
- Flooring: Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Kerosene heating
- Interior features: Laminate flooring; Fireplace insert
- Laundry & utility: Water heater (rented)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $397 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $70k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Coventry (suburban): math 25% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #19 of 39 in RI (top 49%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 176 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 471 units permitted in Kent County in 2024 (240 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kent County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; HOA is 33% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 72% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.91% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.28%
- DSCR
- 2.08
- GRM
- 2.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.73×
- Total profit
- $14,396
- Equity at exit
- $10,437
- IRR
- 26.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.40×
- Total profit
- $47,009
- Equity at exit
- $6,052
Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 31 Tenant-Leaning
- State Rhode Island
- 31 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 02816
- Active inventory
- 176
- Price-to-rent
- 2.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,039 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$146 /mo · $1,754/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$672
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$428
- Net cashflow
- $397
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,500
- Closing costs
- $2,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $672 · $8,064/yr
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-18remarks 682-char remark
-
2026-06-18$70,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast RI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,754 · $146/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,754 · $146/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 72% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,471
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,921
- − Property taxes
- −$1,754
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,958
- − Management
- −$1,958
- − HOA
- −$8,064
- − Depreciation
- −$2,036
- Taxable income
- $4,430
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,063
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,696/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Coventry
- NCES district ID
- 4400210
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,277
- Composite
- 30.18/100
- National rank
- #6317
- State rank
- #19 of 39 in RI
Livability — Coventry
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Kent County · 90,904 people
- City population
- 33,298
- Metro
- Providence-Warwick, RI-MA
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,298
- Household income
- $101,431
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 667.0
Population outlook (Kent County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 160,994 people
- By 2030
- 157,428 · -2.2%
- By 2040
- 148,389 · -7.8%
- By 2050
- 137,995 · -14.3%
- By 2075
- 118,536 · -26.4%
- By 2100
- 102,266 · -36.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 13% Russian 8% Romanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kent
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.9% · R 48.1% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 1.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.9 2020: D+7.6 2016: R+0.7 2012: D+18.4 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -362.74%
- Current HPI
- 336.2662
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Providence-Warwick, RI-MA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.25%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in RI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $373B |
|
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| Food Distribution | 1 | $31B |
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| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $14B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Listed $70,000 RIS
Property tax history
+7.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,754 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…