554 Wilson Bridge Dr Unit 6755A( A2) · National Harbor, MD
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 21.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.3/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +8.9/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- ARV discount +3.3/15.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$112,750
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming 1-bedroom, 1-bath condo in the Wilson Bridge community of Oxon Hill. This 668 sq. ft. garden-style unit features a functional layout with a open concept spacious living/dining area, full bath, and well-sized bedroom. Built in 1966 with a brick exterior, the home offers central air conditioning and electric heating for year-round comfort. The community provides a low-maintenance lifestyle with a monthly condo fee that includes exterior upkeep and insurance. Parking is available in both the shared lot and on the street. Conveniently located near the Capital Beltway, Woodrow Wilson Bridge, and National Harbor, this property offers easy access to shopping, dining, and entertainment. The price is an excellent option for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors.
Key facts
- $425 HOA
- Built 1966
- Listed 87 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $113k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $225 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $113k).
- Recommended offer: $106k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 1.9% in National Harbor — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#48 in MD, #1,799 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: schools F, cost of living D-.
- Prince George'S County Public Schools (suburban): math 8% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #21 of 24 in MD (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.8%/yr); 223 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,481 units permitted in Prince George's County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $780 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Prince George's County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 88 days — a 6% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 22% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 88 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.68% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.07%
- DSCR
- 1.49
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $103,078
- List price
- $112,750
- Delta
- 9.38%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.71×
- Total profit
- $-9,168
- Equity at exit
- $16,811
- IRR
- -5.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.69×
- Total profit
- $-9,641
- Equity at exit
- $9,749
Cash invested: $31,570 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 20745
- Rents YoY
- -0.8%
- Active inventory
- 223
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,893 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$591
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$141 /mo · $1,691/yr
- Insurance
- −$47
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$425
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$398
- Net cashflow
- $225
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $303 | -5% $264 | +0% $225 | +5% $186 | +10% $147 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $75 | -5% $150 | +0% $225 | +5% $300 | +10% $374 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $282 | -0.5pp $254 | base $225 | +0.5pp $196 | +1.0pp $166 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,188
- Closing costs
- $3,382
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 510 Wilson Bridge Dr Unit 6711 C1 Oxon Hill, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 670 | $1,550 | $2.31 | 25d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 546 Wilson Bridge Dr Unit A-2 Oxon Hill, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 668 | $1,580 | $2.37 | 5d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 519 Wilson Bridge Dr Unit A1 Oxon Hill, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 668 | $1,495 | $2.24 | 5d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 7903 Indian Head Hwy Unit T3 Oxon Hill, MD | — | 1.0 | 539 | $1,395 | $2.59 | 25d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 7907 Indian Head Hwy Unit 310 Oxon Hill, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 688 | $1,575 | $2.29 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 7911 Indian Head Hwy Unit 205 Oxon Hill, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 688 | $1,575 | $2.29 | 25d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 145 Riverhaven Dr #445 Oxon Hill, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 737 | $2,300 | $3.12 | 23d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 145 Riverhaven Dr #451 Oxon Hill, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $3,400 | $4.59 | 25d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 145 Riverhaven Dr #428 Oxon Hill, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 741 | $2,200 | $2.97 | 25d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 145 Riverhaven Dr #549 Oxon Hill, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 737 | $2,850 | $3.87 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 145 Riverhaven Dr #533 Oxon Hill, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 737 | $2,400 | $3.26 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 145 Riverhaven Dr #305 Oxon Hill, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 732 | $2,400 | $3.28 | 19d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 145 Riverhaven Dr Unit 1 Oxon Hill, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 737 | $2,695 | $3.66 | 13d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 145 Riverhaven Dr Oxon Hill, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 635 | $2,395 | $3.77 | 44d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 250 American Way Oxon Hill, MD | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 906 | $2,664 | $2.94 | 0d | 14 | 0.92mi |
| 155 Potomac Psge #436 Oxon Hill, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 701 | $2,350 | $3.35 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 155 Potomac Psge #408 Oxon Hill, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 629 | $2,200 | $3.50 | 19d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 157 Fleet St Oxon Hill, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 692 | $2,350 | $3.40 | 16d | 4 | 1.01mi |
| 157 Fleet St Oxon Hill, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 803 | $2,495 | $3.11 | 13d | 2 | 1.01mi |
| 157 Fleet St Oxon Hill, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 804 | $2,522 | $3.14 | 3d | 2 | 1.01mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $425 · $5,100/yr
- Likely covers
- electric
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $112,750 Active 88 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $112,750 Active 85 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $112,750 Active 84 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $112,750 Active 83 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $112,750 Active 82 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $112,750 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $112,750 Active 76 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $112,750 Active 75 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $112,750 Active 74 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $112,750 Active 71 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $112,750 Active 70 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $112,750 Active 69 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $112,750 Active 68 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $112,750 Active 67 DOM
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2026-05-17status Active 778-char remark
Show marketing remark (778 chars)
Charming 1-bedroom, 1-bath condo in the Wilson Bridge community of Oxon Hill. This 668 sq. ft. garden-style unit features a functional layout with a open concept spacious living/dining area, full bath, and well-sized bedroom. Built in 1966 with a brick exterior, the home offers central air conditioning and electric heating for year-round comfort. The community provides a low-maintenance lifestyle with a monthly condo fee that includes exterior upkeep and insurance. Parking is available in both the shared lot and on the street. Conveniently located near the Capital Beltway, Woodrow Wilson Bridge, and National Harbor, this property offers easy access to shopping, dining, and entertainment. The price is an excellent option for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors.
-
2026-05-15historical 778-char remark
Show marketing remark (778 chars)
Charming 1-bedroom, 1-bath condo in the Wilson Bridge community of Oxon Hill. This 668 sq. ft. garden-style unit features a functional layout with a open concept spacious living/dining area, full bath, and well-sized bedroom. Built in 1966 with a brick exterior, the home offers central air conditioning and electric heating for year-round comfort. The community provides a low-maintenance lifestyle with a monthly condo fee that includes exterior upkeep and insurance. Parking is available in both the shared lot and on the street. Conveniently located near the Capital Beltway, Woodrow Wilson Bridge, and National Harbor, this property offers easy access to shopping, dining, and entertainment. The price is an excellent option for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors.
-
2026-04-30price $112,750 778-char remark
Show marketing remark (778 chars)
Charming 1-bedroom, 1-bath condo in the Wilson Bridge community of Oxon Hill. This 668 sq. ft. garden-style unit features a functional layout with a open concept spacious living/dining area, full bath, and well-sized bedroom. Built in 1966 with a brick exterior, the home offers central air conditioning and electric heating for year-round comfort. The community provides a low-maintenance lifestyle with a monthly condo fee that includes exterior upkeep and insurance. Parking is available in both the shared lot and on the street. Conveniently located near the Capital Beltway, Woodrow Wilson Bridge, and National Harbor, this property offers easy access to shopping, dining, and entertainment. The price is an excellent option for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors.
-
2026-04-10status Active 778-char remark
Show marketing remark (778 chars)
Charming 1-bedroom, 1-bath condo in the Wilson Bridge community of Oxon Hill. This 668 sq. ft. garden-style unit features a functional layout with a open concept spacious living/dining area, full bath, and well-sized bedroom. Built in 1966 with a brick exterior, the home offers central air conditioning and electric heating for year-round comfort. The community provides a low-maintenance lifestyle with a monthly condo fee that includes exterior upkeep and insurance. Parking is available in both the shared lot and on the street. Conveniently located near the Capital Beltway, Woodrow Wilson Bridge, and National Harbor, this property offers easy access to shopping, dining, and entertainment. The price is an excellent option for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors.
-
2026-03-30historical 778-char remark
Show marketing remark (778 chars)
Charming 1-bedroom, 1-bath condo in the Wilson Bridge community of Oxon Hill. This 668 sq. ft. garden-style unit features a functional layout with a open concept spacious living/dining area, full bath, and well-sized bedroom. Built in 1966 with a brick exterior, the home offers central air conditioning and electric heating for year-round comfort. The community provides a low-maintenance lifestyle with a monthly condo fee that includes exterior upkeep and insurance. Parking is available in both the shared lot and on the street. Conveniently located near the Capital Beltway, Woodrow Wilson Bridge, and National Harbor, this property offers easy access to shopping, dining, and entertainment. The price is an excellent option for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors.
-
2026-03-13$114,500 Active 778-char remark
Show marketing remark (778 chars)
Charming 1-bedroom, 1-bath condo in the Wilson Bridge community of Oxon Hill. This 668 sq. ft. garden-style unit features a functional layout with a open concept spacious living/dining area, full bath, and well-sized bedroom. Built in 1966 with a brick exterior, the home offers central air conditioning and electric heating for year-round comfort. The community provides a low-maintenance lifestyle with a monthly condo fee that includes exterior upkeep and insurance. Parking is available in both the shared lot and on the street. Conveniently located near the Capital Beltway, Woodrow Wilson Bridge, and National Harbor, this property offers easy access to shopping, dining, and entertainment. The price is an excellent option for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors.
-
2026-03-12historical $114,500 778-char remark
Show marketing remark (778 chars)
Charming 1-bedroom, 1-bath condo in the Wilson Bridge community of Oxon Hill. This 668 sq. ft. garden-style unit features a functional layout with a open concept spacious living/dining area, full bath, and well-sized bedroom. Built in 1966 with a brick exterior, the home offers central air conditioning and electric heating for year-round comfort. The community provides a low-maintenance lifestyle with a monthly condo fee that includes exterior upkeep and insurance. Parking is available in both the shared lot and on the street. Conveniently located near the Capital Beltway, Woodrow Wilson Bridge, and National Harbor, this property offers easy access to shopping, dining, and entertainment. The price is an excellent option for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors.
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2025-12-31historical
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2025-11-07price $123,295
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2025-10-23price $123,500
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2025-08-29$125,000 Active
-
2025-08-09historical
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 21% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,716
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,316
- − Property taxes
- −$1,691
- − Insurance
- −$1,361
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,817
- − Management
- −$1,817
- − HOA
- −$5,100
- − Depreciation
- −$3,280
- Taxable income
- $1,333
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$320
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,378/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 14 photos
This 1-bedroom, 1-bath condo is in good condition with modern amenities and a good location. It is ready for move-in and would benefit from some landscaping and furniture to maximize its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both landscaping — improves curb appeal and adds value
- Both furniture — improves living space and adds value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both landscaping — improves curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both furniture — improves living space and adds value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Prince George'S County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400510
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $73,967
- Composite
- 16.82/100
- National rank
- #9151
- State rank
- #21 of 24 in MD
Livability — National Harbor
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #48
- US rank
- #1799
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- National Harbor, MD
- County
- Prince Georges County · 919,866 people
- Metro
- Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,605
- Household income
- $75,236
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1770.0
Population outlook (Prince George's County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,005,426 people
- By 2030
- 1,048,416 · +4.3%
- By 2040
- 1,123,425 · +11.7%
- By 2050
- 1,183,220 · +17.7%
- By 2075
- 1,306,202 · +29.9%
- By 2100
- 1,408,179 · +40.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 56% Hispanic / Latino 30% White 6% Two or more races 6% Asian 4% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 23% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 67% English-only · Spanish 26% Tagalog/Filipino 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Prince George's
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+75.2) · D 86.3% · R 11.2% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.3pp toward R · 2008: 78.5pp · 2024: 75.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+75.2 2020: D+80.5 2016: D+81.0 2012: D+80.9 2008: D+78.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -250.85%
- Current HPI
- 300.5172
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.80%
- Metro
- Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
||
| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
|
||
Price history
-9.8% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-17 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-15 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $112,750 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-10 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-30 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-13 Listed $114,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-12 Coming Soon $114,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-12-31 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-11-07 Price Changed $123,295 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-10-23 Price Changed $123,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-08-29 Listed $125,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-08-09 Coming Soon — BRIGHT MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…